Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Dodge City, KS

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 021946
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
243 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

KSC165-022000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-060802T2000Z/
RUSH KS-
243 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT 
FOR RUSH COUNTY...

AT 241 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR LORETTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3861 9954 3845 9944 3843 9903 3869 9908
      3868 9947

$$

FINCH

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 022004
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
304 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

KSC165-022014-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-060802T2000Z/
RUSH KS-
304 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN RUSH COUNTY EXPIRES
AT 300 PM CDT...

THE WARNED STORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3861 9954 3845 9944 3843 9903 3869 9908
      3868 9947

$$

18

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
248 AM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

FORECAST CHALLENGES TODAY ARE TIMING OF COLD FRONT AND CHANCES FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA TODAY
WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT SHOULD BE GOING
THROUGH DODGE ABOUT OR JUST BEFORE NOON, THEN TO MEDICINE LODGE BY
23Z OR SO. CURRENT THINKING IS SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH 30KT MID LEVEL WIND FORECAST AND GOOD MOISTURE JUST IN
BACK OF COLD FRONT. THE SEVERE THREAT GENERALLY FROM HAYS TO NEAR
DODGE TO ASHLAND AND EAST WITH AROUND 1500 J/KG FORECAST. TEMPS
WILL BE MUCH COOLER TODAY AND IN THE MID 80S EXCEPT IN THE MEDICINE
LODGE AREA WHERE FRONT WILL GO THROUGH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END QUICKLY BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER IN
THE EAST CWA WITH GOOD FRONTAL PUSH AND SUBSIDENCE BEHIND FRONT.
TEMPS AND THE REST OF FORECAST LOOK REASONABLE WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN.

DAYS 3-7...

SURFACE RIDGE SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE AREA DRY FRIDAY EXCEPT PERHAPS
THE FAR SOUTHWEST ZONES WITH THE RETURN MOIST FLOW RESUMING OVER THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL
SUPPORT NEW LEE TROUGH WHICH WILL BRING WINDS AROUND TO THE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AGAIN TOWARDS THE WEEKEND. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO SIPHON NORTHWARD ONCE AGAIN AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE MID-UPPER HIGH.  WITH DECENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNING...AS
PER GFS...DAILY CHANCES FOR ISOLD TO WIDELY SCT STORMS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS SHOULD RESUME...MAINLY ALONG LEE TROUGH CONVERGENCE.  FOR THE
TIME FRAME SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL DO A BROAD BRUSH 10 POPS
FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING.  SHOULD ANY ONE OF THESE DAYS LOOK MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED ORGANIZED CONVECTION...POPS FOR ANY ONE OF
THESE DAYS MAY HAVE TO BE INCREASED.  NO CHANGES MADE TO TEMPERATURE
FCST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  87  64  88  65 /  60  40  10  10
GCK  85  64  86  64 /  50  20  10  10
EHA  86  65  85  63 /  40  20  10  10
LBL  88  65  88  65 /  50  20  10  10
HYS  85  64  86  65 /  70  30  10  10
P28  97  71  89  68 /  60  70  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN06/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
336 AM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-031000-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HAMILTON-
HASKELL-HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-LANE-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-
RUSH-SCOTT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STANTON-STEVENS-TREGO-
336 AM CDT (236 AM MDT) WED AUG 2 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY
EAST OF LINE FROM WAKEENEY TO DODGE CITY AND ASHLAND. LARGE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FIRST IN NORTHWEST KANSAS
THIS MORNING THEN SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL END IN THE MEDICINE LODGE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING FROM HAYS AND LACROSSE TO GREENSBURG AND ASHLAND AND
TO THE EAST.

06