Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS El Paso, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEPZ 011641
FFSEPZ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1036 AM MDT TUE AUG 1 2006

TXC141-011800-
EL PASO TX-
1036 AM MDT TUE AUG 1 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT FOR EL PASO
COUNTY...

AT 1027 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING 
OVER MOST OF THE CITY OF EL PASO AREA. 

MEDIA AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT MANY ROADS 
IN EL PASO ARE EITHER CLOSED OR IMPASSABLE.  THIS IS A DANGEROUS 
SITUATION...IF YOU DONT NOT HAVE TO DRIVE STAY AT HOME. IN ADDITION 
RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF HOMES AND BUSINESS.  
IF WATER BEGINS TO RISE IN YOUR AREA SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. 
NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT 
DROWN.



LAT...LON 3199 10657 3180 10657 3142 10600 3197 10605

$$

TSB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
400 AM MDT TUE AUG 1 2006

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
FROM SOME OF THE STORMS WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. DAY TIME
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMALS DUE TO CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS
AND RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A WET AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST
AREA. A DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING. CONVECTION IS BEING AIDED BY
SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT FROM A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE REGION TODAY.
STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCES IN THIS TROPICAL-LIKE AIR
MASS. WITH ALL THE RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN THE PAST FEW DAYS THE
GROUND IS MOIST AND LESS ABLE TO SOAK IN RAINFALL. EXCESSIVE
RUNOFF EVEN FROM LIGHTER RAIN AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING
AND PONDING IN POORLY DRAINED AND LOW LYING AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE CWA.

THE PREVAILING FLOW PATTERN OF A HIGH OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE
COUNTRY AND A TROUGH ON THE WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
CONCENTRATE A DEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
THIS PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL OSCILLATE BACK AND FORTH ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SOME REGIONS SEEING
LITTLE ACTIVITY ONE DAY BUT MORE THE NEXT DAY. WILL KEEP POPS AT THE
SCATTERED LEVEL THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WILL TREND MORE TOWARD ISOLATED
PRECIP FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE FIRST
PART OF NEXT WEEK AS THE PLUME OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT MORE TO THE WEST.

&&

.AVIATION...01/12Z-02/12Z
AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED IFR CIGS AND VSBYS IN
HEAVY RAIN. PREVAILING CIGS BETWEEN 5-7 KFT AGL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 85  69  88  69  91 /  60  40  40  40  40
SIERRA BLANCA TX        82  62  85  58  89 /  60  40  40  40  40
LAS CRUCES              84  68  90  67  91 /  60  40  40  40  40
ALAMOGORDO              90  67  86  64  88 /  60  40  40  40  40
CLOUDCROFT              67  48  67  47  68 /  60  40  50  40  50
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   85  64  89  64  89 /  60  40  40  40  40
SILVER CITY             79  61  80  60  82 /  60  50  40  40  40
DEMING                  84  66  89  62  90 /  60  40  40  40  40
LORDSBURG               83  64  90  60  89 /  60  50  40  40  40

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR TX ZONES 055>056 AND NM
ZONES 022>025 - 030>032

04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1029 AM MDT MON JUL 31 2006

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-011630-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
1029 AM MDT MON JUL 31 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
TODAY AND TONIGHT. MOIST ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MOST STORMS WITH A POTENTIAL OF UP TO 3 INCHES
FROM SOME STORMS. THE GROUND IS BECOMING SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINS...WITH EXCESSIVE RUNOFF EXPECTED FROM ANY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN ALONG WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM A FEW STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT MOIST ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FROM ANY STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WITH
ANY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...ESPECIALLY ANY FLOODING THAT
MAY BE OCCURRING.

LUNDEEN