Flash Flood Warning 53, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 311243
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
540 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006

AZC019-311315-
PIMA AZ-
540 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM MST FOR EAST
CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

AT 535 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL PIMA 
COUNTY. HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS BEEN ACROSS THE FAR EAST SIDE OF 
TUCSON...IN THE RINCON MOUNTAINS...AND IN MIDTOWN TUCSON WHERE 
SEVERAL CITY STREETS HAVE EXPERIENCED FLOODING. 

AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF 
EASTERN PIMA COUNTY THROUGH THE MORNING RUSH HOURS. MOTORISTS ARE 
URGED TO AVOID DRIVING INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. REMEMBER...THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR 
CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. 

AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN PINAL COUNTY AND SURROUNDING AREAS OF EASTERN PIMA 
COUNTY NOT COVERED BY THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING. 

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3181 11100 3179 11048 3201 11049 3242 11051
      3231 11125

$$

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
820 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006

.SYNOPSIS...A VERY MOIST AIR MASS AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE ROTATING
AROUND THE UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL RESULT IN MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. FLASH FLOODING WILL ONCE AGAIN BE
A CONCERN TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AS STORMS TRACK SOUTH FROM
THE RIM COUNTRY THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA. THE AIR MASS OVER THE
REGION WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT BY WEDNESDAY...WITH A RETURN TO THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM FORECAST TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO START TO INCREASE TO MORE
SEASONABLE VALUES.
&&

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY QUIETER OUT THERE THAN COMPARED TO 24 HOURS
AGO...HOWEVER...WHERE THERE IS ACTIVITY IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO 24
HOURS AGO. ACTIVITY ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER HAS DIED DOWN
CONSIDERABLY...GIVEN THAT THERE WAS A GOOD DEAL OF SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DOWN THERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONLY REAL
ACTIVITY ON RADAR NOW WITHIN THE CWA IS OVER CENTRAL PIMA
COUNTY...JUST SOUTHEAST OF SANTA ROSA...AND EVEN THAT IS BEGINNING
TO DIMINISH. DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE CWA ARE ALL LINGERING IN THE MID
60S...WITH TEMPERATURES SPLIT...TUS AND SAD IN THE UPPER
70S...DUG...OLS AND FHU IN THE LOWER 70S. BOTH IR SATELLITE AND
RADAR MOSAIC SHOW ACTIVITY BUILDING UP OFF THE RIM AND HEADING
SOUTHWARD...AGAIN...NEARLY IDENTICAL TO 24 HOURS AGO. THAT
SAID...WILL LIKELY SEE AN UPSWING IN ACTIVITY FOR THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...BUT FOR NOW...A RELATIVELY QUIET EVENING.

CURRENT MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW A BREAK IN THIS PATTERN UNTIL
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW OVER NEW MEXICO IS
FINALLY PUSHED EASTWARD. AS ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE DEPARTS...THAT
WILL NOT BE THE END OF THE RAINFALL. INSTEAD...ENOUGH MOISTURE
REMAINS TO JUST BRING US BACK TO THE STANDARD MONSOON FORECAST OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS....WITH BEST
CHANCES...AND BEST MOISTURE...IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA.
THIS TYPE OF ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM MIDWEEK THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

NOT EXPECTING TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.
&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH PUBLIC ZONES
 AZZ019-029-030-031-033-035 UNTIL 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING.
&&

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SMR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
153 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006

AZZ019-029-030-032>035-311600-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
153 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAD RESULTED IN
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND RUNNING WATER IN NORMALLY DRY
WASHES AND RIVERS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA REMAINED
VERY MOIST. ANY RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS
AIR MASS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ031-311600-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
153 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR FAR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE NOT MANAGED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS FAR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE AREA TONIGHT...THE THREAT
OF WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MINIMAL. THUS...THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.