Tornado Warning 22, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 022222
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
621 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYC045-207-022300-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-060402T2300Z/
CASEY KY-RUSSELL KY-
621 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 700 PM EDT(600 PM CDT) FOR 
NORTHERN RUSSELL AND CASEY COUNTIES...

AT 617 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DUNNVILLE...OR 
ABOUT 3 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 30 
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  9 MILES SOUTH OF LIBERTY BY 630 PM EDT
  ARGYLE BY 635 PM EDT
  9 MILES SOUTH OF MIDDLEBURG BY 640 PM EDT

TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NORTH OF RUSSELL SPRINGS. 
THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM...SO TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF IN 
THE PATH OF THE STORM.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT  
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3726 8507 3707 8512 3705 8493 3711 8494
      3729 8473 3736 8475 3741 8486 3736 8499

$$

AL

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 022240
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
639 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYC045-207-022300-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-060402T2300Z/
CASEY KY-RUSSELL KY-
639 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 700 PM EDT(600 PM CDT) FOR
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL AND SOUTHERN CASEY COUNTIES...

AT 634 PM EDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR ARGYLE...OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOMERSET...MOVING EAST 
AT 30 MPH. THERE HAVE BEEN FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTS FROM TRAINED SPOTTERS
WITH THIS STORM IN NORTHER RUSSELL COUNTY.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY MORNING(1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING) FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3726 8507 3707 8512 3705 8493 3711 8494
      3729 8473 3736 8475 3741 8486 3736 8499

$$

AB

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 022252
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
651 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYC045-207-022301-
/O.EXP.KLMK.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-060402T2300Z/
CASEY KY-RUSSELL KY-
651 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL AND SOUTHERN CASEY
COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 700 PM EDT(600 PM CDT)...

THE STORM MOVED EAST OUT OF THE COUNTIES.

THERE WERE NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS ACROSS RUSSELL COUNTY 
WITH THE STORM AS IT PASSED THROUGH. IF YOU OBSERVED ANY DAMAGE 
FROM THIS STORM PLEASE RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE OR LOCAL POLICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY MORNING(1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING) FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3726 8507 3707 8512 3705 8493 3711 8494
      3729 8473 3736 8475 3741 8486 3736 8499

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
305 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF
FORECAST AREA AT MID AFTERNOON WITH CONSIDERABLY MORE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE. EXPECT THESE STORMS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST AND REACH SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY LATE AFTERNOON. WARM
FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND WILL TRACK NORTH
INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

COMPLEX FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND
STRONGER STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. AIR HAS DESTABILIZED
IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH SURFACE BASED LIS -9 ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS. EXPECT TWO SHOTS AT SEVERE WEATHER. FIRST
THIS EVENING AS THE STORMS IN TENNESSEE MOVE NORTHEAST FROM
TENNESSEE. SECOND WILL BE LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY OVERNIGHT AS
UNSTABLE AIR FROM MISSOURI WORKS EAST AND COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

UPPER LEVEL JET WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY 06Z WITH A
STRONGER JET STREAK BEHIND IT. 40 TO 50 KT WINDS AT 850 MB WILL ALSO
AID IN STRONG WINDS GUSTS AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP INTO LINES
TONIGHT.

ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
WILL KEEP CLOUDS OVER THE AREA. COLDER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
COLD CORE LOW TO OUR NORTH WILL KEEP AIR UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL NOT RISE MUCH DURING THE DAY MONDAY WITH
READINGS REMAINING NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THE DAY. WILL GO A LITTLE
COOLER THAN GFS MOS BUT BELIEVE NAM MOS IS TOO COOL...ESPECIALLY AT
LEX. WILL GO WITH A BLEND.

SCHOLZ

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THIS PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING TROUGH.
AT THE SURFACE COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES WILL CLEAR BETWEEN 00Z AND 12Z TUESDAY
AND REMAIN CLEAR UNTIL HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. ONLY CONCERN WILL BE TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING. MODEL
GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE CONSISTENT WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. THIS
COMBINED WITH DIMINISHING WINDS WILL MAKE FROST A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN
INDIANA.

READINGS WILL REBOUND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

MID RANGE MODELS ARE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY RESOLVING THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
ADDITIONAL ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TROUGH AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND AN ADDITIONAL TROUGH DEVELOPING OFF
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL AFFECT THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF A TROUGH
OVER THE INTERIOR WEST AT 00Z THURSDAY. FOR CONSISTENCY WE WILL USE
THE GFS ENSEMBLE FOR THIS FORECAST. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY AS A
WARM FRONT TRAVELS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY IN THE WARM MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW WE WILL KEEP
MOST OF SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DRY.

AS MENTIONED THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AND WE MAY NEED TO
ADD PRECIPITATION TO NEXT WEEKENDS FORECAST IF THE EUROPEAN AND
CANADIAN MODELS VERIFY.  --JA

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
340 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-030830-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
340 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
THIS AFTERNOON...HELPING GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL... GUSTY WINDS... DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...A COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THIS EVENING ...AND TRAVEL EASTWARD
INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LIKELY FORMING INTO A
SQUALL LINE WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BASED ON CURRENT DATA...THE
BEST CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IN THE OUTLOOK AREA ARE
BETWEEN 11 PM AND 4 AM EDT.

THE STORMS TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE FAST MOVING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
THE MAIN THREAT...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. LOCATIONS WEST OF I-65 HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY...MAINLY
TONIGHT. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA... OR VISIT OUR
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE FOR UPDATES AND MORE INFORMATION.

JA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
449 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     HAIL             2 WNW LUCAS             36.89N 86.07W
04/02/2006  M0.25 INCH       BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CALLAHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
516 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             4 N GLASGOW             37.06N 85.92W
04/02/2006  M1.00 INCH       BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CALLAHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
608 PM EDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             7 E MUNFORDVILLE        37.28N 85.77W
04/02/2006  M1.00 INCH       HART               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CALLAHAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
612 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYZ046-047-055-022315-
WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-BOYLE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...DANVILLE
612 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WASHINGTON AND INTO MERCER
AND BOYLE COUNTIES THROUGH 6:30 PM EDT. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH... AND A
PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN.

INZ079-KYZ030>034-022315-
JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE
612 PM EDT SUN APR 2 2006

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL  MOVE ACROSS EASTERN LOUISVILLE...
HENRY... OLDHAM... AND SHELBY COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY AS WELL AS
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN INDIANA. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN... SMALL HAIL... AND GUSTY WINDS.

THE RAIN MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND UNDERPASSES.
REMEMBER DO NOT DRIVE OVER ROADS COVERED WITH WATER.

JA