Severe Thunderstorm Warning 291, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1010 PM CDT WED MAY 24 2006

.UPDATE...
ONGOING CONVECTION IN THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST AREA WAS SHOWING A
SLOW WEAKENING TREND AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLED. IT WAS DIFFICULT
TO GET LARGE HAIL THIS EVENING OUT OF STORMS WITH ELEVATED HIGH DBZ
CORES...AND IT WILL LIKELY GET TOUGHER TOWARD THE END OF THE WATCH
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO EXPIRE AT 06Z. UPDATED GRIDS/ZONES FOR HIGH
POPS IN NRN HALF TO ACCOUNT FOR CONVECTION CONTINUING ALONG A MID
LEVEL JET. AS NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST...THE
ENTIRE CONVECTION AREA SHOULD SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

DB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
433 AM CDT WED MAY 24 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-250945-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
433 AM CDT WED MAY 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER MISSOURI
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT. AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST
INDIANA TONIGHT...THEY MAY WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS THEY ENCOUNTER MORE
STABLE AIR. THEREFORE...THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS HIGHER OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL.

THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS MAINLY DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG A WEAK COLD
FRONT AS IT CROSSES SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS IN
THE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ACROSS
WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED ANYTIME THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
743 PM CDT WED MAY 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     HAIL             5 E PINCKNEYVILLE       38.08N 89.29W
05/24/2006  M0.88 INCH       PERRY              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SMITTY