Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 2115

October 15, 20067 counties in New Mexico; 20 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 15, 2006, 8:45 AM MDT for 7 counties in New Mexico; 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2006, 8:45 AM MDT (14:45 UTC)
Expired
Oct 15, 2006, 9:45 AM MDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Otero County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, El Paso County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Terry County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 179 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 288 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
288 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 4:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoña Ana, Luna, Otero, Sierra85 min
Oct 15, 9:13 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChaves, Doña Ana, Eddy, Lea, Otero, Roosevelt8 hr
Oct 15, 2:55 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCEddy, Lea6 hr
Oct 15, 2:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Brewster, Crane, Culberson, Ector, El Paso and 9 more88 min
Oct 15, 5:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Ector, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan and 2 more63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.