Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652

July 28, 20067 counties in Minnesota; 25 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 28, 2006, 8:55 PM CDT for 7 counties in Minnesota; 25 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2006, 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2006, 3:41 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Oliver30 min
Jul 28, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Sioux36 min
Jul 28, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder30 min
Jul 28, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen, Norman59 min
Jul 29, 12:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman17 min
Jul 29, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2006-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 986 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2006-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
986 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-522 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1656 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
394 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 7:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarlton, Kanabec, Pine85 min
Jul 28, 9:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Pine and 2 more53 min
Jul 28, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Cass, Clearwater, Crow Wing, Douglas, Hubbard and 4 more87 min
Jul 29, 1:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater, Hubbard and 6 more55 min
Jul 29, 3:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs and 5 more5 hr
Jul 29, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs and 5 more64 min
Jul 29, 1:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Grant, Otter Tail, Stevens, Traverse, Wilkin84 min
Jul 29, 3:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBecker, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant and 10 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.