Tornado Watch 293

Issued

May 5, 2006, 12:08 PM MDT (18:08 UTC)

Expired

May 5, 2006, 9:00 PM MDT

In force

9 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

3 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

60%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

50%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

50%

Ten or more severe hail reports

90%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

80%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

95%

• Mesoscale Discussion 764May 5, 11:36 AM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 769May 5, 5:49 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 770May 5, 6:26 PM MDT

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 051816
SEL3  
SPC WW 051816
NMZ000-TXZ000-060300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
110 PM CDT FRI MAY 5 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
       PERMIAN BASIN AND CONCHO VALLEY OF WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 110 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
ROSWELL NEW MEXICO TO 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF JUNCTION TEXAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 292...

DISCUSSION...SURFACE HEATING IS BEGINNING TO ERODE THE CAP ALONG A
BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM EXTREME SE NM TO MAF TO JUST N OF SJT. 
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 F...AND VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
RESULT IN MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG ALONG AND S OF THIS FRONT.
IN ADVANCE OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD OVER FAR W
TX...INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND VERTICAL SHEAR CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER W CENTRAL TX THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS
WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY...WITH SEVERAL STORMS EXPECTED TO BECOME SUPERCELLS.  VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY...WHILE A FEW TORNADOES
COULD OCCUR WITH STORMS MOVING ALONG THE FRONT...WHERE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE AND SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...THOMPSON

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2006Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.