Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 227, NWS Paducah, KY

April 30, 2006Jackson County, Union County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 30, 2006, 5:21 PM CDT for Jackson County, Union County, Illinois. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 30, 2006, 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired: Apr 30, 2006, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Jackson County, IL, Union County, IL

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 30, 3:05 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 30, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...

LOTS GOING ON TODAY...THEREFORE WILL BE BRIEF.  MAIN CONCERN
CONTINUES TO BE POPS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

HAVE A NARROW WEDGE OF UNSTABLE SURFACE AIR ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.  EXPECT THAT THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD
THROUGH THE UNSTABLE WEDGE AND ULTIMATELY BECOME ELEVATED AS THEY
WORK EASTWARD TOWARD THE WABASH VALLEY AND THE LAKES AREA IN WEST
KENTUCKY.  WIND FIELDS ARE VEERING PRETTY WELL IN THE LOW
LEVELS...BUT GENERALLY ARE WEAK.  MAY SEE SOME ENHANCED TORNADO WEST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE BACKED MORE TO THE SOUTH
SOUTHEAST.  HOWEVER...STILL FEEL THAT LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY
CONCERN TONIGHT.

THE 12Z GFS ROTATES ONE MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH NORTHEAST
THROUGH NORTHWESTERN ZONES THIS EVENING...AND THEN PUSHES A STRONGER
ONE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  WILL GO WITH
LIKELY POPS TONIGHT WITH FOCUS IN NORTHWEST ZONES.  FAR SOUTHEAST
ZONES WILL HAVE ONLY GOOD CHANCE POP TONIGHT.

THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES TO LIFT THE CLOSED LOW NORTHWARD FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST INTO SOUTHERN CANADA...AS ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM
EMERGES ONTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATE MONDAY NIGHT.  AS THE
INITIAL UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL PUSH EAST
ACROSS THE AREA AS AN OPEN WAVE LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.  THERE
WILL LIKELY BE ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY ACCOMPANYING IT THROUGH
THE AREA...SO HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT...BUT KEPT
CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY.  ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A RATHER STRONG ZONAL MID-LEVEL JET MOVING THROUGH THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.  HAIL AND WIND WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

TUESDAY WILL HAVE A LINGERING LOW POP...BUT WILL LIKELY BE DRY...AND
LIKEWISE FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.  THE SECOND MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL
RIDE EASTWARD ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER...EVENTUALLY DRAGGING A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  WILL SPREAD CHANCE POPS
ACROSS THE AREA FOR BOTH PERIODS.  SEVERE WEATHER MAY ONCE AGAIN BE
A PROBLEM.

GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE WARMER MET GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES THROUGH
TUESDAY...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE IT BE CONSIDERABLY
WARMER IF THE SUNSHINE DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED.  TRENDED TOWARD THE
MAV/MEX FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

AS A STACKED LOW MOVES ACROSS SRN CANADA DURING MIDWEEK...COOL HIGH
PRESSURE WRAPPING AROUND ITS BACKSIDE IS PROGGED TO SWEEP INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY 12Z THU OR SO...BEHIND A COLD FRONT. SOME
UNCERTAINTLY EXISTS AS TO EXACTLY HOW THIS WILL EVOLVE. EVEN WITH
THE FRONT POSSIBLY TO THE SE OF THE PAH FCST AREA THU MORNING...
ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND ECMWF AT LEAST...THERE WILL STILL BE A CHC
OF SHWS/TSTMS IN THE FCST FOR THU THROUGH 00Z SAT. THIS WILL BE DUE
TO MULTIPLE PERTUBATIONS IN THE TEMPORARILY ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW
TAPPING RESIDUAL ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AS THEY MOVE EAST. A VIGOROUS
MID LEVEL SHRTWV IS PROGGED TO SWEEP SE INTO THE MIDWEST TOWARD THE
WEEKEND AND HELP TO PUSH MORE SFC HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE AREA AND
PUT AN END TO THE PCPN BY FRI EVE. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND...AND TEMPS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

DRS/DB

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 4:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
405 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-011000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
405 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM...ROUGHLY WEST OF A FULTON
KENTUCKY TO GOLCONDA AND FAIRFIELD ILLINOIS LINE. NUMEROUS STORMS
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE WATCH AREA. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
LARGE HAIL...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR SEVERE WIND GUST WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. THE STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AFTER 9 PM...AS THEY
PUSH EAST OF THE WATCH AREA...TOWARD MORE STABLE AIR.

MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THAT TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE AREA MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MONDAY
NIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

IF NOT ALREADY ACTIVE...SPOTTERS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTERS THROUGHOUT
THE AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION MONDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

DRS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:00 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
500 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     HAIL             1 S WAPPAPELLO          36.92N 90.27W
04/30/2006  M0.88 INCH       BUTLER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EVENT OCCURRED JUST SOUTH OF THE DAM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:01 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
501 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     HAIL             POPLAR BLUFF            36.76N 90.41W
04/30/2006  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 67 AND OAK GROVE.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:02 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
502 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             WHITEWATER              37.24N 89.80W
04/30/2006  M0.88 INCH       CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:07 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
507 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             3 W ADVANCE             37.10N 89.97W
04/30/2006  M1.75 INCH       BOLLINGER          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EVENT OCCURRED ON HIGHWAY BB. ALSO OCCURRED 4 SOUTH OF
            ADVANCE. BROKE THROUGH WINDSHILD OF AMBULANCE.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:18 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
518 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             CHAFFEE                 37.18N 89.66W
04/30/2006  M1.75 INCH       SCOTT              MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 30, 5:20 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
520 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HAIL             WOODLAWN                38.33N 89.04W
04/30/2006  E0.75 INCH       JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 29, 10:10 PM CDT	Wind Advisory	PAH	Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Crittenden, Fulton and 11 more	6 hr
Apr 30, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Perry	61 min
Apr 30, 4:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jackson	55 min
Apr 30, 5:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Alexander	37 min
Apr 30, 5:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Pulaski	50 min
Apr 30, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson, Williamson	45 min
Apr 30, 10:47 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Mississippi	28 min
Apr 30, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	36 min
Apr 30, 2:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carter, Ripley	44 min
Apr 30, 2:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry	47 min
Apr 30, 3:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ripley	82 min
Apr 30, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Carter, Wayne	76 min
Apr 30, 3:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	49 min
Apr 30, 3:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau	62 min
Apr 30, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	42 min
Apr 30, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Ripley	62 min
Apr 30, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	14 min
Apr 30, 4:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Scott	61 min
Apr 30, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau	48 min
Apr 30, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	46 min
Apr 30, 5:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Scott	38 min
Apr 30, 5:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler	47 min
Apr 30, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard	44 min
Apr 30, 6:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid, Stoddard	61 min
Apr 30, 6:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	New Madrid	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.