Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 31, NWS Louisville, KY

April 2, 2006Logan County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this tornado warning at Apr 2, 2006, 9:44 PM CDT for Logan County, Kentucky. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 2, 2006, 9:44 PM CDT (02:44 UTC)
Expired: Apr 2, 2006, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Logan County, KY

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 2, 5:44 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 80 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -308 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1096 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 318 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KLMK 030244
TORLMK
KYC141-030300-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0031.060403T0244Z-060403T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
944 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  LOGAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 943 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE...OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST OF ELKTON...
  MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR...
  AUBURN BY 950 PM CDT
  SOUTH UNION BY 955 PM CDT

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3679 8690 3700 8689 3699 8686 3699 8668
      3689 8663 3688 8667 3686 8670 3677 8675
      3677 8689

$$
CS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 2, 8:45 PM CDT, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 8:45 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
945 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

.EVENING UPDATE:...
WILL UPDATE TO ADD TORNADO WATCH FOR ECENTRL KY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW:

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF
FORECAST AREA AT MID AFTERNOON WITH CONSIDERABLY MORE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE. EXPECT THESE STORMS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST AND REACH SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY LATE AFTERNOON. WARM
FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND WILL TRACK NORTH
INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

COMPLEX FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND
STRONGER STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. AIR HAS DESTABILIZED
IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH SURFACE BASED LIS -9 ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS. EXPECT TWO SHOTS AT SEVERE WEATHER. FIRST
THIS EVENING AS THE STORMS IN TENNESSEE MOVE NORTHEAST FROM
TENNESSEE. SECOND WILL BE LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY OVERNIGHT AS
UNSTABLE AIR FROM MISSOURI WORKS EAST AND COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

UPPER LEVEL JET WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY 06Z WITH A
STRONGER JET STREAK BEHIND IT. 40 TO 50 KT WINDS AT 850 MB WILL ALSO
AID IN STRONG WINDS GUSTS AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP INTO LINES
TONIGHT.

ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
WILL KEEP CLOUDS OVER THE AREA. COLDER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
COLD CORE LOW TO OUR NORTH WILL KEEP AIR UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL NOT RISE MUCH DURING THE DAY MONDAY WITH
READINGS REMAINING NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THE DAY. WILL GO A LITTLE
COOLER THAN GFS MOS BUT BELIEVE NAM MOS IS TOO COOL...ESPECIALLY AT
LEX. WILL GO WITH A BLEND.

SCHOLZ

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THIS PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING TROUGH.
AT THE SURFACE COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES WILL CLEAR BETWEEN 00Z AND 12Z TUESDAY
AND REMAIN CLEAR UNTIL HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. ONLY CONCERN WILL BE TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING. MODEL
GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE CONSISTENT WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. THIS
COMBINED WITH DIMINISHING WINDS WILL MAKE FROST A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN
INDIANA.

READINGS WILL REBOUND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

MID RANGE MODELS ARE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY RESOLVING THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
ADDITIONAL ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TROUGH AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND AN ADDITIONAL TROUGH DEVELOPING OFF
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL AFFECT THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF A TROUGH
OVER THE INTERIOR WEST AT 00Z THURSDAY. FOR CONSISTENCY WE WILL USE
THE GFS ENSEMBLE FOR THIS FORECAST. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY AS A
WARM FRONT TRAVELS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY IN THE WARM MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW WE WILL KEEP
MOST OF SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DRY.

AS MENTIONED THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AND WE MAY NEED TO
ADD PRECIPITATION TO NEXT WEEKENDS FORECAST IF THE EUROPEAN AND
CANADIAN MODELS VERIFY.  --JA

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 2:40 PM CDT, 7 hours 4 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
340 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-030830-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
340 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
THIS AFTERNOON...HELPING GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL... GUSTY WINDS... DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...A COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THIS EVENING ...AND TRAVEL EASTWARD
INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LIKELY FORMING INTO A
SQUALL LINE WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BASED ON CURRENT DATA...THE
BEST CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IN THE OUTLOOK AREA ARE
BETWEEN 11 PM AND 4 AM EDT.

THE STORMS TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE FAST MOVING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
THE MAIN THREAT...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. LOCATIONS WEST OF I-65 HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY...MAINLY
TONIGHT. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA... OR VISIT OUR
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE FOR UPDATES AND MORE INFORMATION.

JA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:19 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1019 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     HAIL             NEW ALBANY              38.30N 85.83W
04/02/2006  M0.88 INCH       FLOYD              IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINE DOWN

&&

CALLAHAN

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:24 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1024 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1017 PM     TSTM WND GST     MOUNT WASHINGTON        38.05N 85.55W
04/02/2006  M62 MPH          BULLITT            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS DOWN. DEBRIS IN STREET.

&&

CALLAHAN

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:26 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1026 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARTINSBURG             38.45N 86.03W
04/02/2006  E70 MPH          WASHINGTON         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF.

&&

CALLAHAN

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:38 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1038 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     HAIL             LEWISBURG               36.99N 86.95W
04/02/2006  E1.75 INCH       LOGAN              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

CALLAHAN

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:40 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1040 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1024 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHELBYVILLE             38.22N 85.23W
04/02/2006                   SHELBY             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

&&

CALLAHAN

Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:42 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1042 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAWESVILLE              37.90N 86.76W
04/02/2006                   HANCOCK            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROOFS OFF OF HOMES

&&

CALLAHAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 2, 7:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	28 min
Apr 2, 7:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Butler, Ohio	47 min
Apr 2, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Logan	28 min
Apr 2, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Hancock, Meade	48 min
Apr 2, 8:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Grayson	46 min
Apr 2, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson	43 min
Apr 2, 8:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Ohio	17 min
Apr 2, 8:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham, Trimble	45 min
Apr 2, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Meade	33 min
Apr 2, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Ohio	14 min
Apr 2, 9:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Logan	41 min
Apr 2, 9:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Shelby, Spencer	24 min
Apr 2, 9:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Jefferson, Shelby	35 min
Apr 2, 9:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	33 min
Apr 2, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Jefferson, Spencer	35 min
Apr 2, 9:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin	33 min
Apr 2, 9:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey	21 min
Apr 2, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Lincoln	36 min
Apr 2, 9:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Scott, Woodford	34 min
Apr 2, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson	26 min
Apr 2, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	37 min
Apr 2, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas	37 min
Apr 2, 9:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Hart, Taylor	34 min
Apr 2, 9:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Fayette	32 min
Apr 2, 9:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Logan	31 min
Apr 2, 10:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Green, Taylor	23 min
Apr 2, 10:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Marion	20 min
Apr 2, 10:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton, Cumberland, Monroe	43 min
Apr 2, 10:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey	26 min
Apr 2, 10:21 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Warren	24 min
Apr 2, 10:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Lincoln	28 min
Apr 3, 12:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Warren	13 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.