Severe Thunderstorm Warning 123, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 082317
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
716 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

OHC147-082345-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0123.000000T0000Z-060608T2345Z/
SENECA OH-
716 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR
SENECA COUNTY...

AT 714 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED BETWEEN ATTICA AND BLOOMVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATTICA

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN CLEVELAND.


LAT...LON 4125 8308 4125 8298 4116 8284 4100 8283
      4099 8285 4099 8301 4113 8317 4117 8320

$$

MRD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 082345
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
744 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

OHC147-082354-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0123.000000T0000Z-060608T2345Z/
SENECA OH-
744 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SENECA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
745 PM EDT...

AT 744 PM...RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COUNTY. 
HOWEVER...NONE OF THE STORMS ARE SEVERE AT THIS TIME. 
HOWEVER...PERSONS IN SENECA COUNTY CAN CONTINUE TO EXPECT VERY HEAVY 
RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THROUGH 830 PM.

LAT...LON 4125 8308 4125 8298 4116 8284 4100 8283
      4099 8285 4099 8301 4113 8317 4117 8320

$$
MRD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
310 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

.SHORT TERM(TNGT-SAT NGT)...
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FORECAST TOUGH...VORT MAX MOVING DOWN
INTO NE OHIO AND NW PA AT 18Z. AIRMASS STABLE ALONG THE LAKESHORE
ACCORDING TO THE RUC ATTM BECAUSE OF LAKE SHADOW...MUCH OF THE
DEVELOPMENT AT MID AFTERNOON WAS JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
JUST NORTH OF ERIE PA. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE
AS THEY MOVE INTO THE LAKE. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE
AFTER 00Z AS MORE MOISTURE MOVES IN AND THE LAKE SHADOW INFLUENCE
DECREASES. SINCE IT WILL BE LATE THIS MAY INHIBIT THE RISK OF
SEVERE. HOWEVER...THE WEST WILL HAVE A CHANCE THIS EVENING AS THE
MODELS HAVE SOME MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. THE CHANCE IN THE EASTERN
COUNTIES IS ALL NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE IN LFQ OF AN UPPER JET AND
THE PVA IS MORE IN THAT AREA. THE SHORT WAVE MAY LINGER IN THE
EXTREME EAST FRIDAY AM BUT WITH IT DRYING OUT WILL KEEP IT DRY. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
NAM AND GFS HINT AT SOME MOISTURE TRYING TO WORK INTO THE SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE RIDGE IN THE AREA WILL JUST
GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SATURDAY. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FROM THE
MAV LOOK OK.
&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE MODELS HAVE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY. ON MONDAY A LOW
MOVES OVER SOUTHERN OHIO ACCORDING TO THE GFS...THE FORECAST AREA IS
ON THE EDGE WITH THE STRONG RIDGE STILL HANGING AROUND THE AREA. THE
EUROPEAN EVEN HAS THE LOW FARTEHR SOUTH. WITH QUESTIONS IN MIND WILL
JUST GO WITH A 20 POP...THE BEST CHANCE WOULD BE DURING THE DAY.
DIGEX...ECMWF AND GFS HAS THE RIDGE ACROSS OHIO TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...DRY CONTINUES. FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ANOTHER
LOW AFFECTS THE AREA. LOCATION OF THE LOW IS IN QUESTION
ATTM...DIGEX HAS IT NORTH WHILE THE GFS HAS IT OVER SOUTHERN OHIO...
THE ECMWF IS ALSO HINTING AT THIS SOLUTION...A 30 POP FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA.
&&

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY TONIGHT...AND UPPER LEVELS S/W WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY TONIGHT. LITTLE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE FRONT AS A GENERAL NWLY
FLOW EXIST ACRS THE AREA RESULTING FROM LOW NEAR NEW ENGLAND. ATTM
THERE ARE FEW SHOWERS AROUND BOTH SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
NORTH OF LAKE ERIE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. WILL CARRY SHOWERS/TSTMS
VCNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OTHERWISE SCT TO BKN CU THIS
AFTERNOON SCATTERING OUT OR CLEARING EARLY TONIGHT WITH SCT CU AGAIN
FRI MORNING. LCL MVFR F ARND SUNRISE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...NONE.
.PA...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...KIELTYKA
AVIATION...WCR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
939 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-091345-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
939 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD
BECOME SEVERE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND POSSIBLY SOME STRONG WINDS THAT COULD
CAUSE WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR A FEW COUNTIES.

KIELTYKA