Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 121215
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
615 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSC127-121245-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-060312T1245Z/
MORRIS-
615 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR EASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 614 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILSEY...OR ABOUT
24 MILES NORTHWEST OF EMPORIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COUNCIL GROVE AND COUNCIL GROVE LAKE.

LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. FOR YOUR 
SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3883 9659 3881 9638 3871 9636 3853 9645
      3852 9676

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 121230
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
630 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSC127-121245-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-060312T1245Z/
MORRIS-
630 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR EASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 629 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF WILSEY...OR ABOUT 29 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COUNCIL GROVE AND COUNCIL GROVE LAKE.

LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. FOR 
YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3883 9659 3881 9638 3871 9636 3853 9645
      3852 9676

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 121237
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
636 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSC127-121246-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-060312T1245Z/
MORRIS-
636 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MORRIS COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 636 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE 
FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3883 9659 3881 9638 3871 9636 3853 9645
      3852 9676

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
530 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

.UPDATE...NEW RUC HAS A MUCH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE DRYLINE THAN
EVEN THE 06Z NAM.  WITH ISSUANCE OF MORNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH DUE TO DEVELOPING ELEVATED STORMS...HAVE OPTED TO PULL
AFTERNOON SEVERE WORDING FARTHER WEST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI THIS MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE POOLING TO THE
SOUTH.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER IOWA KEPT THE FORECAST AREA COOL
WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 30S VERSUS 60+ SOUTH OF THE FRONT.  WIND
PROFILERS SHOWED SOUTH/SOUTHEAST H850 FLOW OVER THE FRONT AT
FORECAST TIME.  THE WARM AIR AND ADDITION MOISTURE HAVE RESULTED IN
MID CLOUD FORMATION OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING.

ADDITIONAL WARMING WILL CREATE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA.  THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH BY AFTERNOON ALLOWING DEWPOINTS TO JUMP ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS.  MEANWHILE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE FROM
EASTERN COLORADO TO NORTHEAST KANSAS BY SUNSET.  THIS WILL PUSH DRY
AIR INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST AND SET UP A DRY LINE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA DURING PEAK HEATING.

AT THE CURRENT TIME...THE STRONGEST/SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND MID
AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST.  HAVE DEPICTED A CHANCE
FOR SEVERE STORMS FROM LAWRENCE TO GARNETT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
ALSO THE DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM CENTRAL KANSAS ACROSS ABILENE TOWARD
MANHATTAN.

COOLER AIR AND STRATUS WILL SINK SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE
AND H500 LOWS MOVE TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES.  EXPECT TO SEE SOME LIGHT
PRECIP TOWARD THE NEBRASKA BORDER TONIGHT...AND WITH H850 TEMPS
DROPPING BELOW ZERO SOME OF THE LIGHT RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW.

ON MONDAY THE H500 LOW TILL BE OVER WISCONSIN AND SEEMS TOO FAR
NORTHEAST FOR MUCH MORE THAN SOME SPRINKLE/FLURRIES THIS FAR
SOUTHEAST.  HAVE OPTED TO HAVE A DRY FORECAST ON MONDAY WITH
DECREASING CLOUDS FORM THE WEST BY AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ON TUESDAY MAY CREATE SOME MID CLOUDS FOR THE
AREA...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

THIS CONCLUDES MY FINAL MIDNIGHT SHIFT WITH RETIREMENT IN 12 DAYS.

ROGERS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
515 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-131115-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
515 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MORNING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...SOME
POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
MARYSVILLE TO MANHATTAN TO COUNCIL GROVE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE FIRE DANGER INDEX WILL BE VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF A LINE FROM HIAWATHA TO TOPEKA AND BURLINGTON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
545 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ036>038-054-121245-
GEARY-LYON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
545 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR GEARY...WABAUNSEE...MORRIS AND LYON
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM CST...

AT 544 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTH OF BURDICK...OR
ABOUT 34 MILES WEST OF EMPORIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY
RAIN.

SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE IMPACTED INCLUDE BURDICK...WILSEY...
DUNLAP...COUNCIL GROVE...WHITE CITY...DWIGHT...ALTA VISTA...
VOLLAND...ALMA AND MCFARLAND. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 308 AND 313 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE
WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.