Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 870

November 29, 200615 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 29, 2006, 8:47 PM CST for 15 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2006, 8:47 PM CST (02:47 UTC)
Expired
Nov 30, 2006, 2:00 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bandera County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Llano County, TX, Medina County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 8:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera62 min
Nov 29, 9:17 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXBandera28 min
Nov 29, 9:33 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXMedina27 min
Nov 29, 9:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Kendall53 min
Nov 29, 10:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXComal54 min
Nov 29, 11:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXComal65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2006-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 545 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2006-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
545 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1291 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 6:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Coleman, Collin, Comanche, Dallas and 21 more57 min
Nov 29, 8:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Gillespie, Hays and 2 more57 min
Nov 29, 10:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Deaf Smith, Donley and 11 more2 hr
Nov 30, 1:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 16 more65 min
Nov 30, 2:43 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Clay, Coke and 35 more6 hr
Nov 30, 6:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Burnet, Collin, Coryell, Dallas and 13 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.