Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 121319
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
719 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSC041-121329-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-060312T1330Z/
DICKINSON-
719 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DICKINSON COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 719 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD EXITED THE 
AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3913 9710 3913 9696 3898 9697 3885 9692
      3865 9710 3868 9735

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
530 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

.UPDATE...NEW RUC HAS A MUCH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE DRYLINE THAN
EVEN THE 06Z NAM.  WITH ISSUANCE OF MORNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH DUE TO DEVELOPING ELEVATED STORMS...HAVE OPTED TO PULL
AFTERNOON SEVERE WORDING FARTHER WEST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI THIS MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE POOLING TO THE
SOUTH.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER IOWA KEPT THE FORECAST AREA COOL
WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 30S VERSUS 60+ SOUTH OF THE FRONT.  WIND
PROFILERS SHOWED SOUTH/SOUTHEAST H850 FLOW OVER THE FRONT AT
FORECAST TIME.  THE WARM AIR AND ADDITION MOISTURE HAVE RESULTED IN
MID CLOUD FORMATION OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING.

ADDITIONAL WARMING WILL CREATE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA.  THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH BY AFTERNOON ALLOWING DEWPOINTS TO JUMP ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS.  MEANWHILE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE FROM
EASTERN COLORADO TO NORTHEAST KANSAS BY SUNSET.  THIS WILL PUSH DRY
AIR INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST AND SET UP A DRY LINE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA DURING PEAK HEATING.

AT THE CURRENT TIME...THE STRONGEST/SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND MID
AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST.  HAVE DEPICTED A CHANCE
FOR SEVERE STORMS FROM LAWRENCE TO GARNETT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
ALSO THE DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM CENTRAL KANSAS ACROSS ABILENE TOWARD
MANHATTAN.

COOLER AIR AND STRATUS WILL SINK SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE
AND H500 LOWS MOVE TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES.  EXPECT TO SEE SOME LIGHT
PRECIP TOWARD THE NEBRASKA BORDER TONIGHT...AND WITH H850 TEMPS
DROPPING BELOW ZERO SOME OF THE LIGHT RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW.

ON MONDAY THE H500 LOW TILL BE OVER WISCONSIN AND SEEMS TOO FAR
NORTHEAST FOR MUCH MORE THAN SOME SPRINKLE/FLURRIES THIS FAR
SOUTHEAST.  HAVE OPTED TO HAVE A DRY FORECAST ON MONDAY WITH
DECREASING CLOUDS FORM THE WEST BY AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ON TUESDAY MAY CREATE SOME MID CLOUDS FOR THE
AREA...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

THIS CONCLUDES MY FINAL MIDNIGHT SHIFT WITH RETIREMENT IN 12 DAYS.

ROGERS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
515 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-131115-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
515 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MORNING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...SOME
POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
MARYSVILLE TO MANHATTAN TO COUNCIL GROVE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE FIRE DANGER INDEX WILL BE VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF A LINE FROM HIAWATHA TO TOPEKA AND BURLINGTON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
545 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ036>038-054-121245-
GEARY-LYON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
545 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR GEARY...WABAUNSEE...MORRIS AND LYON
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM CST...

AT 544 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTH OF BURDICK...OR
ABOUT 34 MILES WEST OF EMPORIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY
RAIN.

SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE IMPACTED INCLUDE BURDICK...WILSEY...
DUNLAP...COUNCIL GROVE...WHITE CITY...DWIGHT...ALTA VISTA...
VOLLAND...ALMA AND MCFARLAND. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 308 AND 313 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE
WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
605 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ035-121300-
DICKINSON-
605 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR DICKINSON COUNTY UNTIL 700 AM CST...

AT 604 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CARLTON...OR ABOUT 19 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALINA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
50 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND HEAVY RAIN.

SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE IMPACTED INCLUDE CARLTON...HOPE...
WOODBINE...ABILENE...ENTERPRISE...TALMAGE...MANCHESTER...MOONLIGHT
AND CHAPMAN. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 268
AND 289 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE
WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ054-121315-
LYON-
628 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LYON COUNTY UNTIL 715 AM CST...

AT 624 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
EMPORIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN.

SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE IMPACTED INCLUDE EMPORIA...AMERICUS...
ADMIRE AND READING. MOTORISTS ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 118 AND 153 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG
INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 143 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
638 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 AM     HAIL             6 N ABILENE             39.00N 97.21W
03/12/2006  E1.00 INCH       DICKINSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BYRNE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
640 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ021-022-121315-
CLAY-RILEY-
640 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CLAY AND RILEY COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM
CST...

AT 638 AM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A SMALL CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAKEFIELD...OR ABOUT 13
MILES NORTHEAST OF ABILENE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY
RAIN.

SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE IMPACTED INCLUDE WAKEFIELD...CLAY
CENTER...RILEY...LEONARDVILLE...GREEN AND RANDOLPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE
WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.