Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 7, NWS Paducah, KY

March 9, 2006Pope County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Mar 9, 2006, 12:49 PM CST for Pope County, Illinois. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 9, 2006, 12:49 PM CST (18:49 UTC)
Expired: Mar 9, 2006, 1:15 PM CST
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pope County, IL

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 091849
TORPAH
ILC151-091915-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0007.060309T1849Z-060309T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1249 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

* UNTIL 115 PM CST.

* AT 1245 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 9 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF GLENDALE...OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH OF METROPOLIS...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  EDDYVILLE AND HEROD


IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3748 8871 3734 8871 3726 8862 3735 8850
      3743 8842 3761 8841

$$

RST/MY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 9, 5:10 AM CST, 7 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 5:10 AM CST, 7 hours 39 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
510 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

THE ITEM DESERVING ATTENTION TODAY IS THE VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE PAH FCST AREA...AND ITS POTENTIAL EFFECTS.

A WAVE OF WARM SECTOR CONVECTION MOVED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
OVERNIGHT TO THE SE OF A SFC LOW MOVING TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. SOME
STORMS HAD HIGH WIND POTENTIAL IN SERN MO FOR AWHILE...BUT AS THE
LOW MOVED RAPIDLY NORTHEAST...THE INTENSITY OF THE CONVECTION
GRADUALLY DIMINISHED. SINCE LATE YESTERDAY SOME PARTS OF SERN
MO...SRN IL...AND SWRN IN RECEIVED IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...AND THERE WERE SOME SPOTTY MINOR FLOODING REPORTS
OVERNIGHT.

THE MODELS INDICATE THAT...AFTER A POSSIBLE MORNING LULL FOR MAINLY
THE ERN SECTOR...SHWS AND TSTMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS ONCE AGAIN IN
THE AFTN. A NEGATIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL TROF...100 PLUS KNOT UPPER
JET...STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS...AND A SFC TROF ARE EXPECTED TO
PROVIDE PLENTIFUL MOISTURE...INSTABILITY...AND WIND SHEAR FOR SVR
TSTM ACTIVITY TODAY AS THE SYSTEM DIGS THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND
LIFTS RAPIDLY NE. WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG
WITH LARGE HAIL. SEE SWODY1 FOR DETAILS. WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
EARLIER RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN TODAY...IT WAS
DECIDED THAT A FLOOD WATCH WAS JUSTIFIED FOR ROUGHLY THE NWRN HALF
OF THE FCST AREA UNTIL THE WORST IS OVER TONIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY
WAS CONSIDERED BUT IT WAS THOUGHT THAT THE COPIOUS CLOUDNESS AND
RAIN MAY LIMIT THE WINDS ALOFT FROM TRANSLATING TO THE SFC THAT MUCH
/EXCEPT IN TSTMS/. HOWEVER...IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT OF CLOUD BREAKS
ESPECIALLY IN THE SERN SECTOR...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA COULD BE MET
THERE.

FRI SHOULD BE A COOL DRY DAY IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM.
THE NEXT MID LEVEL SHRTWV TROF TO AFFECT THE AREA WAS DEPICTED
DIFFERENTLY BY THE 00Z NAM/GFS BUT LOOKED QUITE SIMILAR FOR THE 06Z
RUN. SO...BY FRI NITE THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHC OF CONVECTION. POPS
WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND LINGER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
SW TO NE MID LEVEL FLOW AND PERSISTENT MOIST LOW LEVEL FLOW
DOMINATES. MADE VERY FEW CHANGES AFT DAY4.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL COUNTIES XCP NEW MADRID AND MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH 06Z FRI.
IL...FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL COUNTIES XCP MASSAC...POPE...AND HARDIN
THROUGH 06Z FRI.
IN...FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL COUNTIES XCP WARRICK AND SPENCER
THROUGH 06Z FRI.
&&

DB

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 4:17 AM CST, 8 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
417 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-101100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
417 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FOUR
STATE AREA TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM
MIDDAY THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

ADDITIONALLY...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY
RECEIVED APPRECIABLE RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE UPPER
AIR WIND FLOW PATTERN. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED
CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:11 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1211 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1208 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WEST FRANKFORT          37.90N 88.93W
03/09/2006                   FRANKLIN           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MELVIN ROAD...PARK ST...AND DEARING ROAD WERE UNDER
            WATER.

&&

PS

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:19 PM CST, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1219 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 AM     FLOOD            DONIPHAN                36.62N 90.82W
03/09/2006                   RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS IN AND AROUND THE COMMUNITY UNDER WATER,
            INCLUDING HIGHWAYS NN, K, K5, 142 AND EE.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:21 PM CST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1221 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 AM     FLOOD            MARION                  37.73N 88.94W
03/09/2006                   WILLIAMSON         IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS CREEKS OUT OF BANKS. SOME SECONDARY ROADS NOW
            UNDER WATER.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:36 PM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1236 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1227 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OLIVE BRANCH            37.17N 89.35W
03/09/2006                   ALEXANDER          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOFTOP DAMAGE WITH SEVERAL TREES DOWN. EXTENT OF DAMAGE
            UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.

&&

SMITTY

Special weather statement, Mar 9, 12:40 PM CST, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1240 PM CST THU MAR 9 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-091945-
ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY-
CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY-
CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY-
GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY-
HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL-
LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY-
MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY IL-PERRY MO-PIKE IN-
POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN-
STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION IL-UNION KY-VANDERBURGH IN-
WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE IL-WAYNE MO-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL-
WILLIAMSON IL-
1240 PM CST (140 PM EST) THU MAR 9 2006

...LARGE AREAS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL
PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH AN EMBEDDED LINE OF
STRONGER STORMS...PERSISTED OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AROUND NOON. THE LINE EXTENDED FROM THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...THROUGH CAIRO AND MARION ILLINOIS...TO VINCENNES INDIANA.
THE SOUTHERN SEGMENT OF THE LINE WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 TO 30
MPH...WHILE THE NORTHERN PORTION WAS MOVING EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
HOWEVER ALL THE INDIVIDUAL CELLS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS LINE WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH THE JACKSON PURCHASE AREA...
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA  INTO WEST KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHWEST INDIANA BY 300 PM.

WIND DAMAGE AND FLOODING HAVE BEEN THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH
THESE STORMS. HOWEVER HAIL HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED WITH SOME OF THESE
STORMS. IN ADDITION...WIND PROFILES SUGGEST AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
BE POSSIBLE AS WELL THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS OF RAIN WILL BE COMMON WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. DRIVERS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO RAPIDLY REDUCED VISIBILITY AND PONDING
OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL
MEDIA OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

KH

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:45 PM CST, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1245 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 PM     FLOOD            DONGOLA                 37.36N 89.16W
03/09/2006                   UNION              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CREEKS SWOLLEN. HIGHWAY 51 SOUTH CLOSED IN SEVERAL
            LOCATIONS DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 9, 11:21 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson and 5 more	6 hr
Mar 9, 12:31 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Johnson, Massac, Pulaski	29 min
Mar 9, 12:36 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Massac, Pulaski	4 hr
Mar 9, 1:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Gallatin, Saline	30 min
Mar 9, 1:11 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash, Wayne	4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.