Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
311 PM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
EASTERN OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS FORECAST AREA
DURING NEXT FEW HOURS. KEEP HIGHER POPS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES
EARLY TONIGHT. SHORT WAVE STILL PROGGED TO CROSS NORTHERN PORTION OF
FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT, SO WENT WITH LIKELY POPS NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CHANCE ELSEWHERE.

FOR THURSDAY CONTINUED CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND MORE HUMIDITY AS SURFACE DEW POINTS
CREEP UP INTO THE UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
A COLD FRONT STRINGING OUT EAST WEST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE FRONT IS DEPRESSED SOUTH OF THE DISTRICT BY
SATURDAY JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES WITH NO SHOWERS IN THE NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. AS THE FRONT MOVES BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE DISTRICT FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO
DISTRICT WEDNESDAY BRINGING DRY WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
EASTERN OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS FORECAST AREA
DURING NEXT FEW HOURS. STILL SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR HLG AND MGW TERMINALS. EXPECT MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS EARLY TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS AROUND 4000 FEET AND
BROKEN CIRRUS ABOVE.

SHORT WAVE STILL PROGGED TO CROSS NORTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA
LATE TONIGHT. MENTIONED TEMPO GROUPS FOR MVFR CONDITIONS IN
THUNDERSTORMS FOR DUJ AND FKL TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT. ALSO EXPECT
MVFR VISIBILITIES IN AREAS OF FOG FOR SOUTHERN TERMINALS AFTER 09Z
THROUGH AROUND 13Z THURSDAY. EXPECT GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS LATE
THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OHZ048-057 UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
&&

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