Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WWUS53 KFGF 261803
SVSFGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
101 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

MNC135-261845-
/O.CON.KFGF.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-060626T1845Z/
ROSEAU MN-
101 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT
FOR ROSEAU COUNTY...

AT 1259 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THE
STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF SALOL...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ROSEAU...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARROAD BY 110 PM CDT

THERE IS AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES EAST OF BADGER 
MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4899 9539 4898 9625 4857 9602 4856 9537
      4874 9536 4875 9513

$$

TG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
941 AM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

.UPDATE...
MAIN CHALLENGE TODAY WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS AND ORGANIZED SEVERE
POTENTIAL. STRONG SHORTWAVE NOTED ON WATER VAPOR WILL MOVE INTO
FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COUPLED WITH ML CAPES TO
1000J/KG...30-35KT OF DEEP LAYERED SHEAR AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
SFC BOUNDARY WILL BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS. VERY STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND LOW FREEZING LEVELS AROUND 10000FT WILL ALSO BE
FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION. SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOW INVERTED
TYPE V SIGNATURES...SO WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR STRONGER
CELLS. LCL/S WILL BE FAIRLY HIGH...SO EXPECT MAIN THREAT TO BE
LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS. WE EXPECT CONVECTION TO GET GOING RIGHT
AROUND 18Z AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEREFORE...CURRENT
GRIDS HAVE SCATTERED THUNDER WITH SEVERE MENTION IN ALL AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE. IN
ADDITION...STRONG UPPER SPEED MAX WILL ENHANCE UPPER DIVERGENCE TO
VENT LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVELS...WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE SEVERE
POTENTIAL.

WITH THIS SAID...WE ARE ANTICIPATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FAIRLY
DECENT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME LOW TOPPED
SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING
THE MAIN THREATS.

WILL CHECK OVER CURRENT GRIDS...BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH CHANGE AT
ALL AND MAY NOT NEED AN UPDATE THIS MORNING.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

DK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
638 AM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

MNZ001-004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-054-271145-
WEST POLK-KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-
RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-
TRAILL-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
638 AM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY. STORMS
SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 2 AND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND MAY PRODUCE
PERIODS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL..AND STRONG GUSTING
WINDS...ALONG WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO END
BY 7PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

MNZ002-003-005-006-008-009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ038-039-
049-052-053-271145-
NORMAN-CLAY-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-
PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-
MAHNOMEN-SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-
SARGENT-RICHLAND-
638 AM CDT MON JUN 26 2006

...THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM ROSEAU...TO HILLSBORO...TO VALLEY CITY. THESE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE PERIODS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...LARGE HAIL..AND STRONG
GUSTING WINDS...ALONG WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO END BY 9PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.