Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 26, 2006, 2:35 PM EDT for Hardee County, Florida. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 26, 2006, 2:35 PM EDT (18:35 UTC)
- Expired
- May 26, 2006, 3:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Hardee County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 3:15 PM EDT | HAIL 0.75 | 8 Wsw Bowling Green, FL |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 45 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 454 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -102 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 873 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KTBW 261836 SVRTBW FLC049-261915- /O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0013.060526T1835Z-060526T1915Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 235 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 315 PM EDT * AT 235 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT... FORT GREEN. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. && LAT...LON 2764 8205 2753 8205 2754 8182 2764 8182 $$ 17
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS52 KTBW 261854 SVSTBW SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 250 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 FLC049-261915- /O.CON.KTBW.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-060526T1915Z/ HARDEE- 250 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM EDT... AT 250 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES WEST OF WAUCHULA...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT... FORT GREEN. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING... PENNY SIZE HAIL. 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. EXCESSIVE AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN. OR YOU CAN ALSO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN DIRECTLY AT 813.645.2323 TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER. && LAT...LON 2764 8205 2753 8205 2754 8182 2764 8182 $$ 17
000 WWUS52 KTBW 261911 SVSTBW SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 311 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 FLC049-261921- /O.EXP.KTBW.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-060526T1915Z/ HARDEE- 311 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 315 PM EDT... AT 311 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THE THUNDERSTORM HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION. && LAT...LON 2764 8205 2753 8205 2754 8182 2764 8182 $$ 17
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 26, 1:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 26, 1:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 131 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SUN)...SUB-TROPICAL JET OVER THE CENTRAL GULF AREA WILL KEEP CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA UNDER SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER TONIGHT. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET BUT SOME WEAK IMPULSES RIDING ALONG THE JET MAY BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR COUNTIES. THE UPPER LEVEL JET WILL FURTHER WEAKEN AND MIGRATE TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH LATEST GFS/ETA SHOWING MODERATE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND SLIDING INTO THE AREA BY SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY BROAD RIDGING AT THE SURFACE ...ALONG WITH A DRIER AIRMASS ALOFT...WILL DECREASE CHANCES OF RAIN TO 30 PERCENT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA AND 20 PERCENT ELSEWHERE. BUT LATEST X-SECT ANALYSIS SHOW THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL MID AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH COULD COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES TO BRING SOME SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CELL OVER THE ATLANTIC BECOMES BROADER AND STRONGER THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER FLORIDA WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN WITH ITS AXIS STRETCHING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. THIS WILL KEEP MOSTLY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN WILL HELP IN KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .LONG TERM (SUN NIGHT-FRI)...MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT FOR SUN NIGHT WITH AN UPPER LOW OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC OFF THE CAROLINA COAST AND A SFC INVERTED TROF OFF THE E COAST OF FL. THE UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT SW TOWARDS A POSITION NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS MON NIGHT...WHEREAS THE SFC TROF AMPLIFIES. UNFORTUNATELY FOR THOSE EXPECTING THE BEGINNING OF THE RAINY SEASON...THESE FEATURES WILL MEAN DRY AIR FILTERING BACK INTO THE CWA FROM THE NORTH. MOST MODELS INDICATE THIS LOW WILL MAINTAIN ITS POSITION OFF THE E COAST OF FL THRU WED NIGHT. AFTER THAT THE MODELS SPLIT...WITH THE ECMWF AND DGEX INDICATING CONTINUED SLOW MOVEMENT AS A BLOCKING PATTERN SETS UP OVER THE E CAST... WHEREAS THE GFS SHIFTS THE LOW NE AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROF COMING DOWN LATE IN THE WEEK. BECAUSE OF THE DRIER FLOW ALOFT...RAIN CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD WILL BE 20 PCT OR LESS. ONLY MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR CHANCE THAT UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT OVER THE STATE AS THE DGEX SUGGESTS. OTHERWISE...REDUCED SKY COVER WILL TEMPS AROUND NORMAL TO POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE. && .MARINE...CURRENT SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS AND SLIDE FURTHER SOUTH ONLY TO BE REINFORCED BY STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHEAST. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE DURING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WHEN MARINERS MAY EXPERIENCE BRIEF PERIODS OF INCREASING WINDS AND DETERIORATING SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF THE STORMS. && .AVIATION...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTN EXCEPT FOR AROUND SCT TSTMS THAT DEVELOP. WEAK WRLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MEAN THE STORMS WILL PUSH INLAND BY LATE AFTN. ONLY THING TO WATCH FOR IS ANY BACKBUILDING THAT OCCURS AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES COME OUT OF THE STORMS. BY LATER THIS EVENING AREA WILL CLEAR OUT. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AT DAYBREAK SATURDAY IN AREAS THAT GET RAIN TODAY...BUT TOO EARLY TO MENTION IN TAFS ATTM. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS REGARDING FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS POTENTIAL TODAY OR TOMORROW AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP DURATIONS OF CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO LESS THAN 4 HOURS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. BUT THIS SCENARIO WILL CHANGE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WHEN A DRIER PATTERN IS EXPECTED. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 71 89 74 91 / 10 20 10 20 FMY 71 89 72 92 / 20 30 10 30 GIF 71 91 71 92 / 20 30 10 20 SRQ 71 86 72 89 / 10 20 10 20 BKV 66 91 66 90 / 10 20 10 20 SPG 74 87 75 89 / 10 20 10 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WX...REYNES LONG TERM/AVIATION...SHARP
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 4:42 AM EDT, 9 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 442 AM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-261445- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 442 AM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...AND PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER INLAND AREAS. THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF STORMS WILL BE FROM POLK COUNTY SOUTH TO LEE COUNTY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE AND HEATING COMBINE WITH THE SEA BREEZE. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY EVENINGS...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTH OR INTERIOR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 26, 1:59 PM EDT, 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 FLZ055-056-261830- MANATEE-HARDEE- 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN MANATEE AND WESTERN HARDEE COUNTIES... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT MYAKKA HEAD AND ONA...UNTIL 230 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. RJS
Special weather statement, May 26, 2:27 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 227 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 FLZ055-056-061-261930- MANATEE-DE SOTO-HARDEE- 227 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HARDEE AND EASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES... THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT MYAKKA HEAD... LILY...ONA...WAUCHULA AND ZOLFO SPRINGS...UNTIL 330 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS ON HIGHWAY 64...HIGHWAY 17...AND HIGHWAY 66 IN THESE COUNTIES SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO GUSTY WINDS...POOR VISIBILITY...AND PONDING WATER...ALL DUE TO THESE THUNDERSTORMS. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES. NP
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 4:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 29 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.