Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2006, 5:03 PM CDT for Becker County, Minnesota. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2006, 5:03 PM CDT (22:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2006, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 57 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Becker County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 819 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -107 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 793 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -56 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 2:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 2:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 224 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006 .SHORT TERM... MAIN CHALLENGE INITIALLY WILL BE SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN HOW WARM WE WILL GET THROUGH THE FORECAST. NAM ONCE AGAIN DID A GOOD JOB WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELDS AND INITIALIZING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS...SO WILL FOLLOW. FOR TONIGHT...SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY (ML CAPES 2000-2500J/KG) AND DECENT SHEAR (0-6KM BULK 30-35KT) SHOULD YIELD SOME SEVERE STORMS. THERE ARE ALSO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AROUND FROM THIS MORNINGS ELEVATED CONVECTION WHICH SHOULD ALSO FOCUS SOME MESOSCALE LIFT. AREAS THAT CAN HEAT OUT INTO THE LOW 90S...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH AND EAST SHOULD HAVE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SFC BASED/SEVERE CONVECTION. SHEAR PARAMETERS ACTUALLY WEAKEN AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE EVENING...SO SOME SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE INITIALLY WITH TRANSITION TOWARDS MORE MULTICELL STORMS AND POSSIBLE MCS MOVING INTO MN THIS EVENING WITH MAIN SHORTWAVE. FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP WITH HIGHS BY SATURDAY TOPPING 100 DEGREES IN ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN/EASTERN AREAS. SATURDAY SYNOPTIC SETUP IS SIMILAR TO AUGUST 7 1983...WHEN GFK HIT 104 AND FARGO HIT 100. 700MB TEMPS RISE ABOVE +15C ON SAT/SUNDAY...AND 850MB TEMPS APPROACH 30C...SO ANY THUNDER POTENTIAL SHOULD BE WELL CAPPED EVEN WITH A SFC TROUGH MOVING THROUGH SAT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS ON SUNDAY COULD ALSO BE VERY WARM...AND HAVE TRENDED THEM UP INTO THE LOW 90S NORTH TO UPPER 90S SOUTH. .FIRE WEATHER... IF WINDS BECOME STRONG ENOUGH ON SATURDAY...AND DEWPOINTS DROP IN TO THE 50S...EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH VERY WARM TEMPS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. .LONG TERM...(MON THROUGH THU)...LONG RANGE MODELS REMAIN SIMILAR...BUT STILL HAVE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES. THE 500MB TROF MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE SUN NIGHT AND MON...BUT WITH 700MB TEMPS QUITE WARM...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY AT THIS TIME. THEN...500MB RIDGE REBUILDS OVER AREA...WITH CONTINUED HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING FOR THE EXTENDED. ALL IN ALL...EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...NONE. MN...NONE. && DK/NG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 5:21 AM CDT, 11 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 521 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2006 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-141030- WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS- WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE- EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN- WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER- PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON- GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT- RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY- 521 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2006 ...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND EARLY THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA....WEST OF A VALLEY CITY TO GRAND FORKS TO HALLOCK LINE. FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE WITH THE BEST CHANCE OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY EAST THROUGH NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD END AFTER 9 PM TONIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY BY MID AFTERNOON AND INTO MINNESOTA BY EARLY EVENING. MOISTURE AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH COOLER AIR INVADING AT THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. HAIL TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. RIDDLE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Hubbard | 52 min |
| Jul 13, 6:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Mahnomen | 33 min |
| Jul 13, 5:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Ramsey | 67 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.