Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Paducah, KY

May 25, 2006Fulton County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this flash flood warning at May 25, 2006, 10:46 PM CDT for Fulton County, Kentucky. It was in force for 119 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2006, 10:46 PM CDT (03:46 UTC)
Expired: May 26, 2006, 12:45 AM CDT
In force: 119 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Fulton County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3271 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1370 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 9 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 9 hours 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
100 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER LOW SWIRLING ACROSS IA ON SE TRACK INTO NRN
IL...W/ISOLD LTG STRIKES JUST STARTING TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW.
SURFACE PLOT AND VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM NRN IL SOUTH AND WEST INTO CNTL MO...BUT BOTH WATER VAPOR AND
VISIBLE SHOW DRY AIR WEDGE INTO LOWER OH VALLEY. AS FRONT
APPROACHES...ANTICIPATE LINE DEVELOPMENT TO OUR NORTH AND EAST TO
BUILD BACK SOUTH AND WEST INTO PAH FA...HOW MUCH IS THE PRIMARY
FORECAST CHALLENGE. LATEST SWODY1 RETAINS MDT RISK SVR MAINLY NRN/ERN
PTNS FA CLOSER TO UPPER WINDS/DYNAMICAL ENERGY. HIGH INSTABILITY
ENVIRO IN PLACE W/SUFFICIENT FUEL/LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT FRONT
SHOULD ACTIVATE LINEAR STORMS DURING PEAK HEATING. WL KEEP CLOSE
WATCH AND ANTICIPATE THE SAME TO BE POSTED THIS PM/EVENING.

12Z MODELS PUSH FRONT THRU FA TONIGHT. NAM IS MORE
AGGRESSIVE/THOROUGH WITH FROPA WHILE GFS TENDS TO HANG IT UP ALONG
OUR SRN BORDER...WHICH IS IN LINE W/THEIR RUN-RUN TRENDS. HAVE OPTED
TO KEEP PERSISTENCE STRATEGY FORECAST OF LOW POP ALONG STALLING
BOUNDARY ESP SOUTH TONIGHT...THEN CLEAR OUT FRI AM AND RETURN AGAIN
TO OUR SOUTHWEST AS BOUNDARY LIFTS WARM/WASHES OUT. THUS WE NEVER
REALLY GET A GOOD COOL OFF AND QUICKLY RETURN TO SUMMER LIKE FLOW
REGIME AND THUS SUMMER LIKE HEAT/HUMIDITY. THE RESULTANT FORECAST WL
BE A NEAR DAILY DIURNAL POP AT LEAST...WITH A CONTINUING DAILY TAD
HIGHER POP BY MID WEEK NEXT AS A FRONT SAGS AND DAMPENS THE RIDGE.

WE HEDGED ON OR ABOVE HIGH SIDE OF MOS THRU THE PACKAGE IN
ACCORDANCE W/PERSISTENCE STRATEGY AS IT BLENDED COLLABORATIVELY.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 10:00 AM CDT, 12 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-261000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST
OF A LINE FROM BELLMONT...TO CARMI...TO HARRISBURG...TO METROPOLIS
ILLINOIS...AND GRAND RIVERS TO FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FOUR STATE AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE EAST INTO WESTERN
KENTUCKY. THE ATMOSPHERE IS FORECASTED TO BE VERY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WHICH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MAYFIELD TO CROFTON KENTUCKY. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING IN THE
AREA...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCES MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AS WELL AS ON FRIDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 9:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
921 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     TSTM WND GST     BROOKPORT               37.12N 88.63W
05/25/2006  M58 MPH          MASSAC             IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            PEA SIZE HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH STORM. EVENT OCCURRED ALONG
            THE OHIO RIVERFRONT AREA.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 9:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
929 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 PM     HAIL             CLINTON                 36.67N 88.99W
05/25/2006  M1.75 INCH       HICKMAN            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL DAMAGED POLICE CAR. OVER ONE INCH OF
            RAINFALL WITH STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 9:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
930 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 PM     HAIL             ISLAND                  37.44N 87.15W
05/25/2006  M0.88 INCH       MCLEAN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 9:50 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
950 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N HAMLIN              36.61N 88.08W
05/25/2006                   CALLOWAY           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN

&&

DLL

Local storm report, May 25, 10:18 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1018 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             HICKMAN                 36.56N 89.19W
05/25/2006  M0.88 INCH       FULTON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, May 25, 10:40 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1040 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     HAIL             HICKMAN                 36.56N 89.19W
05/25/2006  M1.00 INCH       FULTON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 25, 7:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Hopkins	24 min
May 25, 7:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton, Hickman	90 min
May 25, 7:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	McLean, Muhlenberg	43 min
May 25, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle	65 min
May 25, 8:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	16 min
May 25, 8:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard	58 min
May 25, 8:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	McCracken	65 min
May 25, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	43 min
May 25, 8:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Graves	87 min
May 25, 8:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle	68 min
May 25, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Hopkins, McLean, Webster	49 min
May 25, 9:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton	29 min
May 25, 9:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	24 min
May 25, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	37 min
May 25, 10:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton	43 min
May 25, 10:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton	48 min
May 25, 11:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Fulton	20 min
May 26, 12:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Fulton	113 min
May 25, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin, Saline	46 min
May 25, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander, Pulaski	64 min
May 25, 8:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin	46 min
May 25, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	53 min
May 25, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott	66 min
May 25, 7:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	54 min
May 25, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid	67 min
May 25, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Scott, Stoddard	61 min
May 25, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	50 min
May 25, 10:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid	50 min
May 25, 11:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid	28 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2006 Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.