Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 241304 RRA
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
804 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

KSC173-241345-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-060424T1345Z/
SEDGWICK KS-
804 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK
COUNTY UNTIL 845 AM CDT...

AT 759 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR PARK CITY...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF DOWNTOWN WICHITA...AND
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF NORTHEAST
WICHITA AND JABARA AIRPORT AND KECHI.

LAT...LON 3784 9752 3766 9749 3761 9715 3789 9715

$$

KRC

000 
WWUS53 KICT 241314
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
814 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

KSC173-241345-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-060424T1345Z/
SEDGWICK KS-
814 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK
COUNTY UNTIL 845 AM CDT...

AT 812 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE 
DAMAGING HAIL OR LARGER.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTHEAST 
WICHITA AND JABARA AIRPORT...OR 8 MILES EAST OF DOWNTOWN 
WICHITA...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF NORTHEAST 
WICHITA AND JABARA AIRPORT AND EAST WICHITA.  ALSO IN THE PATH OF 
THIS STORM IS THE CITY OF ANDOVER.

LAT...LON 3784 9752 3766 9749 3761 9715 3789 9715

$$

KRC

000 
WWUS53 KICT 241324
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
825 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

KSC015-241345-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-060424T1345Z/
BUTLER KS-
825 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY
UNTIL 845 AM CDT...

AT 820 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TOWANDA...AND MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR EL DORADO BY  840 AM CDT.

THE TOWN OF EL DORADO LAKE IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3788 9714 3766 9714 3773 9653 3805 9653

$$

KETCHAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE SEVERE STORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON
AND THEN PRECIP CHANCES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

TODAY:
VERY COMPLEX SCENARIO SETTING UP FOR TODAY WITH A NUMBER OF FACTORS
CONTRIBUTING TO SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION
CURRENTLY SWEEPING THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL KS DEVELOPED IN SW KS IN
RESPONSE TO AN UPPER WAVE THAT EJECTED OUT OF NM. WITH PLENTY OF
ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND E/SE SURFACE WINDS...THE STORMS JUST KEPT
TRUCKING EAST AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

WENT CLOSER TO THE GFS WITH THE FIRST FEW PERIODS OF FORECAST AS IT
SEEMED TO HANDLE OVERNIGHT CONVECTION BETTER. SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE ITS SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION TODAY. AT THE SAME TIME
ADDITIONAL UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL ROTATE OUT OF E NM/E CO. BOTH GFS
AND NAM ARE CONTINUING TO OVER FORECAST SURFACE DEWPOINTS WITH THE
GFS FORECASTING LOW 70S OVER SE KS WHICH SHOULD BE AROUND 5 DEGREES
TOO HIGH. NEVERTHELESS STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS
UPPER DISTURBANCE LIFTS OUT OF CO. THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION WILL
BE THE LOCATION OF INITIATION. AT 18Z MON BOTH THE GFS AND RUC HAVE
THE WARM FRONT AS FAR NORTH AS SLN WITH THE DRY LINE GENERALLY AS
FAR WEST AS PRATT. THIS IS QUITE A BIT DIFFERENT THAN THE LAST
COUPLE MODEL RUNS WHICH WERE MUCH FASTER. IF THESE TWO MODELS ARE
ANYWHERE CLOSE...THEN SEVERE STORMS MAYBE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT
ANYWHERE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. MY FIRST GUESS WOULD BE FOR
STORMS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT FROM NEAR PRATT...SOUTH
ALONG THE DRYLINE INTO NORTHERN OK.

THEREFORE FEEL SEVERE THREAT MAYBE HIGHER TODAY THAN IT WAS SUNDAY
EVENING. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD ALSO BE HIGHER WITH BETTER MID
LEVEL FLOW CONTRIBUTING TO HIGHER 0-6KM SHEAR. THE BACKED SURFACE
WINDS SURE WONT HURT THE TORNADO POTENTIAL EITHER. FEEL THAT SPCS
MODERATE RISK FOR EAST HALF OF FORECAST AREA IS A GOOD FIRST GUESS.

TONIGHT-WED:
STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH SE KS HAVING THE BEST
CHANCE. HOWEVER WILL LEAVE RAIN CHANCES IN EVERYWHERE AS UPPER FLOW
STAYS SOUTHWEST WITH A NUMBER OF WAVES CONTINUING TO LIFT OUT OF THE
MEAN TROUGH. SO EVEN THOUGH FRONT MAYBE SOUTH OF AREA BY 12Z
TUE...RAIN CHANCES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. HOPEFULLY MUCH OF THE
AREA WILL FINALLY PICK UP SOME MUCH NEEDED WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. BY
TUE NIGHT THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL FINALLY BE EAST OF AREA WITH
SURFACE FRONT WELL SOUTH SHUTTING OFF OUR PRECIP CHANCES. UPPER
RIDGE WILL BE PLANTED OVER AREA FOR WED AND WED NIGHT KEEPING COOLER
AIR OVER THE REGION. WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER TUE...MUCH COLDER
TEMPS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND BY TUE NIGHT SOME NEAR FREEZING
TEMPS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL KS. THIS SHOULD BE A GOOD RELIEF
FROM THE JUNE LIKE TEMPS WEVE HAD AROUND LATELY.

THU-SUN:
DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES TO THESE EXTENDED PERIODS. BOTH ECM
AND GFS BRING A CLOSED LOW ON SHORE BY 00Z FRI. AT THE SAME TIME
ANOTHER WAVE WILL DIG OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. THESE TWO FEATURES SHOULD RESULT IN A SURFACE TROUGH
LINGERING AROUND THE AREA ON FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. IT APPEARS
THE ECM IS COMING IN LINE WITH THE GFS IN SLOWING THE PROGRESSION OF
THE CLOSED LOW TO THE WEST WHICH MAY MEAN A DECREASE IN PRECIP
CHANCES. THEREFORE WILL DECREASE CHANCES TO SLIGHTS FOR FRI NIGHT
THROUGH SAT UNTIL THE MED RANGE MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    85  47  53  35 /  40  50  20  10
HUTCHINSON      80  44  51  34 /  40  50  20  10
NEWTON          81  45  53  35 /  40  60  20  10
ELDORADO        83  46  53  35 /  50  60  30  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   87  49  54  36 /  40  50  20  10
RUSSELL         65  43  47  33 /  50  30  20   5
GREAT BEND      69  43  48  33 /  40  30  20   5
SALINA          73  42  49  34 /  50  60  30   5
MCPHERSON       80  44  50  34 /  50  60  20  10
COFFEYVILLE     84  54  61  37 /  50  70  30  10
CHANUTE         84  53  56  37 /  60  70  30  10
IOLA            84  52  55  36 /  60  70  30  10
PARSONS-KPPF    84  53  59  37 /  60  70  30  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
526 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-251200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
526 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND WILL
EVENTUALLY PUSH NORTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA AS THE AFTERNOON HOURS
APPROACH. THE STRONGER STORMS THIS MORNING WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AS THE EVENING HOURS APPROACH. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A TORNADO. AT THIS TIME THE HIGHEST
TORNADO POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL EXIST ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A HUTCHINSON TO COTTONWOOD FALLS LINE BETWEEN 3 PM AND
9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON THE SEVERITY OF THESE
STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
735 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 AM     HAIL             N PARK CITY             37.80N 97.32W
04/24/2006  E1.00 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
741 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 AM     HAIL             EAST WICHITA            37.68N 97.26W
04/24/2006  E1.00 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            COLLEGE HILL.

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
742 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 AM     HAIL             WICHITA                 37.69N 97.34W
04/24/2006  M2.00 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 LEARJET WAY. DAMAGE TO CAR WINDSHEILDS

&&

BDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
744 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 AM     HAIL             4 ESE HUTCHINSON        38.05N 97.85W
04/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
746 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 AM     HAIL             1 N ANDOVER             37.71N 97.14W
04/24/2006  E0.88 INCH       BUTLER             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

LFW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
749 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 AM     HAIL             1 E ANDOVER             37.69N 97.12W
04/24/2006  E1.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

LFW