Severe Thunderstorm Warning 503, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
702 PM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
WILL PUSH POPS UP ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AS THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS HAVE WORKED NW ON THE OUTFLOWS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 151 PM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER MID ATLANTIC STATES AREA PRODUCING
NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AREA. INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND SOME
ADDITIONAL LIFT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS WILL INCREASE THE AMOUNTS OF
CLOUDINESS THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES INTO THE
80S/90S FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. CONVECTION SEEMS TO FOCUS
ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA WITH JUST
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT CWA.

A FLAT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST RETROGRADES INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
AMPLIFIES ALONG THE EAST COAST. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF THE STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS BANKED UP AGAINST THE
MOUNTAINS MONDAY...WHILE ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. CAPE OF GREATER THAN 2000 J/KG IS SHOWS BY THE GFS ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY IN THE CHARLOTTE AREA SUNDAY EVENING...SUPPORTING
EVENING CONVECTION. A LEE TROUGH SHOULD SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION MONDAY...THOUGH THE GFS SHOWS THE BEST INSTABILITY WELL
TO THE EAST OF INTERSTATE 77. THE COLD FRONT REACHES THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT...AND CROSSES THE AREA FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH ON TUESDAY. CAPE ACCOMPANYING THE BOUNDARY WILL
APPROACH 2000 J/KG AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH EVEN GREATER
VALUES TO THE EAST. MAXIMUMS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
SLIGHTLY BOTH MON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS WEAK WARM ADVECTION SETS
UP IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...WHILE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUMMERTIME MOISTURE.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
EAST COAST UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL PERSIST FROM DAYS 4 THROUGH
7...WHILE COLD FRONTS MOVE SOUTH INTO OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY. CHANCE POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED AROUND THE CLOCK
WHEN FRONTS ARE IN THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH A
MORE DIURNAL CYCLE FOLLOWED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL UNDER BELOW NORMAL HEIGHTS.

AVIATION...
WEAK BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF AREA WILL INCREASE CONVECTION THROUGH
THE PIEDMONT OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING.  SUMMER CONVECTION OVER
THE REST OF THE AREA ENDING AFTER SUNSET WITH REDIDUAL CLOUDINESS
THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT.  BY MORNING SOME EARLY MORNING STRATUS
BREAKING AFTER SUNRISE AND DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE CHARACTERISTICS BY
NOON.  NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGHOUT PERIOD SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST BY
EARLY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
630 AM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-061030-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
630 AM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS
OF NORTH CAROLINA. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.

LANE

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
648 PM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

SCZ007-052345-
SPARTANBURG-
648 PM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING SPARTANBURG COUNTY...

AT 642 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ENOREE...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAURENS...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WOODRUFF BY 720 PM EDT.
  5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROEBUCK BY 745 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

44