Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 321, NWS Paducah, KY

May 25, 2006Wayne County, Missouri

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 25, 2006, 6:38 PM CDT for Wayne County, Missouri. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2006, 6:38 PM CDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired: May 25, 2006, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 67 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 25, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1785 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1025 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 152 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
100 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER LOW SWIRLING ACROSS IA ON SE TRACK INTO NRN
IL...W/ISOLD LTG STRIKES JUST STARTING TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW.
SURFACE PLOT AND VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM NRN IL SOUTH AND WEST INTO CNTL MO...BUT BOTH WATER VAPOR AND
VISIBLE SHOW DRY AIR WEDGE INTO LOWER OH VALLEY. AS FRONT
APPROACHES...ANTICIPATE LINE DEVELOPMENT TO OUR NORTH AND EAST TO
BUILD BACK SOUTH AND WEST INTO PAH FA...HOW MUCH IS THE PRIMARY
FORECAST CHALLENGE. LATEST SWODY1 RETAINS MDT RISK SVR MAINLY NRN/ERN
PTNS FA CLOSER TO UPPER WINDS/DYNAMICAL ENERGY. HIGH INSTABILITY
ENVIRO IN PLACE W/SUFFICIENT FUEL/LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT FRONT
SHOULD ACTIVATE LINEAR STORMS DURING PEAK HEATING. WL KEEP CLOSE
WATCH AND ANTICIPATE THE SAME TO BE POSTED THIS PM/EVENING.

12Z MODELS PUSH FRONT THRU FA TONIGHT. NAM IS MORE
AGGRESSIVE/THOROUGH WITH FROPA WHILE GFS TENDS TO HANG IT UP ALONG
OUR SRN BORDER...WHICH IS IN LINE W/THEIR RUN-RUN TRENDS. HAVE OPTED
TO KEEP PERSISTENCE STRATEGY FORECAST OF LOW POP ALONG STALLING
BOUNDARY ESP SOUTH TONIGHT...THEN CLEAR OUT FRI AM AND RETURN AGAIN
TO OUR SOUTHWEST AS BOUNDARY LIFTS WARM/WASHES OUT. THUS WE NEVER
REALLY GET A GOOD COOL OFF AND QUICKLY RETURN TO SUMMER LIKE FLOW
REGIME AND THUS SUMMER LIKE HEAT/HUMIDITY. THE RESULTANT FORECAST WL
BE A NEAR DAILY DIURNAL POP AT LEAST...WITH A CONTINUING DAILY TAD
HIGHER POP BY MID WEEK NEXT AS A FRONT SAGS AND DAMPENS THE RIDGE.

WE HEDGED ON OR ABOVE HIGH SIDE OF MOS THRU THE PACKAGE IN
ACCORDANCE W/PERSISTENCE STRATEGY AS IT BLENDED COLLABORATIVELY.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 10:00 AM CDT, 8 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-261000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST
OF A LINE FROM BELLMONT...TO CARMI...TO HARRISBURG...TO METROPOLIS
ILLINOIS...AND GRAND RIVERS TO FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FOUR STATE AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE EAST INTO WESTERN
KENTUCKY. THE ATMOSPHERE IS FORECASTED TO BE VERY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WHICH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MAYFIELD TO CROFTON KENTUCKY. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING IN THE
AREA...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCES MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AS WELL AS ON FRIDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 6:28 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
628 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             OWENSBORO               37.76N 87.12W
05/25/2006  M2.75 INCH       DAVIESS            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BASEBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN THE FRIENDLY VILLAGE AREA.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 6:30 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
630 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     LYNNVILLE               38.20N 87.32W
05/25/2006                   WARRICK            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

Local storm report, May 25, 6:31 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
631 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OWENSBORO               37.76N 87.12W
05/25/2006                   DAVIESS            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 231 SOUTH OF BYPASS.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 6:34 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
634 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     HAIL             OWENSBORO               37.76N 87.12W
05/25/2006  M0.88 INCH       DAVIESS            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 231 NEAR THE BYPASS.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 6:35 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
635 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 N ESSEX               36.87N 89.86W
05/25/2006                   STODDARD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL IS HALFWAY TO THE GROUND.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
637 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             NEWBURGH                37.95N 87.40W
05/25/2006  E1.00 INCH       WARRICK            IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

DLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 24, 11:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	16 min
May 24, 11:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	48 min
May 25, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	39 min
May 25, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	20 min
May 25, 5:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, McLean, Webster	50 min
May 25, 6:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	45 min
May 25, 6:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Union, Webster	39 min
May 24, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson	42 min
May 24, 8:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Perry	36 min
May 24, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson	31 min
May 25, 2:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Wabash	26 min
May 25, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Wabash	23 min
May 25, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Williamson	25 min
May 25, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson	51 min
May 25, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Pope, Saline	43 min
May 25, 5:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin	25 min
May 25, 6:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander, Pulaski, Union	53 min
May 25, 6:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson, Massac	44 min
May 25, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin	30 min
May 24, 9:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Perry	54 min
May 24, 10:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Wayne	54 min
May 25, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard, Wayne	73 min
May 25, 5:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	41 min
May 25, 5:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Stoddard	40 min
May 25, 5:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau	57 min
May 25, 5:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	35 min
May 25, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid, Scott	74 min
May 25, 6:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Stoddard	50 min
May 25, 6:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott	65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.