Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 826
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 15, 2006, 3:55 PM CDT for 27 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2006, 3:55 PM CDT (20:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 15, 2006, 9:34 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 53 min |
| Oct 15, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 61 min |
| Oct 15, 6:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Reeves | 49 min |
| Oct 15, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 44 min |
| Oct 15, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ward | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 288 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 572 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 196 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 5:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | El Paso, Hudspeth | 85 min |
| Oct 15, 9:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Culberson, Dawson and 14 more | 60 min |
| Oct 15, 10:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bailey, Briscoe, Childress, Cochran, Cottle, Crosby and 21 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 15, 3:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Brewster, Crane, Culberson, Ector, El Paso and 9 more | 88 min |
| Oct 15, 6:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Ector, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan and 2 more | 63 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.