Severe Thunderstorm Warning 238, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006

AZZ004>018-037>040-010700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
1000 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
GREATEST THREAT POSED BY TODAYS STORMS WILL BE THE RISK OF FLASH
FLOODING DUE TO RELATIVELY SLOW STORM MOVEMENT AND HIGH VALUES OF
MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE.

THE GREATEST THREAT FROM FLOODING WILL OCCUR MAINLY EAST OF A PAGE TO
PRESCOTT LINE WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL ON SUNDAY. SOME GAGES
OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF ARIZONA INDICATE STREAM FLOWS ARE
RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY MAY BE
SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE THESE STREAMS TO REACH BANKFUL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.