Tornado Warning 28, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
659 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2006

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION HAS BEEN SUBDUED SO FAR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT
THAT WILL NOT BE THE CASE THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST. BANDED
STRUCTURE TO THE CONVECTION HAS ONE LINE TAKING SHAPE NOW OVER THE
NORTHWEST SECTIONS...AND ANOTHER FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS TO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ON TO THE RED RIVER. CAPE VALUES WILL BE
INCREASING DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 247 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2006/

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
QUIET WEATHER IN THE EXTENDED AS HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY...BUT MOISTURE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE.
AS SUCH...ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

AVIATION...32

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
105 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2006

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
105 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY BRINGING WARM
HUMID AIR TO THE STATE. AS A BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN CONCERNS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...MAINLY IN AREAS WEST OF LITTLE
ROCK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WARM HUMID AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY...WITH
ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
SATURDAY...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS LINE WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...BUT THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS.

ALL HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT MOSTLY
IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

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