Severe Thunderstorm Warning 270, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1050 AM MST FRI SEP 8 2006

AZZ004>018-037>040-090700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
1050 AM MST FRI SEP 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

CLEAR SKIES AND RAIN-COOLED GROUND HAS ALLOWED FOR A SLOW START TO
CONVECTION TODAY. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG SOLAR HEATING
AS WELL AS A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPECT STORM TO FORM FIRST ALONG THE
I-40 CORRIDOR FROM FLAGSTAFF WESTWARD. STORMS WILL THEN DROP SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST INTO YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES. THESE AREAS AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN COCONINO COUNTY WILL SEE THE MOST STORMS TODAY. AREAS NORTH
OF I-40 WILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS BY THE AFTERNOON.

THE STRONGER STORMS TODAY ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN
AN HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER. DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COCONINO AND CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY...THESE
AREAS WILL BE MORE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY RAINS AFFECT THE
SAME AREAS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...A SLOW
DECREASING TREND IN COVERAGE IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.