Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1150 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2006

FIRST ROUND OF CONVECTION NOW EXITING THE AREA AND HAS
COOLED/STABLIZED MUCH OF THE CWA FOR NOW.  HOWEVER...SOUTHWESTERN
SECTIONS NEAR KCHA STILL REMAIN QUITE UNSTABLE AS THAT AREA ONLY HAD
SPOTTY RAINS THIS MORNING.  LI/CAPE VALUES ARE -5 DEG/1500 J/KG IN
THAT AREA.  CAP IS VERY WEAK THERE WITH CONVECTION GETTING GOING ON
THE PLATEAU.  WOULD EXPECT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE KCHA GENERAL
AREA NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WITH STORMS MOVING TO THE EAST INTO MORE
STABLE AIR IN E TN...BUT RIGHT ALONG THE GA BORDER...STORMS COULD
PERSIST AS IT HAS STAYED DRY/UNSTABLE THERE.

WILL TRIM BACK HIGH TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR KNOX/TRI-CITIES AREA AT
LEAST SLIGHTLY.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

GM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
530 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2006

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-251000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-
JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-
COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-
WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-
KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-
NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-
EAST POLK-LEE-WISE-SCOTT VA-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON VA-
530 AM EDT (430 AM CDT) THU MAY 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST
TODAY.  INCREASING SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY WILL TRANSPORT WARM...
MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE REGION AND FOCUS ALONG THE
WARM FRONT TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
WITH THE MAIN CONCERN BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO
PENNY SIZE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY.  BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PULL
WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  AS THE WEAK FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP.
DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND COOL AIR ALOFT...SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN CONCERN BEING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND
ENDING THE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  MORE SUMMER-
LIKE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT...BUT A BETTER CHANCE EXISTS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1213 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1048 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ENE TELLICO PLAINS    35.39N 84.22W
05/25/2006                   MONROE             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ONE TREE DOWN ACROSS RAFTER ROAD. REPORTED BY SHERIFFS
            DISPATCH.

&&

FERRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
113 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     HAIL             6 ESE DUNLAP            35.34N 85.29W
05/25/2006  E0.25 INCH       SEQUATCHIE         TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA SIZED HAIL ON HIGHWAY 111 ON LEWIS CHAPEL MOUNTAIN.
            REPORTED BY SHERIFFS DISPATCH.

&&

FERRELL