Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS El Paso, TX

July 30, 2006El Paso County, Texas

NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 30, 2006, 6:40 PM MDT for El Paso County, Texas. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2006, 6:40 PM MDT (00:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 30, 2006, 7:45 PM MDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County El Paso County, TX

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 30, 2:30 PM MDT, 4 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 2:30 PM MDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
230 PM MDT SUN JUL 30 2006

.SYNOPSIS...
THE AIRMASS OVER THE BORDERLAND REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE THIS
EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH IS PARKED OVER THE
REGION. WITHIN THIS PATTERN DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK INTO AND ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT. THESE IMPULSES WILL CONTINUE TO TRIGGER
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE EVENING. HEAVY RAIN AND SATURATED
GROUND WILL CAUSE AREAS OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING. THE PATTERN REMAINS MOIST
TRHOUGH TUESDAY WITH MORE STORMS EXPECTED.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NOTHING NEW TODAY...WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A CUT OFF
UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH. THE DEEP SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW INLUDES IN A HEAVY INFLUX OF MOISTURE...WHICH CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY INCREASE PRECIPITABLE WATER LEVELS.  WE ARE AT 175% OF NORMAL
PW. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE UP IN THE L-M60S...WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO
THE WEST. THUS EXPECT TO KEEP THE DEEP HEALTHY MOISTURE IN PLACE.
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS HAVE BEEN BETTER THAN IN DAYS PAST SO THE
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL DUE TO STATIONARY HEAVY RAIN IS MINIMAL...BUT
A LOT OF GROUND IS SATURATED FROM DAYS OF HEAVY RAIN AND THE
RAINFALL RATE OF STORMS TODAY SHOULD BE HEAVY. THEREFORE...GIVEN
THAT SETUP WE EXPECT SOME LOCAL FLASH FLOODING. THUS ANOTHER FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MONDAY APPEARS TO BE VERY SIMILAR AS THE PATTERN REMAINS PRETTY
STATIC.  TUESDAY THING BEGIN TO CHANCE A BIT. MODELS INDICATE A NW
TROUGH WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE N TIER OF THE U.S. AS IT
APPROACHES IT IS PROGGED TO PICK UP OUR CUT OFF LOW AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT IT EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. MODELS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD QPF AND HIGH POPS WITH THIS SCENARIO.  CANT SEE ANY
SIGIFICANT DRYING UNTIL AFTER TUESDAY...SO THIS LOOKS REASONABLE.

LATE TUE INTO WED...W/NW FLOW FILTERS DRIER AIR INTO THE NW CWFA AS
THE TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH. THIS SHOULD BE OUR DOWN DAY FOR PCPN
AND STORM COVERAGE.

THU A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT PUSHES IN FROM THE N/NE. THIS FEATURE IS
SHOWN IN THE MODELS TO INCREASE POPS FOR THE AFTERNOON...BUT THIS IS
A WEAK FEATURE AND CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH. NONTHELESS...WITH THE
UPPER HIGH CENTERED WELL EAST WE WILL BE UNDER THE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE PLUME AND WEAK IMPULSES WILL BE DIRECTED OVER THE REGION
KEEPING RAIN AND STORM CHANCES IN THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...31/00Z-01/00Z...
SCATTERED AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLD IFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 70  87  71  90  72 /  60  40  30  30  20
SIERRA BLANCA TX        61  88  63  84  63 /  60  40  30  30  20
LAS CRUCES              66  88  65  89  69 /  60  40  30  30  20
ALAMOGORDO              66  86  68  87  68 /  60  50  40  30  20
CLOUDCROFT              49  68  46  67  49 /  60  60  40  30  20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   66  85  67  89  65 /  50  50  50  30  20
SILVER CITY             60  79  59  81  62 /  50  50  50  40  20
DEMING                  65  84  65  88  67 /  50  50  40  30  20
LORDSBURG               62  83  61  88  65 /  50  50  40  30  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH (FFA) THROUGH 6AM (12Z) MONDAY MORNING FOR...TX
ZONES 055>056 AND NM ZONES 022>025-030>032

14 / BIRD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 10:30 AM MDT, 8 hours 10 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 1:03 PM MDT, 5 hours 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
103 PM MDT SUN JUL 30 2006

TXZ055-310115-
EL PASO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...EL PASO
103 PM MDT SUN JUL 30 2006

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTOMRS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAILNFALL
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TODAY...DESTABILIZING A VERY MOIST AIR MASS PRODUCING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY...SOME
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
AREAS THAT HAVE SATURATED GROUND AND HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
FLOODING IN PREVIOUS DAYS. EVEN MODERATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
INITIATE RAPID FLOODING IN THESE LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS AND
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION IF STORMS ARE
APPROACHING YOUR AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER VALLEY REGION AND
ALONG HIGHWAY 62 NEAR THE MONTANA VISTA AREA.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE
HOUR...SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS EN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS UNTIL6 AM MONDAY MORNING.

PLAY IT SAFE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

20 NOVLAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 9:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZEl Paso67 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2006Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.