Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
545 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. PRECIPITATION IS MOSTLY THE
RESULT OF BOUNDARIES FROM DISSIPATING MCS TO THE NORTH INTERACTING
WITH DEVLOPING CU IN VERY HOT ENVIRONMENT.

STORMS HAVE TENDED TO DEVELOP QUICKLY...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE. RAPID COOLING ALOFT HAS LED TO SEVERAL REPORTS
OF WIND DAMAGE...WHICH IS NOT UNUSUAL ON A 100 PLUS DEGREE DAY.

PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT
IN MISSOURI PUSHES INTO ARKANSAS. HIGHEST POPS IN NORTHERN HALF OF
STATE...WITH SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.

ON SATURDAY...FRONT WILL CONTINUE HEADING THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.
PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY THIN OUT DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT
IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. SOME STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE.

SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE REGION WITH THE FRONT SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH COOLER AIR TO FOLLOW.

REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM LOOKS DRY WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
NORMAL. (46)
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA TO BEGIN THE PERIOD BUT WILL
MOVE EAST. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL KEEP
SLIGHT CHANCES OF PRECIP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  74  87  67  89 /  50  30  20   0
HARRISON AR       65  82  61  85 /  50  10  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  88  65  89 /  50  30  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     74  87  67  88 /  30  30  20   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  84  63  87 /  50  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     75  91  67  90 /  30  30  20   0
SEARCY AR         71  86  65  87 /  50  20  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      69  87  60  89 /  50  20  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  85  63  86 /  50  20  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR ARZ006-ARZ007-ARZ014-ARZ015-
ARZ016-ARZ021-ARZ022-ARZ023-ARZ024-ARZ025-ARZ030-ARZ031-ARZ032-
ARZ033-ARZ034-ARZ037-ARZ038-ARZ039-ARZ040-ARZ041-ARZ042-ARZ043-
ARZ044-ARZ045-ARZ046-ARZ047-ARZ052-ARZ053-ARZ054-ARZ055-ARZ056-
ARZ057-ARZ062-ARZ063-ARZ064-ARZ065-ARZ066-ARZ067-ARZ068-ARZ069.

&&

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1230 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1230 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 90S TO OVER 100 DEGREES ACROSS THE
STATE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE 105 OR HIGHER IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WHERE A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

HIGH PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAT. THE
HIGH WILL MOVE WESTWARD TODAY...WHICH WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO
APPROACH FROM THE NORTH.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WAS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE FRONT
WILL HEAD INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING...WITH A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT...MAINLY IN AREAS NORTH
OF LITTLE ROCK.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL OR LARGER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION MAY THIN OUT DURING THE
MORNING HOURS BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY. AGAIN...THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL OR LARGER.

BEHIND THE FRONT...COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL. MOSTLY DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE STATE...AND ON SATURDAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

46

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
436 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0243 PM     TSTM WND GST     OIL TROUGH              35.63N 91.46W
07/21/2006  M62.00 MPH       INDEPENDENCE       AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

0243 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OIL TROUGH              35.63N 91.46W
07/21/2006                   INDEPENDENCE       AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN. BUILDING DAMAGE.

0259 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
07/21/2006                   PULASKI            AR   PUBLIC

            RODNEY PARHAM AND SHACKLEFORD. WIFE OF NWS EMPLOYEE
            REPORTED LIMBS DOWN.

0302 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
07/21/2006                   PULASKI            AR   PUBLIC

            TAYLOR LOOP AND SHEPARD. CONSTRUCTION SIGNS AND STREET
            SIGNS DOWN. TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0302 PM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
07/21/2006  E0.88 INCH       PULASKI            AR   PUBLIC

            TAYLOR LOOP AND SHEPARD.

0313 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK    34.73N 92.23W
07/21/2006                   PULASKI            AR   PUBLIC

            ROOF OF REGIONS BANK IN ROAD ON RODNEY PARHAM. LITTLE
            ROCK TIAKWANDO SIGN IN ROAD. SIGNS DOWN.

0338 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWPORT                 35.63N 91.24W
07/21/2006                   JACKSON            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN JUST OUTSIDE OF CITY LIMIT ON HWY 18.

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 NE GASSVILLE          36.37N 92.38W
07/21/2006                   BAXTER             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 E OF MOUNTAIN HOME. TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

219

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
457 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE GASSVILLE          36.34N 92.42W
07/21/2006                   BAXTER             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MOUNTAIN HOME. CAMPING TRAILER OVERTURNED.

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE GASSVILLE          36.34N 92.42W
07/21/2006                   BAXTER             AR   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MOUNTAIN HOME. TREES BLOCKING HWY 62. ROAD CLOSED.

&&

219