Severe Thunderstorm Warning 244, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 221737
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
137 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

INC067-221800-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-060622T1800Z/
HOWARD IN-
137 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT
FOR HOWARD COUNTY...

AT 136 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GREENTOWN...OR ABOUT NEAR MARION...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LAT...LON 4059 8637 4044 8638 4039 8628 4042 8586
      4058 8586

$$

CO

000 
WWUS53 KIND 221754
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
155 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

INC067-221805-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0244.000000T0000Z-060622T1800Z/
HOWARD IN-
155 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HOWARD COUNTY EXPIRES AT 200
PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4059 8637 4044 8638 4039 8628 4042 8586
      4058 8586

$$

CO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1245 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

.AVIATION...

FOR 221800Z TAFS...INTITAL LINE OF CONVECTION ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR ACRSS TAF SITES AT ISSUANCE TIME. WILL TRY TO
TIME THESE RIGHT AT ISSUANCE TIME IF POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE WILL STICK
WITH VCTS. SHOULD BE A LULL IN ORGANIZED ACTIVITY BEFORE NEXT WAVE
ARRIVES AFTER 00Z. WITH WIDESPREAD FORCING AVAILABLE LOOKS TO BE A
GOOD ENOUGH CHANCE FOR RAIN TO PUT IN MAIN BODY OF TAFS AT THAT
TIME. AS RAIN BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD...MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
DEVELOP. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 340 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006)

DISCUSSION FOR ZONES AND GRIDS...WEATHER HAS QUIETED DOWN FOR THE
MOMENT ACROSS INDIANA.  SATELLITE SHOWS A LARGE CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
KANSAS. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT FROM
EASTERN WISCONSIN TO NORTHERN MISSOURI.

THE BIGGEST PROBLEM CONTINUE TO BE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

GFS STILL SEEMS TO BE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS
WITH LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE PLAINS.  NAM SEEMS FAIRLY
CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUN AND WILL GO CLOSE TO THE NAM NEXT FEW
DAYS.  ONE PLACE I WILL DIFFER A LITTLE TODAY IS NAM MAY BE A TAD
FAST WITH COLD FRONT.  THUS AXIS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE A LITTLE
FARTHER NORTH LATE TODAY THAN INDICATED BY NAM.

AIRMASS STARTS OUT SOMEWHAT CAPPED THIS MORNING AND WILL NOT BEGIN
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR REGION. WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE TO NORTH PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA BY 00Z AND TO
SOUTHERN INDIANA OVERNIGHT.  NAM INDICATES CAPES UP TO 3000 J/KG AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TODAY.

NAM STILL INDICATES A COUPLE ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY AS A S/W MOVES EAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ALONG THE FRONT.  850 MB DOES NOT SHOW A VERY STRONG JET BUT THERE
IS WEAK CONVERGENCE AND ALSO THERE IS UPPER DIFFLUENCE AS FROM A 300
MB JET OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.  PRECIPITABLE WATER IS AROUND 2
INCHES.  I DONT BELIEVE THIS WILL BE A BIG HEAVY RAIN EVENT...BUT
THERE ARE ENOUGH THING FAVORING IT TO KEEP MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN IN
FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND IN THE SOUTH EARLY FRIDAY.

COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVING SOUTH FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  GFS WITH
ITS CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS OVERDEVELOPS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE VALLEY AND IS TOO SLOW IN MOVING IT EAST OUT OF OUR REGION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

OVERALL EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS OK.  ONLY CHANGE WAS TO DROP MENTION
OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS WEAK UPPER TROUGH IS TOO FAR WEST
SUNDAY TO HAVE ANY EFFECT ON OUR WEATHER.  WILL USE A MOS BLEND ON
TEMPERATURES. WITH IT STARTING OUT VERY WARM THIS MORNING WILL GO A
DEGREE OR TWO HIGHER TODAY THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...CS
PUBLIC...JEH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
932 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-231345-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
832 AM CDT THU JUN 22 2006 /932 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. IN
ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW AREAS MAY
EXPERIENCE LOW LAND FLOODING.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT FROM SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TO NORTHERN
MISSOURI WILL MOVE TO CENTRAL INDIANA BY THIS EVENING. A WEATHER
DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE PLAINS WILL AND A HOT UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER INDIANA WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A TERRE HAUTE TO MUNCIE LINE WITH THE MAIN THREAT AGAIN
BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE FRIDAY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA. THERE IS
ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS REGION WIDE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PUMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1252 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1238 AM     TSTM WND GST     DELPHI                  40.58N 86.67W
06/22/2006  E70 MPH          CARROLL            IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

NIELD