Gale Warning 1003, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 200142 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
440 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

UPDATED ZONE 130 

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA WILL WEAKEN TO 999 MB AND MOVE
INLAND 50 NM EAST OF CORDOVA THU MORNING. A 974 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH
OF KODIAK THU AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA FRI
AFTERNOON AND DEEPEN TO 970 MB.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
440 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES...BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL
DISSIPATE LATE THURSDAY MORNING. A 981 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND THURSDAY EVENING WILL STRENGTHEN TO 976 MB 130 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR
CAPE SUCKLING FRIDAY EVENING AT 986 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.

SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 
30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON W OF BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...W OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SE OF BARREN
ISLANDS...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201320 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

CORRECTED ZONES 120 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL
DISSIPATE LATE THURSDAY MORNING. A 981 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND THURSDAY EVENING WILL STRENGTHEN TO 976 MB 130 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR
CAPE SUCKLING FRIDAY EVENING AT 986 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 
30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON W OF BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...W OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SE OF BARREN
ISLANDS...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 210005
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL STRENGTHEN TO 975 MB 250 NM
EAST OF KODIAK CITY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING TO 988 MB
FRIDAY EVENING AND MOVING INLAND IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. 

$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF 
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. LOCAL FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT DIMINISHING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 20 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY THIS EVENING. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

.ANALYSIS...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL AND 100 KT JET TO STRETCH A MODERATE FRONT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING TODAY. STRONG WINDS AND MODERATE
PRECIPITATION WRAPPED AROUND THE LOW IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A WEAK
LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS. COLD CORE NATURE OF
THIS LOW MAKING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION QUITE CONVECTIVE. IN OTHER
AREAS...COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER THE MAINLAND AND EASTERN BERING AND
WESTERN GULF. WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF AND COLD AIR INLAND...STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS IS REINFORCED BY A SHORT
WAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL TODAY. THEREFORE...SEEING MODERATE
TO STRONG GAP WINDS ONCE AGAIN TODAY.

.UPPER LEVELS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...
COLD CORE UPPER LOW NEAR THE BROOKS RANGE MOVING VERY LITTLE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS THEN RETROGRADES INTO THE BERING STRAIT FRIDAY.
COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LOW IN THE YUKON...A BROAD TROUGH IS OVER THE
GULF. THIS LOW IN THE YUKON TO LEAVE BRINGING A RIDGE THURSDAY TO THE
GULF AHEAD OF A LOW TO ROTATE INTO THE AREA AROUND THE TROUGH DIGGING
IN THE EASTERN BERING. A FEW SYSTEMS TO ROTATE AROUND THIS LARGE
SCALE TROUGH OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THE EXACT POSITIONING OF EACH WAVE
ROTATING AROUND THIS LOW IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN ESPECIALLY AFTER
SUNDAY. THEREFORE...THE DETAILS OF STRENGTH WITH EACH SYSTEM IN THE
MID RANGE HAS BEEN MODERATED DUE TO UNCERTAINTY. LOOKING AT THE
CONSISTENCY OF THE EC OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS AND THE FACT THAT THE
12Z GFS HAS NOW LEANED TO THIS SOLUTION THROUGH DAY 4...WE HAVE
RELOADED THE FORECAST TO THE 12Z GFS SOLUTION THROUGH DAY 7.

IN THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TO MOVE
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TO COLD BAY FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...A WAVE
UNDERNEATH THIS LOW TO RIDE ALONG THE JET TO ROTATE A LOW INTO THE
GULF THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. THE UPPER LOW TO ROTATE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST FRIDAY NIGHT THEN INLAND. THE COLD BAY LOW TO MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF SATURDAY WITH A RIDGE PUSHING OVER THE WESTERN BERING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING AND ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN ALASKA...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH A STRONG FRONT
EXTENDING INTO CENTRAL BERING. THE COLD AIR TO THE NORTH OF THIS
FRONT WILL CLASH AND CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS. HAVE SLOWED THE START TIME OF THIS WARNING BASED ON
SATELLITE AND START OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE FRONT WILL STRETCH TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY THURSDAY. THE COLD AIR IN PLACE
OVER THE MAINLAND NOT GOING TO BE REPLACED WITH THE FRONT OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA. THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY AND TO COLD BAY FRIDAY. MOST PRECIP WILL NOT MOVE
INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA. BEHIND THE LOW...STRONG COLD AIR
TO PUSH ACROSS THE BERING WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS NEAR THE
LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING.

SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...
CURRENTLY...LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA. COLD AIR ALSO IN PLACE OVER THE MAINLAND...THIS HAS
PLACED A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST. THEREFORE...STRONG
GAP WINDS EXPERIENCED THROUGH THE NORTH GULF COAST AND KENAI
PENINSULA. THIS LOW TO MOVED OUT TONIGHT WITH WINDS DISSIPATING.
MEANWHILE...A FRONT WILL WORK TO KODIAK WITH WINDS PICKING UP FROM
THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GULF THURSDAY. THE FRONT TO MAKE ITS WAY TO
THE GULF COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GOOD DOWNSLOPE PATTERN FOR THIS
FRONT...SO PRECIP WILL BE LIMITED IN THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND
ANCHORAGE BOWL THURSDAY. ANOTHER LOW TO MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE GULF
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY TO CONCENTRATE THE LOW AND PULL PRECIP AWAY
FROM THE INLAND MORE. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE LOW MOVES TO GULF
COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW TO WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
PRECIP WANING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
GENERALLY...BEYOND SATURDAY THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH TO REMAIN OVER THE
BERING WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND COLD NORTHERLY AIR
MASS OVER THE BERING. A FEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO ROTATE AROUND
THIS TROUGH FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE TIMING AND EXACT
POSITION OF THESE SYSTEMS IS STILL UNCERTAIN BETWEEN THE EC AND GFS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 195.
MARINE...GALE WARNING ZONES 121 129 130 165 170 171 172 176 179 180
          185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING ZONES 121 125 129 130 138 140
          141 150 160 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN DEC 07