Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 082343
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
743 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

OHC033-090015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-060609T0015Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
743 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR
CRAWFORD COUNTY...

AT 740 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR NEW WASHINGTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TIRO...
  CRESTLINE...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4098 8306 4099 8285 4099 8282 4099 8281
      4099 8276 4096 8272 4072 8273 4072 8277
      4073 8280

$$

MRD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 090015
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
815 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

OHC033-090025-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-060609T0015Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
815 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY EXPIRED AT 
815 PM EDT...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE 
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COUNTY. REMEMBER...A 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY UNTIL 1045 
PM.

LAT...LON 4098 8306 4099 8285 4099 8282 4099 8281
      4099 8276 4096 8272 4072 8273 4072 8277
      4073 8280

$$

MRD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
705 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

.AVIATION (00Z-24Z)...
SHWRS AND TSTMS MOVG ACRS THE LAKE AND INTO THE CNTRL LAKESHORE
COUNTIES AT THIS TIME ASOCD WITH WK CDFNT AND SHORT WAVE ALF MOVG
INTO THE AREA.  WL CONT WITH SHWRS/TSTMS ACRS THE CNTRL LAKESHORE
COUNTIES THRU THE EVG BUT WITH LOSS OF HEATING XPC CONVECTION TO
DCRS.  OVRNGT XPC VFR XCP LOCAL MORNING FOG.

&&

.SHORT TERM(TNGT-SAT NGT)...
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FORECAST TOUGH...VORT MAX MOVING DOWN
INTO NE OHIO AND NW PA AT 18Z. AIRMASS STABLE ALONG THE LAKESHORE
ACCORDING TO THE RUC ATTM BECAUSE OF LAKE SHADOW...MUCH OF THE
DEVELOPMENT AT MID AFTERNOON WAS JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
JUST NORTH OF ERIE PA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE
AS THEY MOVE INTO THE LAKE. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE
AFTER 00Z AS MORE MOISTURE MOVES IN AND THE LAKE SHADOW INFLUENCE
DECREASES. SINCE IT WILL BE LATE THIS MAY INHIBIT THE RISK OF
SEVERE. HOWEVER...THE WEST WILL HAVE A CHANCE THIS EVENING AS THE
MODELS HAVE SOME MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. THE CHANCE IN THE EASTERN
COUNTIES IS ALL NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE IN LFQ OF AN UPPER JET AND
THE PVA IS MORE IN THAT AREA. THE SHORT WAVE MAY LINGER IN THE
EXTREME EAST FRIDAY AM BUT WITH IT DRYING OUT WILL KEEP IT DRY. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
NAM AND GFS HINT AT SOME MOISTURE TRYING TO WORK INTO THE SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE RIDGE IN THE AREA WILL JUST
GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SATURDAY. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FROM THE
MAV LOOK OK.
&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE MODELS HAVE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY. ON MONDAY A LOW
MOVES OVER SOUTHERN OHIO ACCORDING TO THE GFS...THE FORECAST AREA IS
ON THE EDGE WITH THE STRONG RIDGE STILL HANGING AROUND THE AREA. THE
EUROPEAN EVEN HAS THE LOW FARTEHR SOUTH. WITH QUESTIONS IN MIND WILL
JUST GO WITH A 20 POP...THE BEST CHANCE WOULD BE DURING THE DAY.
DIGEX...ECMWF AND GFS HAS THE RIDGE ACROSS OHIO TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...DRY CONTINUES. FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ANOTHER
LOW AFFECTS THE AREA. LOCATION OF THE LOW IS IN QUESTION
ATTM...DIGEX HAS IT NORTH WHILE THE GFS HAS IT OVER SOUTHERN OHIO...
THE ECMWF IS ALSO HINTING AT THIS SOLUTION...A 30 POP FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA.
&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...NONE.
.PA...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...KIELTYKA
AVIATION...TK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
939 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-091345-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
939 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD
BECOME SEVERE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND POSSIBLY SOME STRONG WINDS THAT COULD
CAUSE WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR A FEW COUNTIES.

KIELTYKA