Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 682

August 3, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2006, 11:48 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2006, 11:48 AM EDT (15:48 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2006, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 65 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Potter County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marion County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Preston County, WV, Tucker County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 12:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMahoning39 min
Aug 3, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean23 min
Aug 3, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany40 min
Aug 3, 1:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter67 min
Aug 3, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung52 min
Aug 3, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMTioga59 min
Aug 3, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome60 min
Aug 3, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield60 min
Aug 3, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPTioga56 min
Aug 3, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSteuben40 min
Aug 3, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna66 min
Aug 3, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll61 min
Aug 3, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming117 min
Aug 3, 3:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana56 min
Aug 3, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung61 min
Aug 3, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMWayne38 min
Aug 3, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSullivan53 min
Aug 3, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBeaver53 min
Aug 3, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton57 min
Aug 3, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna56 min
Aug 3, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana45 min
Aug 3, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler57 min
Aug 3, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne, Wyoming64 min
Aug 3, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia38 min
Aug 3, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll67 min
Aug 3, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBeaver64 min
Aug 3, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZHarrison63 min
Aug 3, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMWayne58 min
Aug 3, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZJefferson67 min
Aug 3, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong64 min
Aug 3, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBrooke58 min
Aug 3, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZWashington57 min
Aug 3, 5:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny64 min
Aug 3, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll38 min
Aug 3, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana32 min
Aug 3, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana60 min
Aug 3, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZHarrison53 min
Aug 3, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZWestmoreland61 min
Aug 3, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZMercer54 min
Aug 3, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZVenango58 min
Aug 3, 7:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2006-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1336 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2006-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1336 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
983 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 8:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, Hamilton, Herkimer, Jefferson and 7 more26 min
Aug 2, 9:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer and 10 more5 hr
Aug 2, 11:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton and 11 more96 min
Aug 3, 10:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua91 min
Aug 3, 1:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Kings, Nassau and 9 more2 hr
Aug 3, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Kings and 11 more7 hr
Aug 3, 2:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChemung86 min
Aug 3, 4:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Dutchess, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 6 more84 min
Aug 3, 7:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 3 more55 min
Aug 2, 9:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton, Lucas, Williams86 min
Aug 3, 12:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Ashland, Auglaize, Belmont, Butler, Champaign and 43 more7 hr
Aug 3, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Champaign, Clark, Coshocton, Crawford, Delaware and 16 more84 min
Aug 3, 5:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clermont, Hamilton, Preble, Warren2 hr
Aug 3, 6:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Fairfield, Gallia and 16 more83 min
Aug 3, 2:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Monroe118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.