Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 263

April 29, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 29, 2006, 12:47 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2006, 12:47 PM CDT (17:47 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2006, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 104 counties

Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 12:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard55 min
Apr 29, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHOrange24 min
Apr 29, 1:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu39 min
Apr 29, 2:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKPulaski2 hr
Apr 29, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu31 min
Apr 29, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHRapides39 min
Apr 29, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles27 min
Apr 29, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHLafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin31 min
Apr 29, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHAvoyelles3 hr
Apr 29, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKOuachita24 min
Apr 29, 7:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHLafayette3 hr
Apr 29, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHIberia2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 187 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 450 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
187 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
573 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 291750
SEL3  
SPC WW 291750
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-300200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 263
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA
       EASTERN TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 262. WATCH NUMBER 262 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1245 PM CDT. 

DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS TROUGH ROTATING NEWD ACROSS TX WILL SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
NOW MOVING ACROSS EASTERN OK/NERN TX.  IN ADDITION ONGOING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SERN TX/SWRN LA WILL CONTINUE AS A STRONG VERY MOIST
AIR MASS SPREADS INLAND.  EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH TORNADOS.  IN ADDITION DAMAGING WINDS
ALSO WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT LINE SEGMENTS/BOWS THAT DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING AS ACTIVITY GRADUALLY MOVES EWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 11:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHoward, Little River, Miller, Sevier7 hr
Apr 29, 4:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Miller, Sevier57 min
Apr 29, 6:04 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Union7 hr
Apr 29, 7:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Union83 min
Apr 29, 11:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 4 more65 min
Apr 29, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead and 17 more86 min
Apr 29, 6:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway, Dallas and 12 more94 min
Apr 29, 9:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu, Grant, Jackson and 7 more2 hr
Apr 29, 5:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more6 hr
Apr 28, 8:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston, Love and 1 more91 min
Apr 29, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 17 more115 min
Apr 28, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 33 more6 hr
Apr 28, 10:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Camp, Cass and 32 more87 min
Apr 28, 11:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Edwards, Frio, Kendall, Kerr and 5 more91 min
Apr 29, 1:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Brazos and 24 more24 min
Apr 29, 1:58 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 18 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2006Tornado Watches in Texas, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.