Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007

Storm Warning 199, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 18, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 18, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 18, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST (08:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 19, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 191235
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 971 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL WEAKEN TO A 977 MB LOW 90
NM NORTH OF ATKA FRI MORNING. 

$$

PKZ150-200300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-200300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-200300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-200300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-200300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-200300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
13 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-200300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-200300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-200300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO W WIND 50 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-200300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-200300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-200300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 200036
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH AND MOVE TO
200 NM NORTHEAST OF ADAK THU AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO 974 MB
50 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD OVER
THE WESTERN BERING FRI.

$$

PKZ150-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-201500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW THIS EVENING. SEAS 18 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-201500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 200207 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
500 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

UPDATED ZONE 150

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH AND MOVE TO
200 NM NORTHEAST OF ADAK THU AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO 974 MB
50 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD OVER
THE WESTERN BERING FRI.

$$

PKZ150-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
500 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-201500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW THIS EVENING. SEAS 18 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-201500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST WED DEC 19 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 201328 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

CORRECTED HEADLINES 160

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 966 MB LOW 120 NM NORTHEAST OF ADAK WILL WEAKEN TO 978 MB NEAR KING
SALMON FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING
SEA FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ150-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-210300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW WIND 30 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-210300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ170-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
23 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-210300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-210300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST THU DEC 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 18, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST TUE DEC 18 2007

.ANALYSIS...
THIS AFTERNOON...A SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN NEAR SHEMYA WITH A
DISSIPATING FRONT OVER THE BERING ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS INTO
THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. A 130 KT JET NEAR 43N HELPING TO STRETCH THE
FRONT. A RESIDUAL COLD CORE LOW IN THE GULF WITH A LARGE AREA OF
CONVECTION ENCIRCLING THE LOW. WITH THE COLD AIR POOLED INLAND...A
STRONG SURFACE GRADIENT EXISTS AROUND THE FRINGE OF THE LOW CREATING
SOME MODERATE TO STRONG GAP WINDS ALONG THE COAST. MOST PRECIPITATION
LIMITED TO THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AND ALONG THE COAST.

.UPPER LEVELS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...
COLD CORE LOW NORTH OF THE URALS WITH A LOW JUST WEST OF THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WITH ANOTHER LOW ANCHORED NEAR BARROW. A PIECE OF
THE KAMCHATKA LOW TO MOVE ACROSS THE BERING WITH THE LOW NEAR BARROW
RETROGRADING TOWARD THE BERING THIS WEEK. THE TWO TO MERGE INTO A
TROUGH LATE THIS WEEK OVER WESTERN ALASKA/EASTERN BERING. THIS LONG
WAVE PATTERN TO REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SYNOPTICALLY FOR THE MOST PART. THE
DIFFERENCES RELATE TO THE ENERGIES ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE LOW
COMPLEXES. THE MAIN MESSAGE IS THAT THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE BERING
WITH AN ANCHOR OVER THE MAINLAND AND EASTERN SIBERIA WILL CONSOLIDATE
INTO ONE COLD TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA/EASTERN BERING THE END OF
THIS WEEK. THIS TRANSITION IS LEADING TO MANY UNCERTAINTIES IN THE
FORECAST LATER THIS WEEK ESPECIALLY AT THE SURFACE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE LOW IN THE GULF TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A
REINFORCING SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL. THIS WILL KEEP
THE GRADIENT OVER THE GULF COAST WITH MODERATE TO STRONG GAP WINDS
CONTINUING. PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN IN THE GULF OR IMMEDIATE COASTAL
AREAS. HOWEVER...THE LOW CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. THE LOW IS PUSHED OUT OF THE REGION THURSDAY AS A
LOW/FRONT TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH AND BRING SNOW AND RAIN TO
KODIAK. THE FRONT WILL WORK TO THE NORTHERN COAST THURSDAY NIGHT.

ALEUTIANS...
THE LOW NEAR SHEMYA CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AND PULL WEST WITH A
DISSIPATING FRONT OVER THE BERING INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG LOW TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF SHEMYA AND
CROSS THE CHAIN BETWEEN ADAK AND SHEMYA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
BRING GALE TO NEAR STORM FORCE WINDS AND PLENTY OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE LOW TO REMAIN IN THE WESTERN BERING WITH A
FRONT STRETCHING OUT ACROSS THE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE LOW TO
WEAKEN THURSDAY NEAR ADAK WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT DOING THE SAME.
STRONG WINDS WILL BE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH VERY COLD
AIR TO THE NORTH.

WESTERN ALASKA...
COLD AIR IN PLACE WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS TO REMAIN OVER THE
AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE LOW IN THE BERING TO BRING SOME WARMER
TEMPS AND PRECIP TO THE EXTREME COAST AND ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY.
COLD AIR TO REMAIN IN PLACE FARTHER INLAND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
STARTING THURSDAY...THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST IS VERY LARGE.
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN ALL OVER THE PLACE. SYNOPTICALLY...COLD AIR
MASS WITH SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE BERING WITH SYSTEMS ROTATING
THROUGH THE GULF TO THE PANHANDLE OR NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH STRONG
WINDS AND NEAR TO SLIGHT ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 176
         GALE 170 172 175 179
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 129 130 138 140 141 150 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN DEC 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 18, 8:50 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC14 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC59 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days
Dec 18, 11:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC60 hr
Dec 18, 11:19 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC27 hr
Dec 19, 5:27 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC8 hr
Dec 19, 8:47 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC20 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 19, 11:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.