Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 211823
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
121 PM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

ALC129-MSC041-211845-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-060421T1845Z/
WASHINGTON AL-GREENE MS-
121 PM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR
GREENE AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR YELLOW PINE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF CHATOM...MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS DEVELOPING 
BETWEEN NEELY AND JONATHAN IN CENTRAL GREEN COUNTY AND WAS MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHATOM BY 140 PM CDT
  YARBO...LOPER...JORDON AND 7 MILES SOUTH OF MILLRY BY 145 PM CDT

LAT...LON 3160 8808 3156 8802 3105 8870 3115 8881
      3143 8856 3143 8847 3144 8845 3160 8845
      3169 8839 3169 8813

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 211838
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
138 PM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

MSC041-211848-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-060421T1845Z/
GREENE MS-
138 PM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GREENE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT 
FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3160 8808 3155 8800 3139 8828 3146 8838
      3152 8836 3160 8828 3169 8813

$$

ALC129-211845-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-060421T1845Z/
WASHINGTON AL-
138 PM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR
NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY...

AT 136 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHATOM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JORDON AND YARBO BY 145 PM CDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT 
FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3160 8808 3155 8800 3139 8828 3146 8838
      3152 8836 3160 8828 3169 8813

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1135 AM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

.UPDATE...CURRENTLY WATCHING STRONG TO SEVERE MCS MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MORNING KLIX SOUNDING INDICATED A CAP NEAR
800 MB THAT IS SUPPRESSING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OUR AREA AT
THE PRESENT TIME. HOWEVER...LAST FEW IMAGES FROM THE KLIX WSR-88D
INDICATED ISOLATED  THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
LINE ACROSS CENTRAL MS AND EAST LA. VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES
ENHANCED CU DEVELOPMENT IN THE CLOUD STREETS ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI ZONES AND THIS IS LIKELY WHERE WE WILL SEE ISOLATED
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE ISOLATED STORMS AHEAD OF
THE LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE CAPE VALUES IN THE HAIL GROWTH
REGION WILL ENHANCE HAIL GROWTH ALSO. THE MAIN LINE THIS EVENING
WILL HAVE AN ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND THREAT IN BOWS AND LEWPS AS WELL.
LAPS CAPES AND SPC MESO PAGE ANALYSIS INDICATING CURRENT SBCAPES
RUNNING AROUND 1500 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...W/ VALUES NEAR
2000 J/KG COMING ONSHORE IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. THESE VALUES WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS
WHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME.
SPEAKING OF CLOUDS...INSTABILITY VALUES MAY BE TEMPERED SOMEWHAT BY
THE EXTENSIVE CIRRUS BLOWOFF AHEAD OF THE MCS. TIMING FOR THE MAIN
LINE STILL LOOKS TO BE AFTER ABOUT 6 PM THIS EVENING THEN MOVING
EASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SVR WW #232 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR CWA AND WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE ANOTHER WATCH FURTHER EAST THIS AFTERNOON.

UPDATED ZONES ALREADY SENT W/ SLIGHT UPWARD ADJUSTMENT TO POPS
ACROSS WESTERN ZONES ALONG W/ ADJUSTMENT TO CLOUD COVER AND TO ADD
SEVERE WORDING. WILL MONITOR TEMPS AS THEY ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF
HOURLY GRIDS...HOWEVER INCREASING CLOUDS WILL LIKELY BRING THEM IN
LINE DURING THE AFTERNOON...SO WILL MAKE NO ADJUSTMENTS AT THIS
POINT.

NOTE...THE KMOB WSR-88D HAS BEEN RETURNED TO SERVICE.

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

13/JC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
600 AM CDT FRI APR 21 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221200-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
600 AM CDT FRI APR 20 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY. WINDS IN THE LOWER
LEVELS WILL CREATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
THREATS...MAINLY ACROSS THE AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A STONE
COUNTY...MISSISSIPPI TO CRENSHAW COUNTY...ALABAMA LINE.

THE INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TODAY WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE
FOR RIP CURRENTS TO MODERATE. THE CHANCE WILL DECREASE SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN DOMINATES THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AS THE UPPER SYSTEM WHICH WILL SPAWN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHTS
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA MOVES EAST...SEASONABLY WARM TEMPS AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN FOR SEVERAL DAYS...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
RAIN BEING A CHANCE ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES
OVER THE AREA.

THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN ALLOW FOR AN INCREASED RISK OF WILDFIRES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BE NEEDED AT TIMES LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.