Severe Thunderstorm Warning 146, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
922 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

.UPDATE...THE EAST COAST SEABREEZE HAS PUSHED THE SCATTERED
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OUT TO THE SUWANNEE VALLEY
REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUWANNEE
COUNTY UNTIL 930 PM EDT. WILL CONTINUE WITH LIKELY POPS OUT
THERE FOR NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THEN WILL LOWER POPS.
POPS ELSEWHERE WILL BE 20 PCT OR LESS AND DROPPED AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WILL PROBABLY SEE PATCHES OF FOG OVERNITE ACROSS
THE INLAND AREAS WHERE THERE WERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ARE SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH 2 TO 3 FOOT SEAS.
THESE WINDS/SEAS WILL CONTINUE OVERNITE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR EXPECTED AT TAF SITES TONIGHT. SCATTERED STORMS
THIS EVE ALONG THE TWEB ROUTE FROM KVLD-KORL MAINLY FROM NW OF
GNV TO VLD. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE WEST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH 04Z. SCATTERED STORMS EXPECTED INLAND FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AS ACTIVE EAST COAST SEABREEZE MOVES IN FROM THE COAST. HAVE GONE
WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN VICINITY OF GNV.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

PP/ARS/PK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
534 AM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-281000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
534 AM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 90S THIS AFTERNOON WILL
COMBINE WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS AT THE SURFACE TO PRODUCE HEAT
INDICES IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE
SOUTH AT 10 MPH. THIS SLOW MOTION WILL ALLOW LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR TEMPORARY FLOODING. FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO THE
SEABREEZES. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA WHICH WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE EXPECTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED IN
THEIR AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

MKT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
722 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

FLZ035-280000-
GILCHRIST-
722 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GILCHRIST COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 722 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES WEST OF TRENTON...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS
AROUND AND WEST OF TRENTON THROUGH 800 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF
INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

PETERSON

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
759 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             8 W TRENTON             29.61N 82.95W
07/27/2006  E0.50 INCH       GILCHRIST          FL   PUBLIC

            HAIL LASTED 4-5 MINUTES.

&&

ARS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
846 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

FLZ021-280115-
SUWANNEE-
846 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUWANNEE COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 846 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES EAST OF MCALPIN...OR 13 MILES
NORTHWEST OF ICHETUCKNEE SPRINGS STATE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND MCALPIN AND
OBRIEN THROUGH 915 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
942 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

FLZ021-280230-
SUWANNEE-
942 PM EDT THU JUL 27 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUWANNEE COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 1030 PM EDT...

AT 942 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER LIVE OAK...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10
MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND LIVE OAK
AND HOUSTON THROUGH 1030 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY