Severe Thunderstorm Warning 180, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
220 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER NM WILL SHIFT E SUN AND MON...THEN
BUILD BACK W TO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LATER NEXT WEEK.

DESPITE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE STATE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FIRING AGAIN OVER THE WC...AND SC TO NE AREAS. FOCUS THROUGH THIS
EVE SHOULD BE IN THESE AREAS. WHILE DRY AIR ALOFT HAS MOVED OVER THE
NE...LOW LEVELS REMAIN MOIST. OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT AS EVIDENT
NOW OVER THE E...BUT STILL DECENT DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH S TO SE
LOW LEVEL WINDS AND MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NW. STILL PLENTY
UNSTABLE AS WELL WITH -5 TO -6 LIFTED INDICES FROM THE NE TO THE SC
MOUNTAINS. PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE SW AS WELL...WITH SATELLITE
LOOPS SHOWING MID LEVEL MOISTURE CREEPING N. THE FAR NW THOUGH WILL
AGAIN BE THE QUIETEST REGION THIS EVE. STORMS LIKELY TO REMAIN OVER
THE SW AND WC AREAS THE LONGEST...PERHAPS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

THE W WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR STORMS ON SUN AS UPPER HIGH DRIFTS E
AND ALLOWS SOME OF THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER NRN MEXICO AND SE AZ
TO STREAM N. MOISTURE PLUME THEN GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE W TO SW FLOW
ALOFT AND INVADES THE NRN AREAS MON INTO TUE.

HIGH BECOMES CENTERED IN THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY MIDWEEK AND
CUTS OFF THE DEEPER FLOW OF MOISTURE. HOWEVER...THIS POSITION OPENS
UP THE E TO DISTURBANCES AND MCS DEVELOPMENT. THUS MAIN FOCUS FOR
THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD WILL BE OVER THE E. MODELS STILL SHOWING
A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT AS WELL TO MOVE S OVER THE ERN PLAINS WED
NIGHT AND THU...BRINGING COOLER TEMPS AND A MORE MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW.
CHJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  61  91  63  89 /   5  30  40  30
GALLUP..........................  57  87  57  85 /  20  30  40  20
GRANTS..........................  56  87  55  85 /  20  30  30  20
GLENWOOD........................  64  90  61  91 /  30  40  30  20
CHAMA...........................  47  82  49  80 /  10  30  30  30
LOS ALAMOS......................  58  86  57  84 /  20  20  30  20
RED RIVER.......................  44  77  45  76 /  20  10  10  30
TAOS............................  53  87  53  84 /  20  20  20  30
SANTA FE........................  59  88  57  87 /  20  20  20  20
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  60  90  58  87 /  20  20  20  20
ESPANOLA........................  57  93  59  90 /  20  20  30  20
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  69  91  67  90 /  20  20  30  20
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  64  93  63  91 /  20  20  30  20
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  65  90  64  89 /  20  20  30  20
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  65  91  65  90 /  20  20  30  20
SOCORRO.........................  63  93  63  90 /  30  20  20  10
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  59  87  59  83 /  30  20  30  20
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  55  90  55  88 /  30  20  20  10
CARRIZOZO.......................  63  93  60  92 /  20  20  10  10
RUIDOSO.........................  57  82  54  83 /  30  20  20  20
RATON...........................  55  90  54  87 /  20  10  10  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  57  87  54  85 /  30  10  20  20
ROY.............................  61  89  60  87 /  20   5   5  10
CLAYTON.........................  63  93  63  91 /  20   5   0  10
SANTA ROSA......................  62  95  60  93 /  20   5   5  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  68  98  66  96 /  20   5   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  65  95  65  93 /  10   5   5   5
CLOVIS..........................  66  94  65  94 /  10   5   0   0
PORTALES........................  66  95  64  95 /  10   5   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  69  97  66  96 /  10   5   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
555 AM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

NMZ001>021-026-261200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
555 AM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
ARE THE MAIN THREATS. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY IN A BAND STRETCHING FROM
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL SECTIONS.  LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY
WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WHERE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
TODAY...INCLUDING UNION...HARDING...COLFAX AND MORA COUNTIES...
MAINLY BETWEEN 2 AND 7 PM.

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
433 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

NMZ005-260000-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
433 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL MORA COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN CENTRAL MORA COUNTY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
STATE ROAD 120 BETWEEN OCATE AND WAGON MOUND WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST
ACROSS STATE ROAD 120 TOWARD WAGON MOUND AND INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 385 AND 395.

EXPECT HEAVY DOWNPOURS...A FEW MINUTES OF HAIL...LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
AND FREQUENT THUNDER AND LIGHTNING AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH.

TIE DOWN LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND...AND
DRIVERS OF LARGE OR TALL VEHICLES SHOULD EXPECT GUSTY AND SHIFTING
WINDS. HEAVIER DOWNPOURS WILL BOOST WATER LEVELS IN DITCHES...
ARROYOS...AND CULVERTS. IF DRIVING...EXPECT PATCHES OF WATER
COVERING THE ROAD. DO NOT USE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOWING WATER.

SHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
446 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

NMZ004-005-011-252315-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
446 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER GALLINAS IN NORTHWEST SAN MIGUEL
COUNTY...

AT 442 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR EL PORVENIR. THE STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH...AND MAY REACH
WESTERN LAS VEGAS BY 515 PM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GALLINAS...MINERAL
HILL...MONTEZUMA...SAN ANTONIO...SAN GERONIMO AND SAN IGNACIO.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

44

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
452 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

NMZ005-007-252345-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
452 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER NORTHWEST UNION AND FAR
NORTHEAST COLFAX COUNTIES...

AT 454 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR DES MOINES. THE STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CAPULIN AND FOLSOM.

HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND IN LOW SPOTS. FAST
RUNNING WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

44

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
532 PM MDT SAT AUG 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             MINERAL HILL            35.61N 105.40W
08/25/2007  E1.00 INCH       SAN MIGUEL         NM   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HAIL CONSISTED MAINLY OF PEA SIZE HAIL, WITH HAIL AS
            LARGE AS QUARTERS PRODUCED. HAIL BEGAN AT 1715 AND WAS
            STILL HAILING AS OF 1725 MDT

&&

JS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>