Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 69, NWS Paducah, KY

May 10, 2006Gibson County, Posey County, Indiana

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at May 10, 2006, 5:59 PM CDT for Gibson County, Posey County, Indiana. It was in force for 46 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 10, 2006, 5:59 PM CDT (22:59 UTC)
Expired: May 10, 2006, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Gibson County, IN, Posey County, IN

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 4 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 10, 6:08 PM CDT	FUNNEL CLOUD	3 N Poseyville, IN
May 10, 6:35 PM CDT	FUNNEL CLOUD	Fort Branch, IN	EVENT OCCURRED OVER COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 33 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -129 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 897 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 102259
TORPAH
INC051-129-102345-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0069.060510T2259Z-060510T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
559 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  GIBSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA.
  POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA.

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT.

* AT 558 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GRIFFIN...OR ABOUT
  17 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARMI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE...
  NEAR POSEYVILLE BY 605 PM CDT.
  NEAR CYNTHIANA BY 620 PM CDT.
  NEAR OWENSVILLE BY 625 PM CDT.
  NEAR FORT BRANCH BY 640 PM CDT.
  NEAR PRINCETON...PATOKA AND 7 MILES WEST OF FRANCISCO BY 645 PM
  CDT.

LAT...LON 3829 8737 3818 8765 3818 8769 3816 8770
      3807 8792 3813 8797 3817 8793 3820 8797
      3824 8798 3831 8787 3829 8785 3833 8782
      3848 8752

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KPAH 102311
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
610 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

INC051-129-102345-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0069.000000T0000Z-060510T2345Z/
GIBSON IN-POSEY IN-
610 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR POSEY AND
GIBSON COUNTIES...

AT 610 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GRIFFIN...OR ABOUT 13 MILES 
SOUTH OF MOUNT CARMEL ALONG INTERSTATE 64...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CYNTHIANA...OWENSVILLE...FORT
BRANCH...PRINCETON...PATOKA AND FRANCISCO.

A TORNADO WARNING BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...MEANS A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3829 8737 3818 8765 3818 8769 3816 8770
      3807 8792 3813 8797 3817 8793 3820 8797
      3824 8798 3831 8787 3829 8785 3833 8782
      3848 8752

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 10, 2:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 2:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
231 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING SEVERE STORM AND
FLOODING CHANCES. ALSO MAY HAVE TO EXTEND FF.A PAST 23Z. WILL
COORDINATE AND MAKE THE CALL AT PRESS TIME.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FRONT ALONG THE NORTHWEST
PERIPHERY OF THE PAH CWA. RADAR LOOPS DETECTED STORMS DEVELOPING
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. VIS SAT LOOP INDICATES PLENTY OF
CLOUD COVER WHICH WAS CONTRIBUTING TO KEEPING INSTABILITY LOWER THAN
ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY. THUS SPC DOWNGRADED
TO A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE AREA.

THE 12Z ETA AND GFS SOUNDINGS HAS CAPES RANGING FROM 1000 AND 2000
J/KG...RESPECTIVELY. K INDICIES OF 31 SHOWALTERS RANGING FROM -1 IN
SWIN TO -6 IN SEMO. THUS INSTABILITY IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT. HOWEVER
THAT COMBINED WITH FROPA AND NEARBY SFC LOW DO THINK SLIGHT RISK IS
APPROPRIATE. THE MAIN THREAT AT HAND ATTM IS POTENTIAL FLOODING.
HAVE HAD SOME EVACUATIONS...MAINLY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...AND
NUMEROUS COUNTIES REPORTED AT OR NEAR BANKFULL CONDITIONS ON MOST
STREAMS...CREEKS...DITCHES...AND SMALL RIVERS.

THE NEXT PROBLEM WILL BE THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME LIFT AND
LIMITED MOISTURE OVER THE AREA AS UPPER LOW MEANDERS TO THE NORTH.
EVEN THOUGH THUNDER IS QUESTIONABLE AT ALL...WITH MAJOR COLD POOL
MOVING OVERHEAD...WITH -20C AROUND 16K FEET AND WET BULB ZERO AROUND
6K FEET. ANYTHING THAT FALLS COULD CONTAIN HAIL/SLEET. SO AS PER
SWODY2 DISC OPTED TO INTRO ISOLATED THUNDER THURSDAY. AFTER THAT
ATTEMPTED TO KEEPS POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST WHERE I COULD BUT
MAINTAINING POPS WHEN BEST CHCS EXPECTED THROUGH OUT THE WEEK.
REALLY DONT THINK IT WILL RAIN DAY AND NIGHT FOR THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS. BUT WITH TIMING WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUE AS UPPER LOW
MEANDERS TO THE NORTH.

AS FOR TEMPS JUST TWEAKS HERE AND THERE TO MOSTLY FOR COLLABORATION.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BALLARD-
     CALDWELL-CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-
     FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-
     MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION KY-
     WEBSTER.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BOLLINGER-
     BUTLER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY
     MO-RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALEXANDER-
     EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
     JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-
     WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GIBSON-PIKE-
     POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.

&&

KH

Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 10:27 AM CDT, 7 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1027 AM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-111000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1027 AM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA. THE AREA WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DEPEND ON THE AMOUNT OF DAYTIME HEATING
THAT CAN TAKE PLACE. SATELLITE SHOWS A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF CLOUD
COVER OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...SOME THIN SPOTS IN THE
CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED. THE FOCUS FOR POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...AND UPPER
LEVEL ENERGY FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGIONS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.

HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE AREA THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 5:28 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
528 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     TORNADO          EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
05/10/2006                   VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN LANDFILL ON NORTH SIDE OF
            EVANSVILLE. TRACKED NORTHEAST THROUGH A CLUMP OF TREES
            CAUSING DEBRIS...LIFTED FOR 3 MINUTES AND THEN BREIFLY
            TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN IN AN OPEN FIELD.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 10, 2:47 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	PAH	Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick	15 hr
May 10, 5:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Vanderburgh	45 min
May 10, 5:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Posey	25 min
May 10, 5:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Warrick	38 min
May 10, 6:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Pike	27 min
May 10, 6:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Gibson	47 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Indiana, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.