Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 230837
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
321 AM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006

ARC021-121-MOC069-231200-
CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR-DUNKLIN MO-
321 AM CDT SAT SEP 23 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
DUNKLIN...RANDOLPH AND CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 335 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO FALL OVER THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLAR RADAR 
HAS ESTIMATED 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA SINCE FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 
TWO TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS FLOOD 
SITUATION. 

AT 310 AM CDT...THE RANDOLPH COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED 
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. 
WATER UP TO ONE FOOT DEEP WAS COVERING THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 
90 AND 251 IN WARM SPRINGS. IN ADDITION...WATER WAS ENTERING INTO 
HOMES...WITH PORCHES BEING TORN AWAY FROM THE HOMES BY FLOOD WATER 
ALONG HIGHWAY 115 IN MAYNARD.

ALSO AT 315 AM CDT...THE ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 
HAS REPORTED WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS CLAY COUNTY. FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING IN THE CITIES OF PIGGOTT...GREENWAY...AND POLLARD. HIGHWAY 
49 NORTH OF GREENWAY IS UNDER SIX INCHES OF WATER. FLOODING OF HOMES 
AND MANY COUNTY ROADS HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HOLCOMB...
CLARKTON...CAMPBELL...SUCCESS...ST. FRANCIS...POLLARD...PIGGOTT...
MCDOUGAL...MAYNARD...HICKORIA...DATTO...DALTON AND CORNING

.A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED
ROADWAYS. TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN.

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS 
OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. 

.TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MEMPHIS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES AND INFORMATION. TO REPORT FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0
8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3620 8997 3621 9031 3628 9033 3628 9080
      3619 9082 3619 9109 3649 9132 3650 9023
      3654 9021 3656 9018 3657 8996

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
800 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...00Z SURFACE ANALYSIS CENTERS STRONG LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS
CENTRAL MISSOURI AND BACK INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. 00Z
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES 850 MB MOISTURE PLUME COURTESY OF A 35
KT 850 MB LOW LEVEL JET LOCATED ACROSS THE MID SOUTH AND EXTENDING
INTO PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. 500 MB/WATER
VAPOR/UPPER AIR WIND PROFILERS INDICATE NEXT MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS GETTING READY TO ENTER THE MIDDLE/LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

LAPS ANALYSIS/WSR-88D TRENDS STILL INDICATE BETWEEN 2000-2500 J/KG
SURFACE BASED CAPE...LI/S AROUND -4...AND 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE
HELICITIES AT OR ABOVE 300 M2/S2 ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE
FORECAST AREA. DECENT TURNING WIND PROFILES AND INSTABILITY PRESENT
STILL SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF A SEVERE THREAT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
ABOVE MENTIONED AREA AT LEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

WILL MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO FORECAST BASED ON CURRENT CONVECTIVE
TRENDS. UPDATED GRIDS WILL BE PUBLISHED SHORTLY.

CJC

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
OBVIOUSLY THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE NEAR TERM IS SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL. TORNADO WATCHES CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE CWA
UNTIL 00Z. IT HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 AND DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOW 70S.

AS OF 20Z...CONVECTION BEGINNING TO FIRE ACROSS ARKANSAS WITH SOME
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS N MS AS WELL. A LARGE SUPERCELL OVER
FULTON...IZARD...AND SHARP COUNTIES IN AR HAS TURNED RIGHT AND
APPEARS TO BE HEADED FOR NE AR. THIS STORM HAS THE BEST SHORT TERM
POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES. THE ACTIVITY IN NE MS WILL
BE WATCHED FOR BRIEF TORNADOES AS THE CELLS INTERACT WITH A
BOUNDARY ACROSS THAT REGION. MLCAPES ARE NOT AS LARGE IN THIS AREA
(LESS THAN 2000 J/KG) AND WE EXPECT THIS THREAT TO DIMINISH
AROUND 00Z AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES NORTH. FURTHER WEST...THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
ARKANSAS IN THE PRESENCE OF 2500-3000 J/KG MLCAPES. THE ONE CAVEAT
CONTINUES TO BE THE LACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TO ACT AS A
FORCING MECHANISM. ANY STORMS THAT CAN MATERIALIZE WILL HAVE A
GOOD OPPORTUNITY OF BECOMING SEVERE AND POSSIBLY TORNADIC AS THEY
QUICKLY MOVE NE TOWARDS THE MIDSOUTH. 0-1KM SRH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AROUND 250-300 M2/S2 AND WILL LIKELY INCREASE SOME THIS EVENING AS
THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KTS WILL
ALSO BE PRESENT. WE WILL RESTATE THE THREAT IS STILL CONDITIONAL
BASED ON INSTABILITY BEING ENOUGH OF A LIFTING MECHANISM TO
DEVELOP STORMS. NO SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVES ARE SEEN ON THE WV LOOP
THAT WILL AFFECT THE MIDSOUTH THIS EVENING. HAVING SAID THAT...WILL
LEAVE MODERATE RISK AS IS GIVEN THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL.

BY TOMORROW...A SHORTWAVE OVER COLORADO WILL EJECT EAST...SERVING
TO MOVE THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EAST AS WELL.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND WILL
AFFECT THE REGION MAINLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW NIGHT.
0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KTS...MLCAPES OF AROUND 2000 J/KG...AND
A 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET ALL SUGGEST ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER. SHEAR PROFILES BECOMES MORE UNIDERICTIONAL
TOMORROW...SUGGESTING THE THREAT TOMORROW WILL BE MORE FROM
DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A THREAT GIVEN
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF NEAR 2 INCHES. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH.

&&

.LONGER TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
VERY INTERESTING PATTERN FOR SEPTEMBER.  UPPER FLOW FOR THE EXTENDED
PERIOD LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE OCTOBER/EARLY NOVEMBER WITH THE JET
DIPPING WELL INTO THE SOUTHERN US.  LOOKING AT BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.  THE FORECAST CHALLENGE ON SUNDAY
IS TIMING THE COLD FRONT.  NGM IS THE SLOWEST SOLUTION WITH THE GFS
AND ETA PUSHING THE FRONT TO THE ALABAMA BORDER EARLY IN THE DAY.
THIS WOULD KEEP THE DAY FAIRLY COOL AND DRIER BY AFTERNOON.
GUIDANCE IS INCLUDING TEMPS SOME 5 TO 8 DEGREES BELOW
CLIMATOLOGY...GIVEN THE THICKNESS VALUES AND AIRMASS WITH STAY CLOSE
OR A SHADE BELOW.

ANOTHER...ALMOST ARCTIC LOOKING SHORTWAVE/SURFACE FRONT PUSHES INTO
THE CENTRAL US ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  NOT LOOKING FOR A SEVERE
POTENTIAL ON THURSDAY AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH SINCE THERE
APPEARS NO TIME FOR TEMP/MOISTURE RECOVERY.  THE AIRMASS BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM LOOKS VERY COOL.  AGAIN WILL SIDE COOLER THAN GUIDANCE IN
TEMPERATURES FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  74  86  61  74 /  60  70  80  30
MKL  72  84  62  74 /  50  70  80  40
JBR  71  83  59  72 /  70  80  60  30
TUP  72  87  70  76 /  40  50  80  60

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM - JFB
LONG TERM - JEB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
314 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-231100-
ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
314 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FOR MUCH
OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE MODERATE
RISK AREA IS ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM UNION CITY
TENNESSEE TO SOMERVILLE TENNESSEE TO OXFORD MISSISSIPPI. THE
CITIES OF MEMPHIS AND JONESBORO ARE IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE MID-SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE REMAINDER OF
WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI. THE CITIES OF JACKSON AND
TUPELO ARE IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.

STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
PLAIN STATES WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE
MID-SOUTH. IN ADDITION...A TURNING AND STRONG WIND PROFILE WILL
EXISTS THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERE.

CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME RIPE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
FEW TORNADOES ACROSS THE ENTIRE MID-SOUTH...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MODERATE RISK AREA. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY TORNADOES COULD BE
STRONG AND LONG-LIVED. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MID-
SOUTH WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY. A SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL BY LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID-SOUTH SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WITH THE SQUALL
LINE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS. IN
ADDITION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE SQUALL LINE. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT...AND LIKELY AGAIN ON
SATURDAY.

JFB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1010 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY OF
            RANDOLPH

0430 PM     HAIL             CORNING                 36.41N 90.59W
09/22/2006  M1.00 INCH       CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE INCH HAIL IN CORNING

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CORNING                 36.41N 90.59W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN CORNING. ESTIMATED WIND SPEED WAS
            80 TO 85 MPH.

0452 PM     TSTM WND DMG     REYNO                   36.36N 90.76W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0452 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BIGGERS                 36.33N 90.81W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N MALDEN                36.58N 89.98W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ONE TREE WAS 3 FEET IN DIAMETER. A FEW ROOFS
            OF RESIDENCES BLOWN OFF.

0514 PM     TORNADO          KNOBEL                  36.32N 90.60W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND REPORTED BY OFFICER...WELL SOUTH OF
            THE TOWN OF CORNING NEAR KNOBEL.

0521 PM     HAIL             PIGGOTT                 36.38N 90.20W
09/22/2006  M1.75 INCH       CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAYS 90
            AND 135

0544 PM     TORNADO          NIMMONS                 36.31N 90.09W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND

0545 PM     TORNADO          1 W KENNETT             36.24N 90.07W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO ON GROUND AT RIVER BRIDGE AT HWY 84

0637 PM     TORNADO          TIPTONVILLE             36.38N 89.47W
09/22/2006                   LAKE               TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO IN TOWN OF TIPTONVILLE ACROSS STREET FROM FIRE
            DEPARTMENT...SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND TRASH CANS SCATTERED

0700 PM     TORNADO          RAVENDEN                36.24N 91.25W
09/22/2006                   LAWRENCE           AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND BY KAIT STORM CHASE TEAM

0708 PM     HAIL             5 W UNION CITY          36.42N 89.14W
09/22/2006  M0.50 INCH       OBION              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH REPORTED ALONG HWY 22.

0714 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 W UNION CITY          36.42N 89.14W
09/22/2006                   OBION              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 22

0735 PM     TORNADO          5 W POCAHONTAS          36.26N 91.06W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   CO-OP OBSERVER

            VALLEY CHAPEL ROAD 5 TO 7 MILES WEST OF
            POCAHONTAS.CONFIRMED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0752 PM     TORNADO          MAYNARD                 36.42N 90.90W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO REPORTED NEAR TOWNS OF WARM SPRINGS AND MAYNARD

1000 PM     HAIL             RAVENDEN SPRINGS        36.31N 91.22W
09/22/2006  M1.00 INCH       RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN TOWN OF RAVENDEN SPRINGS.

1000 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     RAVENDEN SPRINGS        36.31N 91.22W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD OVER RAVENDEN SPRINGS

&&

MRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1042 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     HAIL             DALTON                  36.42N 91.15W
09/22/2006  M0.88 INCH       RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN DALTON

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DALTON                  36.42N 91.15W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DALTON

0400 PM     HAIL             W RAVENDEN              36.24N 91.25W
09/22/2006  E1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           AR   PUBLIC

            HAIL REPORTED FROM JUST WEST OF RAVENDEN INTO RAVENDEN.
            PEA SIZED TO QUARTER HAIL.

0410 PM     HAIL             POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
09/22/2006  M0.88 INCH       RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN POCAHONTAS

0410 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES DOWN IN POCAHONTAS.

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY OF
            RANDOLPH

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CORNING                 36.41N 90.59W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN CORNING. ESTIMATED WIND SPEED WAS
            80 TO 85 MPH.

0430 PM     HAIL             CORNING                 36.41N 90.59W
09/22/2006  M1.00 INCH       CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE INCH HAIL IN CORNING

0452 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BIGGERS                 36.33N 90.81W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0452 PM     TSTM WND DMG     REYNO                   36.36N 90.76W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N MALDEN                36.58N 89.98W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ONE TREE WAS 3 FEET IN DIAMETER. A FEW ROOFS
            OF RESIDENCES BLOWN OFF.

0514 PM     TORNADO          KNOBEL                  36.32N 90.60W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND REPORTED BY OFFICER...WELL SOUTH OF
            THE TOWN OF CORNING NEAR KNOBEL.

0521 PM     HAIL             PIGGOTT                 36.38N 90.20W
09/22/2006  M1.75 INCH       CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAYS 90
            AND 135

0544 PM     TORNADO          NIMMONS                 36.31N 90.09W
09/22/2006                   CLAY               AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND

0545 PM     TORNADO          1 W KENNETT             36.24N 90.07W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO ON GROUND AT RIVER BRIDGE AT HWY 84

0637 PM     TORNADO          TIPTONVILLE             36.38N 89.47W
09/22/2006                   LAKE               TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO IN TOWN OF TIPTONVILLE ACROSS STREET FROM FIRE
            DEPARTMENT...SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND TRASH CANS SCATTERED

0700 PM     TORNADO          RAVENDEN                36.24N 91.25W
09/22/2006                   LAWRENCE           AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND BY KAIT STORM CHASE TEAM

0708 PM     HAIL             5 W UNION CITY          36.42N 89.14W
09/22/2006  M0.50 INCH       OBION              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH REPORTED ALONG HWY 22.

0714 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 W UNION CITY          36.42N 89.14W
09/22/2006                   OBION              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 22

0735 PM     TORNADO          5 W POCAHONTAS          36.26N 91.06W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   CO-OP OBSERVER

            VALLEY CHAPEL ROAD 5 TO 7 MILES WEST OF
            POCAHONTAS.CONFIRMED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0752 PM     TORNADO          MAYNARD                 36.42N 90.90W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO REPORTED NEAR TOWNS OF WARM SPRINGS AND MAYNARD

1000 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     RAVENDEN SPRINGS        36.31N 91.22W
09/22/2006                   RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD OVER RAVENDEN SPRINGS

1000 PM     HAIL             RAVENDEN SPRINGS        36.31N 91.22W
09/22/2006  M1.00 INCH       RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN TOWN OF RAVENDEN SPRINGS.

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOLCOMB                 36.40N 90.02W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES OVER NORTHERN HALF OF
            DUNKLIN COUNTY.

1015 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOLCOMB                 36.40N 90.02W
09/22/2006                   DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME ROADS FLOODED OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF DUNKLIN
            COUNTY. ALONG WITH HWY 25 AND SOME SECONDARY ROADS
            FLOODED.

&&

MRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1058 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

TNZ001-230415-
LAKE TN-
1058 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...LAKE COUNTY.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TIPTONVILLE TO 9 MILES WEST OF TIPTONVILLE AT 1058 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 55 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AND NO WARNINGS ARE
ANTICIPATED.

PEOPLE IN LAKE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1120 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

TNZ002-230445-
OBION TN-
1120 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...OBION COUNTY.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CLAYTON TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLAYTON AT 1120 PM CDT...MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

THESE STORMS ARE INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN OBION COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF UNION CITY...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.