Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 721
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 14, 2006, 3:47 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 14, 2006, 3:47 PM CDT (20:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 14, 2006, 9:35 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 91 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Posey County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Obion County, TN
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Izard | 44 min |
| Aug 14, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Clair, Washington | 49 min |
| Aug 14, 4:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 56 min |
| Aug 14, 4:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Searcy | 44 min |
| Aug 14, 4:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 57 min |
| Aug 14, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence | 43 min |
| Aug 14, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Cape Girardeau | 57 min |
| Aug 14, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Sharp | 40 min |
| Aug 14, 4:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Howell | 6 hr |
| Aug 14, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell | 80 min |
| Aug 14, 4:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 77 min |
| Aug 14, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Francois | 41 min |
| Aug 14, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Lawrence | 30 min |
| Aug 14, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson | 42 min |
| Aug 14, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Lawrence | 38 min |
| Aug 14, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson | 42 min |
| Aug 14, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ballard, Carlisle | 22 min |
| Aug 14, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead | 46 min |
| Aug 14, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Poinsett | 52 min |
| Aug 14, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Graves | 27 min |
| Aug 14, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 44 min |
| Aug 14, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 49 min |
| Aug 14, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Greene | 52 min |
| Aug 14, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion | 49 min |
| Aug 14, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 45 min |
| Aug 14, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Poinsett | 30 min |
| Aug 14, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 34 min |
| Aug 14, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 34 min |
| Aug 14, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Pemiscot | 49 min |
| Aug 14, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lake | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 328 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -192 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1791 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 142049
SEL1
SPC WW 142049
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-150300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT MON AUG 14 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA
PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 720...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. WITH VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND 20-30 KT OF SHEAR
WIND DAMAGE WILL BE PRIMARY THREAT AS STORMS CONTINUE E/SE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 3:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 14 more | 118 min |
| Aug 14, 5:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 19 more | 61 min |
| Aug 13, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Hancock, Pike, Schuyler | 67 min |
| Aug 14, 2:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 14 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.