Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
200 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER GREAT LAKES WHILE SHORTWAVES
TRANSLATE THROUGH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SE STATES. AREA REMAINS
UNDER GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH LARGE SCALE LIFT AND DEEP
MOISTURE. PERIODS OF STRONG CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH
OF SAT SO WILL CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS OVER BULK OF CWA UNTIL MID
DAY...THEN DECREASING POPS FROM THE W DURG THE LATE AFTN. EXPECT A
BREAK SAT NIGHT BEFORE A SHORTWAVE...UPPER DIVERGENCE AND A SFC
BOUNDARY PUSH S TOWARD MTNS SUN. HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE TSTMS...
MAINLY OVER MTNS SUN. WINDS ALSO INCREASE FROM THE SW SUN AS SFC
HIGH BUILDS ALONG GULF AND LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS NE OF AREA. SLIGHT
CHANCE TSTMS OVER MTNS CONTINUES MON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUES TUE AND WED AS FRONT PUSHES
FARTHER S INTO AREA. COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE N FOR
THU AND FRI. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VERY COMPLICATED 6Z TAF PACKAGE. MCS CURRENTLY WORKING ACROSS THE
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY WITH INDEPENDENT CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES NE
ACROSS THE NC MTNS AND I-40 CORRIDOR. THE FIRST CHALLENGE WILL BE
TIMING THE MCS ACROSS THE TERMINALS. TOWARD SUNRISE...THE MAJORITY
OF THE MOS GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT AFTER 9Z MVFR TO IFR FOG AND
STRATUS MAY DEVELOP. CURRENT TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION DOES NOT
SUPPORT A RAPID DECREASE IN THE CEILING DUE TO THE CONVECTION.
HOWEVER...BASED ON THE RECENT RAINFALL AND MORNING FOG I WILL
INCLUDE A TEMPO BETWEEN 10-13Z.

TROF AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHRA AND TSRA. HOWEVER...REGIONAL RADAR COMPOSITE SHOWS
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS A FEW HOURS AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROF.
I WILL FAVOR TIMING A LITTLE EARLIER THAN THE NAM FOR AFTERNOON
TSRA...I WILL HIGHLIGHT TSRA WITH A TEMPO BETWEEN 15-19Z. BY 0Z
SUN...WINDS SHOULD VEER AND SKY WILL CLEAR...VFR FORECAST FOR THE
REST OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-230730-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
325 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE TO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY...SPREADING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
408 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

NCZ034-035-055-056-068>070-220915-
ALEXANDER-BURKE-CALDWELL-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-GASTON-LINCOLN-
408 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING ALEXANDER... BURKE... CALDWELL...
CATAWBA... CLEVELAND... GASTON AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...

AT 404 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PATTERSON TO BOILING
SPRINGS NC...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF LENOIR
TO 8 MILES NORTH OF GAFFNEY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CONNELLY SPRINGS BY 415 AM EDT.
  KINGS CREEK BY 420 AM EDT.
  VALE BY 425 AM EDT.
  KINGS MOUNTAIN BY 430 AM EDT.
  GASTONIA... LINCOLNTON AND TAYLORSVILLE 435 AM EDT.
  MOUNT HOLLY BY 445 AM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

MCAVOY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
435 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

SCZ009-014-220930-
CHESTER-YORK-
435 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE AFFECTING CHESTER AND YORK COUNTIES...

AT 433 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF
CLOVER TO WHITMIRE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF YORK TO 15 MILES NORTH OF NEWBERRY...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  YORK BY 445 AM EDT.
  MCCONNELLS BY 455 AM EDT.
  LAKE WYLIE BY 500 AM EDT.
  TEGA CAY BY 510 AM EDT.
  RICHBURG BY 520 AM EDT.
  CATAWBA BY 525 AM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
522 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LINCOLNTON              35.48N 81.25W
04/22/2006                   LINCOLN            NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE OAK TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE IN LINCOLNTON.

&&

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
548 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     HAIL             7 E STATESVILLE         35.79N 80.76W
04/22/2006  E0.75 INCH       IREDELL            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER NEAR ELMWOOD ENCOUNTERED VERY STRONG
            WIND AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ON HIGHWAY 70. THE WIND WAS
            STRONG ENOUGH TO IMPEDE TRAVEL AND LITTERED THE ROAD WITH
            SMALL TREE DEBRIS.

&&

NED

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
549 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-222000-
ABBEVILLE-ALEXANDER-ANDERSON-AVERY-BUNCOMBE-BURKE NC-CABARRUS-
CALDWELL-CATAWBA-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER-CLEVELAND-DAVIE-ELBERT-
FRANKLIN GA-GASTON-GRAHAM-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREENWOOD-HABERSHAM-HART-
HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-IREDELL-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL-MECKLENBURG-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-POLK NC-RABUN-ROWAN-RUTHERFORD-
SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG-STEPHENS-SWAIN-TRANSYLVANIA-UNION NC-
UNION SC-YANCEY-YORK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...ANDERSON...ASHEVILLE...
BREVARD...CHARLOTTE...CHEROKEE...CHESTER...CLARKESVILLE...CLAYTON...
CONCORD...ELBERTON...FRANKLIN...GAFFNEY...GASTONIA...GREENVILLE...
GREENWOOD...HARTWELL...HENDERSONVILLE...HICKORY...LAURENS...
LINCOLNTON...MARION...MOCKSVILLE...MONROE...MORGANTON...NEWLAND...
ROCK HILL...RUTHERFORDTON...SALISBURY...SHELBY...SPARTANBURG...
SPRUCE PINE...STATESVILLE...SYLVA...TOCCOA...TRYON...UNION...
WAYNESVILLE
549 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TODAY....

GULF MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS TO THE AREA.

SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
MOST LIKELY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WITH THE
GROUND ALREADY SOAKED BY RAIN OVERNIGHT...FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN REDEVELOPS OVER THE SAME
AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST UPDATED INFORMATION.

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