Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 8, 2006Kiowa County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 8, 2006, 11:34 PM CDT for Kiowa County, Kansas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 8, 2006, 11:34 PM CDT (04:34 UTC)
Expired: May 9, 2006, 12:15 AM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Kiowa County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 8, 4:23 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1332 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 4.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 090434
SVRDDC
KSC097-090515-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0057.060509T0434Z-060509T0515Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1134 PM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT

* AT 1133 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF MULLINVILLE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES
  NORTH OF BUCKLIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY...
  MULLINVILLE...
  GREENSBURG...

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 54 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 94 AND 113.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3773 9955 3752 9955 3746 9927 3773 9914

$$

UMSCHEID

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 090503
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1203 AM CDT TUE MAY 9 2006

KSC097-090515-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-060509T0515Z/
KIOWA KS-
1203 AM CDT TUE MAY 9 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY...

AT 1158 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF MULLINVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3773 9955 3752 9955 3746 9927 3773 9914

$$

UMSCHEID

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 090511
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1210 AM CDT TUE MAY 9 2006

KSC097-090520-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-060509T0515Z/
KIOWA KS-
1210 AM CDT TUE MAY 9 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY EXPIRES
AT 1215 AM CDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3773 9955 3752 9955 3746 9927 3773 9914

$$

UMSCHEID

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 8, 3:23 PM CDT, 8 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 3:23 PM CDT, 8 hours 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
323 PM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES WILL BE TSTORM CHANCES THRU TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE SURFACE MAP THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A WEAK LEE TROF/DRYLINE OVER
FAR WESTERN KANSAS INTERSECTING WITH A COLD FRONT OVER THE
NORTHWEST PART OF THE STATE. WITH THE BEST CONVERGENCE LOCATED
THERE, SOME STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO POP. THE THETA-E RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE EASTERN OK PANHANDLE NORTHEAST TO HAYS. AS THIS AND OTHER
ACTIVITY THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE LEE TROF AND COLD FRONT MOVES
EAST INTO THE INSTABILITY SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
ERUPT. THERE IS ENUF SHEAR GIVEN THE 2000-3000 JOULES OF CAPE TO
PROMOTE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES EARLY ON, WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY
CONGEALING INTO AN MCS DURING THE EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL KS.
TORNADO THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL GIVEN THE WEAK 0-1KM SHEAR. THE SHEAR
MAY INCREASE AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES HOWEVER AS THE LLJ
STRENGTHENS IF THE STORMS CAN STAY DISCRETE.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE SOUTH OVERNIGHT AS THE MCS MOVES
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THE
FRONT SHOULD BE LOCATED FROM SE COLORADO ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW AND LIFT
FROM AN APPROACHING S/W TROF ACROSS SOUTHEAST CO WILL LIKELY
IGNITE CONVECTION OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND CONGEAL INTO AN MCS
THAT WILL MOVE ESE OVERNIGHT NEAR THE OK/KS BORDER. THE MODELS ALL
SEEM TO SHOW THIS SIGNAL SO HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY ALONG
THE BORDER, TAPERING IT OFF TO SLGT CHC AT HAYS. OTHER STORMS MAY
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT BUT MAY BE SOUTH OF THE BORDER DEPENDING
ON WHERE THE FRONT STALLS.

A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR PLOWS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY AS A
SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF ENERGY DIVES SOUTHEAST THRU THE PLAINS TO
EVENTUALLY CARVE OUT A DEEP TROF OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH COLD AIR ALOFT LAPSE RATES SHOULD REMAIN
STEEP ENUF FOR SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDER.
WILL THEREFORE LEAVE SMALL POPS IN THE FORECAST.

HIGHS WILL BE TRENDING LOWER THRU THE PERIOD, WITH LOW TO MID 70S
ON TUESDAY AND MID TO UPPER 60S FOR WEDNESDAY. LOWS WILL BE
GENERALLY IN THE 50S.

DAYS 3-7...

AGAIN TODAY THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONGRUENT THROUGH ABOUT
144 HOURS. THE SCENARIO IS TO BRING A ANOTHER PACIFIC WAVE DOWN THE
PATTERN WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE POLAR FRONT ENDING UP ALONG THE
GULF COAST STATES BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ANOTHER WAVE OR TWO IS
FORECAST THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE COMING WEEKEND AND HAVE LEFT
SOME POPS IN FOR THAT EVENTUALITY AS WELL. OTHERWISE, HAVE MADE
LITTLE OR NO CHANGES TO THE GOING GRIDS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  56  73  53  66 /  30  20  40  20
GCK  53  71  50  65 /  30  20  40  20
EHA  53  72  50  65 /  20  30  60  20
LBL  54  72  52  66 /  20  30  60  20
HYS  55  73  50  66 /  50  10  20  20
P28  60  76  56  67 /  40  20  50  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN27/08
LACY/JOHNSON

Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 12:43 PM CDT, 10 hours 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-091000-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HAMILTON-
HASKELL-HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-LANE-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-
RUSH-SCOTT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STANTON-STEVENS-TREGO-
1243 PM CDT (1143 AM MDT) MON MAY 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AT 1243 PM CDT (1145 AM MDT) MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS CONTINUED
TO DEVELOP ROUGHLY IN THE AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM DODGE CITY TO
HAYS...GREAT BEND...PRATT...AND BACK TO DODGE CITY. THIS AREA LOOKS
TO BE WHERE OUR FIRST CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS WILL FORM BY AROUND 4 PM
CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS
AREA WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND
PROFILES INDICATE THAT A FEW OF THEM COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH THE
MAIN DANGER BEING FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED IN AND NEAR THE AREA MENTIONED
ABOVE.

JOHNSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 8, 9:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
938 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             1 W KALVESTA            38.05N 100.30W
05/08/2006  E0.88 INCH       FINNEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0840 PM     HAIL             19 WSW JETMORE          37.98N 100.22W
05/08/2006  E0.75 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

UMSCHEID

Special weather statement, May 8, 10:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1001 PM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

KSZ077-078-090345-
FORD-GRAY-
1001 PM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FORD AND GRAY COUNTIES...

AT 956 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CIMARRON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

AT 950 PM CDT...DIME SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED 4 MILES SOUTH OF INGALLS.

RESIDENTS IN EASTERN GRAY AND NORTHWESTERN FORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE CITIES OF CIMARRON...HOWELL AND DODGE CITY...SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3789 10039 3765 10041 3758 9981 3791 9987

UMSCHEID

Local storm report, May 8, 10:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1004 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HAIL             5 S INGALLS             37.76N 100.45W
05/08/2006  E0.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BURKE

Local storm report, May 8, 10:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1033 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             8 NE MONTEZUMA          37.68N 100.34W
05/08/2006  E0.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

1018 PM     HAIL             6 S CIMARRON            37.72N 100.35W
05/08/2006  E0.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BURKE

Local storm report, May 8, 10:41 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1041 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             3 N ENSIGN              37.70N 100.23W
05/08/2006  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MGERARD

Local storm report, May 8, 11:02 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1102 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1058 PM     HAIL             8 N JETMORE             38.20N 99.89W
05/08/2006  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BURKE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 8, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Kearny	46 min
May 8, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	51 min
May 8, 7:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness	30 min
May 8, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	38 min
May 8, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Hodgeman	43 min
May 8, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman	29 min
May 8, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	37 min
May 8, 8:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	30 min
May 8, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford	44 min
May 8, 10:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	50 min
May 8, 10:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ford	46 min
May 8, 10:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Hodgeman	39 min
May 8, 11:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	38 min
May 8, 11:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Hodgeman, Pawnee	44 min
May 8, 11:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman	48 min
May 9, 12:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	45 min
May 9, 12:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	45 min
May 9, 12:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	65 min
May 9, 12:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards	33 min
May 9, 1:19 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	56 min
May 9, 1:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford	33 min
May 9, 1:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt, Stafford	27 min
May 9, 1:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche, Kiowa	50 min
May 9, 2:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Pratt	57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.