Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
311 PM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
EASTERN OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS FORECAST AREA
DURING NEXT FEW HOURS. KEEP HIGHER POPS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES
EARLY TONIGHT. SHORT WAVE STILL PROGGED TO CROSS NORTHERN PORTION OF
FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT, SO WENT WITH LIKELY POPS NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CHANCE ELSEWHERE.

FOR THURSDAY CONTINUED CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND MORE HUMIDITY AS SURFACE DEW POINTS
CREEP UP INTO THE UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
A COLD FRONT STRINGING OUT EAST WEST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE FRONT IS DEPRESSED SOUTH OF THE DISTRICT BY
SATURDAY JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES WITH NO SHOWERS IN THE NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. AS THE FRONT MOVES BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE DISTRICT FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO
DISTRICT WEDNESDAY BRINGING DRY WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM LAKE ERIE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
EASTERN OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS FORECAST AREA
DURING NEXT FEW HOURS. STILL SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR HLG AND MGW TERMINALS. EXPECT MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS EARLY TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS AROUND 4000 FEET AND
BROKEN CIRRUS ABOVE.

SHORT WAVE STILL PROGGED TO CROSS NORTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA
LATE TONIGHT. MENTIONED TEMPO GROUPS FOR MVFR CONDITIONS IN
THUNDERSTORMS FOR DUJ AND FKL TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT. ALSO EXPECT
MVFR VISIBILITIES IN AREAS OF FOG FOR SOUTHERN TERMINALS AFTER 09Z
THROUGH AROUND 13Z THURSDAY. EXPECT GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS LATE
THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OHZ048-057 UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
433 AM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-
020>023-029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-220845-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-
VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-
ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-GREENE-
FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-
PRESTON-TUCKER-
433 AM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MARYLAND...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS.
THIS WOULD MEAN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. KEEP ABREAST OF
FUTURE FORECASTS AS CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY AND
INTO EARLY FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE AGAIN...THESE STORMS
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TODAY AND TONIGHT AND
ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1025 PM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

PAZ007-008-220330-
MERCER PA-VENANGO PA-
1025 PM EDT WED JUN 21 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS...

THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
VENANGO AND MERCER...

AT 1023 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN PITTSBURGH
INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 27 MILES WEST OF FREDONIA...OR ABOUT
18 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHARON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  CLINTONVILLE...FREDONIA...KENNERDELL...MAURICE K GODDARD STATE
  PARK...MERCER...POLK...STONEBORO AND SUGARCREEK

KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND
50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS MONITORING
THE STORMS FOR A POSSIBLE WARNING.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR OHIO AND THE PANHANDLE OF PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST
VIRGINIA.