Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 721

August 14, 20066 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 14, 2006, 3:47 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2006, 3:47 PM CDT (20:47 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2006, 9:35 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 91 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Posey County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Obion County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIzard44 min
Aug 14, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Clair, Washington49 min
Aug 14, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell56 min
Aug 14, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSearcy44 min
Aug 14, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion57 min
Aug 14, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence43 min
Aug 14, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCape Girardeau57 min
Aug 14, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp40 min
Aug 14, 4:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFHowell6 hr
Aug 14, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell80 min
Aug 14, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon77 min
Aug 14, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Francois41 min
Aug 14, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXLawrence30 min
Aug 14, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson42 min
Aug 14, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Lawrence38 min
Aug 14, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson42 min
Aug 14, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBallard, Carlisle22 min
Aug 14, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead46 min
Aug 14, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett52 min
Aug 14, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGraves27 min
Aug 14, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay44 min
Aug 14, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi49 min
Aug 14, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGGreene52 min
Aug 14, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion49 min
Aug 14, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay45 min
Aug 14, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPoinsett30 min
Aug 14, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDunklin34 min
Aug 14, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi34 min
Aug 14, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot49 min
Aug 14, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lake28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2006-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 328 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2006-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
328 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-192 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1791 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 142049
SEL1  
SPC WW 142049
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-150300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT MON AUG 14 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS
       PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA
       PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY
       SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
       SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 720...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. WITH VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND 20-30 KT OF SHEAR
WIND DAMAGE WILL BE PRIMARY THREAT AS STORMS CONTINUE E/SE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 14 more118 min
Aug 14, 5:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 19 more61 min
Aug 13, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, Pike, Schuyler67 min
Aug 14, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 14 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.