Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Great Falls, MT

June 4, 2006Fergus County, Montana

NWS Great Falls, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 4, 2006, 5:16 PM MDT for Fergus County, Montana. It was in force for 59 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 4, 2006, 5:16 PM MDT (23:16 UTC)
Expired: Jun 4, 2006, 6:15 PM MDT
In force: 59 min
Issued by: NWS Great Falls, MT
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Fergus County, MT

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 4, 5:37 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 63	2 W Lewistown, MT	LEWISTOWN AIRPORT.
Jun 4, 5:40 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lewistown, MT	ROOF BLOWN OFF A BUILDING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 21 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 4, 4:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1983 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KTFX 042317
SVRTFX
MTC027-050015-
/O.NEW.KTFX.SV.W.0013.060604T2316Z-060605T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
516 PM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREAT FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FERGUS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MONTANA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LEWISTOWN

* UNTIL 615 PM MDT

* AT 509 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF
  GERALDINE TO 17 MILES SOUTH OF HOBSON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR MOORE BY 530 PM MDT
  NEAR LEWISTOWN BY 550 PM MDT
  NEAR HILGER BY 600 PM MDT
  NEAR WINIFRED BY 610 PM MDT

THIS ALSO INCLUDES HIGHWAY 200 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 65 AND 109.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH
THESE STORMS.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4675 10875 4676 10938 4670 10939 4670 10975
      4678 10975 4681 10983 4690 10974 4718 10975
      4723 10999 4728 11001 4728 11012 4736 11011
      4741 11020 4756 10983 4771 10983 4775 10959
      4773 10942 4780 10926 4779 10918 4675 10875

$$

SCHAUMANN

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS55 KTFX 042358
SVSTFX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
558 PM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

MTC027-050015-
/O.CON.KTFX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-060605T0015Z/
FERGUS MT-
558 PM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 615 PM MDT FOR
FERGUS COUNTY...

AT 552 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 14 MILES WEST OF WINIFRED TO 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEWISTOWN...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS ALSO INCLUDES HIGHWAY 200 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 66 AND 110.

WIND GUSTS AROUND 70 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

PARTICULARLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED MOBILE HOMES AND HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES ARE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH WINDS AND MAY BE
OVERTURNED. MOVE TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONTANA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

LAT...LON 4676 10875 4676 10938 4671 10939 4670 10974
      4679 10973 4681 10981 4691 10972 4718 10974
      4723 10997 4729 11001 4729 11010 4736 11009
      4741 11018 4757 10981 4771 10981 4775 10959
      4773 10941 4780 10926 4778 10916 4676 10875

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 4, 2:30 PM MDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 2:30 PM MDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
230 PM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

.DISCUSSION...
A PACIFIC COOL FRONT IS QUICKLY APPROACHING THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL CREATE AN ACTIVE WEATHER
NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH WESTERN MONTANA AT
2 PM...AND THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MONTANA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. CURRENT THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND A PORTION OF CENTRAL MONTANA...WHILE A NEW
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR
EARLY THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA AND
PARTS OF EASTERN MONTANA. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO GRADUALLY COME TO
AND END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
COOL TOWARDS FORECASTED LOWS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WHEN SOME CLEARING
TAKES PLACE.

FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED TO RESIDE OVER THE REGION DURING THIS TIME. A NEW UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER CENTRAL MONTANA. THIS RIDGE WILL ALLOW
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY WARM BACKUP INTO THE MID 80S...(OR
CLOSE TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) BY TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
COOL NICELY DO TO DRY AIR IN PLACE. RIGHT NOW THE AIRMASS LOOKS TO
STABLE AND DRY FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT A VERY ISOLATED
MOUNTAIN SHOWER CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS MID WEAK.
BRUSDA

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST. RETURN TO A MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION. WARM TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A
WET AND COOLING TREND FOR FRIDAY. CAMP

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT DURING THIS
PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY. MOST OF THE ENERGY AND MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM GOES
NORTH OF THE AREA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
MOST AREAS. WEAK RIDGING ALOFT SUNDAY DRIES ALL BUT THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS WHERE A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT RESULTS IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES COOL A FEW DEGREES BUT REMAIN NEAR
SEASONAL AVERAGES. EK

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1803Z
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA IS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
UNTIL 00Z. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS MOVING ACROSS WESTERN MONTANA
AND WILL BE MOVING INTO CENTRAL MONTANA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WITH THE POTENTIAL OF
STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS. GUSTS TO 60KTS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THESE
THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BUT
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO HYDROLOGIC PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  50  79  48  82 /  60   0   0   0
CTB  47  77  47  80 /  70   0   0   0
HLN  51  83  51  88 /  60   0  10  10
BZN  49  81  44  86 /  50   0   0   0
WEY  37  76  38  78 /  30   0   0  10
DLN  48  79  46  84 /  30   0   0   0
HVR  53  84  51  87 /  80   0   0   0
LWT  51  79  48  82 /  90   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MONTANA AND ALL OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA...

&&

SHORT TERM...BRUSDA
LONG TERM...CAMP/EK/ZELZER
AVIATION...ZELZER

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 9:30 AM MDT, 7 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
930 AM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

MTZ008>015-044>055-051200-
BEAVERHEAD-NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-
CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-
TOOLE-LIBERTY-EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
930 AM MDT SUN JUN 4 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF NORTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER MOST NORTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY IN THE
EVENING...WITH THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS BEING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO
OCCUR IS FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON...UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

BRUSDA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:12 PM MDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
412 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SW GREAT FALLS        47.47N 111.34W
06/04/2006  M64 MPH          CASCADE            MT   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            64 MPH WIND GUST AT THE NWS OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.

&&

BRUSDA

Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:15 PM MDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
415 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SW CASCADE            47.24N 111.75W
06/04/2006  M71 MPH          CASCADE            MT   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            71 MPH WIND GUSTS NWS OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.

&&

BRUSDA

Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:22 PM MDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
422 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND GST     25 SE CASCADE           47.01N 111.33W
06/04/2006  E60 MPH          CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND SPEEDS ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH.

&&

BRUSDA

Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:29 PM MDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
429 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SW GREAT FALLS        47.47N 111.34W
06/04/2006  M64 MPH          CASCADE            MT   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            64 MPH PEAK WIND GUST...52 MPH SUSTAINED WIND AT THE
            GREAT FALLS AIRPORT.

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREAT FALLS             47.50N 111.29W
06/04/2006                   CASCADE            MT   NWS EMPLOYEE

            WIND SPEEDS ESTIMATED NEAR 70 MPH. APPLE TREE BLOWN DOWN
            IN THE FOX FARM AREA.

&&

BRUSDA

Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:56 PM MDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
456 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SE RAYNESFORD         47.25N 110.70W
06/04/2006  E60 MPH          JUDITH BASIN       MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WINDS ESTIMATED...WITH UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
            DIAMETER.

&&

BRUSDA

Local storm report, Jun 4, 5:04 PM MDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
504 PM MDT SUN JUN 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VAUGHN                  47.56N 111.54W
06/04/2006                   CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BILLBOARD ALONG I-15 BLOWN DOWN DUE TO HIGH WINDS.

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE BLACK EAGLE        47.53N 111.26W
06/04/2006                   CASCADE            MT   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            RECREATIONAL VEHICLES PUSHED OVER AND FUNNAL CLOUD SITED.

0430 PM     HAIL             5 E CENTERVILLE         47.39N 111.04W
06/04/2006  E0.50 INCH       CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS GUSTING TO 70 MPH.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREAT FALLS             47.50N 111.29W
06/04/2006                   CASCADE            MT   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON TRUCK AND NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLOWEREE                47.73N 111.03W
06/04/2006                   CHOUTEAU           MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER BROKEN OFF TREES.

&&

SAUCIER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Great Falls, MT issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 4, 3:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Lewis and Clark	42 min
Jun 4, 3:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Cascade	63 min
Jun 4, 4:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Gallatin	24 min
Jun 4, 4:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Cascade, Judith Basin	64 min
Jun 4, 5:23 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	TFX	Chouteau	37 min
Jun 4, 5:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Gallatin	37 min
Jun 4, 5:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TFX	Chouteau, Hill, Liberty	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.