Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Nashville, TN

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 020934
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
432 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

TNC099-181-020945-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-060402T0945Z/
WAYNE TN-LAWRENCE TN-
432 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 428 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LORETTO...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAWRENCEBURG...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE 
HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 

LAT...LON 3513 8774 3501 8773 3503 8724 3524 8724

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
338 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...A BUSY WEATHER DAY IS AHEAD WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE MID STATE. EARLY THIS MORNING...NO WX IN
OUR AREA...BUT A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS/STORMS WAS MOVING ALONG THE
TN/MS BORDER TOWARD SOUTHWEST MIDDLE TN. A WELL DEFINED WARM FRONT
WAS RUNNING FROM NORTH GA...ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND BACK
TO MKL AND THE BOOTHEEL OF MO. DEW POINTS WERE GENERALLY IN THE 40S
OVER MID TN...WITH 60S TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. THIS FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY
WITH AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. MOST OF
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ELEVATED IN NATURE. BY AFTERNOON...CONDITIONS
WILL DESTABILIZE SIGNIFICANTLY AS AREA GETS INTO WARM SECTOR.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME OF THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WE HAVE SEEN OVER OUR AREA THIS SPRING...LI VALUES DOWN TO
-7...CAPES >2000 J/KG...ETC. ALTHOUGH HIGH POPS WILL BE IN THE
FORECAST...THE DAY WILL CERTAINLY NOT BE A TOTAL WASHOUT FOR
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. THE WARM SECTOR WILL BRING SOME SUNSHINE
ALONG WITH SOARING TEMPERATURES. BUT THESE READINGS...INTO THE LOW
80S MANY AREAS...COULD HELP INITIATE SCATTERED SURFACE BASED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE MOST CONCENTRATED PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE OF STRONG
VORTICITY CENTERS AND A PREFRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH COMING FROM THE
PLAINS TOWARD THE OH/TN VALLEYS. MID LEVEL WINDS CRANK UP TO 50KT
WITH SURFACE CONDITIONS PRIMED FROM DAYTIME HEATING. WE MAY SEE
CLUSTERS OR BROKEN LINES OF SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MID TN MONDAY MORNING WITH COOLER AIR
AND GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WINDS. DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
CREEP ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE WEEK AS CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURN.
FIRST GUESS AT NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS NICE AND DRY AT THIS POINT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    81  60  66  39 /  60  70  10   0
CLARKSVILLE  80  58  63  36 /  60  70  10   0
CROSSVILLE   78  58  66  34 /  60  70  30   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CST SAT APR 1 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-021030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CST SAT APR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE SUNDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A SQUALL LINE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

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