Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 9, 2006Crawford County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 9, 2006, 1:30 PM CST for Crawford County, Arkansas. It was in force for 60 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 9, 2006, 1:30 PM CST (19:30 UTC)
Expired: Mar 9, 2006, 2:30 PM CST
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Crawford County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 9, 1:50 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 58	Fort Smith, AR	MEASURED WIND AT FORT SMITH ASOS. WIND LASTED FROM 150PM TO 153PM PER MINUTE OBSERVATIONS.
Mar 9, 1:53 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 58	Fort Smith, AR	MEASURED WIND AT FORT SMITH ASOS. WIND LASTED FROM 150PM TO 153 PM PER MINUTE OBSERVATIONS.
Mar 9, 1:58 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	4 N Alma, AR	ROOF REPORTED OFF BUILDING ON HWY 71 4 MILES NORTH OF I-40
Mar 9, 2:05 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Dyer, AR	BUILDINGS REPORTED DAMAGED BY WIND NEAR DYER AND KIBLER IN CRAWFORD COUNTY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 20 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 9, 12:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1055 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 091930
SVRTSA
ARC033-092030-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0035.060309T1930Z-060309T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
130 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 230 PM CST

* AT 128 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
  TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF VAN BUREN...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...VAN BUREN...
  FIGURE FIVE...CEDARVILLE...NATURAL DAM...RUDY...ALMA...LEE CREEK...
  DYER...MOUNTAINBURG AND CHESTER.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3565 9447 3537 9444 3542 9407 3574 9401
      3575 9449

$$

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 091955
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
156 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ARC033-092030-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060309T2030Z/
CRAWFORD AR-
156 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR
CRAWFORD COUNTY...

AT 152 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ALMA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...NATURAL DAM...
DYER...LEE CREEK...PLEASANT HILL...MOUNTAINBURG...CHESTER AND LOCKE.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3565 9447 3537 9444 3542 9407 3574 9401
      3575 9449

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 092011
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
210 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ARC033-092030-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060309T2030Z/
CRAWFORD AR-
210 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR
CRAWFORD COUNTY...

AT 207 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DYER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...LEE CREEK...
PLEASANT HILL...MOUNTAINBURG...CHESTER AND LOCKE.

WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED IN DYER AND KIBLER WITH THIS STORM. 

A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF KIBLER.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3565 9447 3537 9444 3542 9407 3574 9401
      3575 9449

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 092028
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
228 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ARC033-092038-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060309T2030Z/
CRAWFORD AR-
228 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY EXPIRES AT 230
PM CST...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6PM.

LAT...LON 3565 9447 3537 9444 3542 9407 3574 9401
      3575 9449

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 9, 1:07 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 1:07 PM CST, 23 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
107 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
ONGOING SEVERE STORMS MOVING INTO EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ARE
OPERATING WITHIN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /LI MINUS 2 TO MINUS 4/ AND
INTENSE DEEP LAYER SHEAR /0-6KM > 70KT/.  WIND FIELDS ARE SHOWING A
WIDE RANGE IN POTENTIAL STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES WITH ONLY MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE STORM MOTION INPUT.  THESE HELICITIES NOT ONLY
SHOW LARGE VARIABILITY...BUT ALSO VARY BETWEEN NEGATIVE AND
POSITIVE.  THE INTENSITY OF THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS MORE THAN
ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT MESOCYCLONES EVIDENT IN CURRENT RADAR
IMAGERY...WHICH WILL ONLY FURTHER SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
HAIL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 1
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 1

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 12:50 PM CST, 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EAST OF A SILOAM SPRINGS TO MCALESTER LINE.
	ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY MID EVENING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND WILL
LIKELY EXPAND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LARGE
HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH UP TO GOLFBALL
SIZE LIKELY. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOON AFTER
SUNSET...WITH AN ASSOCIATED DECREASE IN THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN BY FRIDAY AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO WARM BACK INTO THE 70S WHILE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
INCREASE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN BY THIS WEEKEND AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY
REMAINS NEAR THE REGION AND AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDER APPEAR TO BE OVER FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:14 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1214 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 AM     HAIL             3 W STILWELL            35.81N 94.68W
03/09/2006  E0.88 INCH       ADAIR              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

FSP

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:52 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1252 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             2 NE ENTERPRISE         35.25N 95.35W
03/09/2006  E1.00 INCH       HASKELL            OK   PUBLIC

            MID WAY BETWEEN ENTERPRISE AND WHITEFIELD

&&

MEB

Local storm report, Mar 9, 1:11 PM CST, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
111 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     HAIL             3 E CANADIAN            35.18N 95.60W
03/09/2006  E0.75 INCH       PITTSBURG          OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND

&&

MEB

Local storm report, Mar 9, 1:14 PM CST, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
114 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     HAIL             TAMAHA                  35.40N 94.98W
03/09/2006  E0.75 INCH       HASKELL            OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COVERING THE GROUND

&&

MEB

Local storm report, Mar 9, 1:21 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
121 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     HAIL             SALLISAW                35.46N 94.79W
03/09/2006  E0.75 INCH       SEQUOYAH           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            COVERING THE GROUND IN SALLISAW

&&

MEB

Local storm report, Mar 9, 1:30 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
130 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0128 PM     HAIL             1 SE ROLAND             35.41N 94.50W
03/09/2006  E0.75 INCH       SEQUOYAH           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            3/4 INCH HAIL REPORTED FROM ROLAND TO NEAR MOFFETT

&&

MEB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 8, 8:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian	51 min
Mar 8, 9:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	39 min
Mar 9, 1:52 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian, Washington	73 min
Mar 9, 2:32 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	58 min
Mar 9, 4:34 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian	34 min
Mar 9, 4:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	31 min
Mar 9, 1:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Washington	55 min
Mar 9, 1:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sebastian	36 min
Mar 9, 2:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	49 min
Mar 9, 2:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Madison	56 min
Mar 9, 2:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Carroll	30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.