Tornado Warning 19, NWS Norman, OK

000 
WWUS54 KOUN 022348
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
646 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

TXC197-030015-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-060503T0015Z/
HARDEMAN TX-
646 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR HARDEMAN
COUNTY...

AT 646 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES NORTH OF 
GOODLETT...MOVING EAST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. THE TORNADIC CIRCULATION 
WILL CROSS HIGHWAY 6 ANYWHERE FROM QUANAH TO THE RED RIVER. PEOPLE 
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF QUANAH SHOULD TAKE SHELTER.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS 
DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.

LAT...LON 3453 9988 3435 9996 3431 9968 3440 9973

$$

BURKE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...
STORMS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.
THIS APPEARS TO BE THE BEGINNING OF ANOTHER SEVERE-WEATHER
EVENT. THE EMPHASIS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL BE SEVERE STORMS IN
OUR WESTERN COUNTIES... BUT THEN IT APPEARS THAT THE STORMS WILL
MERGE INTO A LARGE MCS AND MARCH EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OR
SO OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL PROBABLY FALL
WITHIN A COUPLE OF COUNTIES OF THE RED RIVER. THE AREA FROM NEAR
WICHITA FALLS... EAST TO DURANT... AND NORTH FROM THERE... RECEIVED
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS... AND THE COMBINATION
OF WET GROUND AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT IN FLOODING. A
FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING
FOR THIS.

IT APPEARS THAT CONVECTION WILL FOCUS ON A COLD FRONT FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON... THEN SAG EVER SO SLOWLY SOUTH. IT SHOULD
FINALLY BE SHOVED DEEP INTO TEXAS ON SATURDAY... BUT RAIN WILL BE
A GOOD BET... ESPECIALLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD... ON WEDNESDAY... THURSDAY... AND FRIDAY. DEPENDING ON THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT... RAIN MAY LINGER INTO SATURDAY.

AFTER A WHOLE DAY OF DRY WEATHER ON SUNDAY... RAIN CHANCES RESUME
ON MONDAY AS YET ANOTHER WAVE IN THE JET STREAM APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE REASONABLY MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...
ALTHOUGH A LITTLE COOL NORTH OF THE FRONT LATE THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  66  80  60  70 /  70  50  60  30
HOBART OK         65  82  57  70 /  80  50  60  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  87  64  79 /  70  40  60  40
GAGE OK           61  76  52  66 /  50  50  40  30
PONCA CITY OK     64  75  55  67 /  60  50  60  40
DURANT OK         68  87  68  80 /  70  30  50  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLOOD WATCH FROM 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR OKZ038-OKZ039-OKZ041-OKZ043-OKZ044-OKZ045-OKZ046-OKZ047-
     OKZ048-OKZ050-OKZ051-OKZ052.

TX...FLOOD WATCH FROM 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR TXZ086-TXZ089-TXZ090.

&&

25/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE REST OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM ALVA... TO EL RENO...
TO DUNCAN...INCLUDING ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TIMING...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 3 PM ACROSS PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE DRY LINE IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS WILL BE MOST LIKELY AFTER 3 PM THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

IMPACTS...
HAIL AROUND THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS
AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER 70 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
...PARTICULARLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM ALVA...TO WEATHERFORD...TO
WICHITA FALLS FROM 5 PM TO 9 PM.

FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

RECOMMENDED ACTION...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
AND SHOULD CONSIDER THE NEED FOR EXTENDED OPERATIONS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...
THE REMNANTS OF A FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM NEAR
ABILENE TO SOUTH OF DALLAS WILL LIFT NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE EASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE EAST OF THE DRYLINE DURING THE DAY WITH THE
AIRMASS BECOMING VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY
OF THE DRYLINE...WITH INITIATION ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE WEAKENING FRONT. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERNS.
HOWEVER... A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH ANY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS... ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF THE WEAKENING FRONT AND DRYLINE. THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MERGE INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS AND MOVE EASTWARD
THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN SOME AREAS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS IF ONE OR MORE OF THE CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY MAY 2.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...95 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE STORM TRACK REMAINS CLOSE TO THE AREA
AND MULTIPLE SURFACE FRONTS MOVE INTO THE AREA. INSTABILITY AND WIND
FIELDS WILL ALSO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOST
DAYS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
WEDNESDAY.

MAXWELL/DA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
541 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

TXZ083-022315-
HARDEMAN TX-
541 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR HARDEMAN COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CONTINUED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN HARDEMAN
COUNTY...LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF GOODLETT AT 539 PM CDT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM HAS SHOWN LITTLE OR NO INCREASE IN
INTENSITY...BUT SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE LIEKLY. SOME
AREAS AFFECTED WILL INCLUDE GOODLETT...ACME...AND LOCATIONS NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 287 THROUGH 615 PM CDT. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

BURKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
601 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ015-022315-
DEWEY OK-
601 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR DEWEY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 27 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALOGA AT 601
PM CDT. THE STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN DEWEY COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

SMITH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

TXZ087-022330-
KNOX TX-
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR KNOX COUNTY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING NEAR BENJAMIN AT 602 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH...AFFECTING BENJAMIN...VERA...AND GILLILAND. CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

BURKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
609 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ036-022345-
JACKSON OK-
609 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR JACKSON COUNTY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN HARMON COUNTY WILL DEVELOP AND
MOVE INTO WESTERN JACKSON COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM CDT. THE STRONGEST
STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF ELDORADO AT 609 PM CDT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
INITIALLY. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

BURKE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
613 PM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHEYENNE                35.61N 99.68W
05/02/2006  E70 MPH          ROGER MILLS        OK   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 60-70 MPH GUSTS.

&&

JLP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
619 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ016-022330-
CUSTER OK-
619 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CUSTER COUNTY.

THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED 16 MILES WEST OF FOSS RESERVOIR AT 619 PM CDT...MOVING EAST
AT AROUND 35 MPH.

ON THEIR PRESENT COURSE...THESE STORMS WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN CUSTER
COUNTY AFTER 630 PM...AND MAY BRING WINDS OF 60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.

PEOPLE IN CUSTER COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLINTON AND
WEATHERFORD...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN
FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SMITH