Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 85, NWS Binghamton, NY

July 21, 2006Oneida County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 21, 2006, 1:35 AM EDT for Oneida County, New York. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2006, 1:35 AM EDT (05:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2006, 5:30 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Oneida County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 21, 2:30 AM EDTFLASH FLOODVienna, NYCOUNTY ROUTE 49 CLOSED DUE TO ABOUT 2 FEET OF WATER GOING OVER IT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 55 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 404 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
404 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1241 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS51 KBGM 210538
FFWBGM
NYC065-210930-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
135 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL ONEIDA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK

* UNTIL 530 AM EDT

* AT 133 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN IN WEST CENTRAL ONEIDA COUNTY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VIENNA...
  VERONA BEACH...VERONA...TABERG...SYLVAN BEACH...NEW LONDON...LEE...
  CAMDEN AND BLOSSVALE.

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRODUCED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST FEW 
HOURS...MOST WHICH HAS OCCURRED SINCE MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL STORMS 
WILL KEEP HEAVY RAIN GOING AT LEAST THROUGH 3 AM...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 
2 INCHES LIKELY. FLOODING MAY OCCUR ALONG ANY STREAM IN WESTERN 
ONEIDA COUNTY TONIGHT...BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN 
THE ONEIDA RIVER BASIN...HALL BROOK AND COLD SPRING BROOK AREAS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

LAT...LON 4316 7589 4312 7558 4338 7555 4340 7586

$$

JAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 20, 10:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 10:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1020 PM THU JUL 20 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - SATURDAY)...
UPDATED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING S/WV
LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG SFC TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN NYS MOVING INTO CNY ATTM. THE 18Z
NAM SEEMS TO HAVE A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON THE CURRENT WX. UPDATED
THE FORECAST BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS WHICH MEANT SPEEDING UP THE
TIMING OF PRECIP TONIGHT AND HENCE INCREASING POPS ACROSS MOST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THE FASTER TIMING WILL HAVE IMPLICATIONS INTO THE
FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO SHOW MORE OF A TREND
TWD HIGHER CHCS FOR MORNING PRECIP BASED ON FASTER FRONTAL PASS.
WILL LET THE NEXT SHIFT TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT FRIDAY AND MAKE
FURTHER CHANGES IF NECESSARY.

FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO WORK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE
COASTAL PLAIN...WITH PRECIPITATION COVERAGE GRADUALLY DECREASING
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION.

ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER LOW-PRESSURE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO RUN
NORTHEASTWARD UP THE FRONT ACROSS EASTERN PA AND NJ. THIS WILL ACT
TO TEMPORARILY STALL THE BOUNDARY...AND CAUSE SOME LIGHT RAIN TO
MOVE BACK TOWARDS AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
FOR NOW...WE RETAINED THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM NYS SOUTHERN TIER
DOWN ACROSS NORTHEAST PA.  -MJ

&&

.AVIATION (21/00Z TO 22/00Z)...
SHRA/TSRA OVER WRN SXNS ATTM...AND ACTIVITY IS DPSTNG. SCT
CIGS/VSBYS INTO THE MVFR RANGE WITH ANY SHOWERS AND TSTMS, WITH
POTNL FOR A PD OF MVFR CIGS TWDS DAYBREAK BEHIND THE PCPN. LATE TMRW
MRNG/AFTN SFC FLOW SHUD GRADUALLY COME ARND TO THE NW ARND 10 KTS
WITH VFR CIGS. STILL POTNL FOR SOME SCT CONVECTION BUT PROBS NOT
GREAT ENUF TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS POINT.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY)...
SLOW MVG FNTLY SYSTEM WILL BE CLR OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND A
PROLONGED PD OF DRIER WX WILL BE OVER THE AREA AS A SFC HI BLDS IN.
FIRST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON WED AS A BROAD BUT WEAK UPPER TROF
AND SHRT WV BRINGS SOME LFT AND THE THREAT OF SHWRS. STRUNGOUT
SYSTEM IS DFCLT TO DEFINE AND TIME...ESP AT LONG RANGE SO POPS WILL
REMAIN LOW AND SPEAD OUT INTO THU. FLWD HPC GUID FOR TEMPS. -MORFORD

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NY...NONE.
.PA...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 3:39 AM EDT, 21 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
339 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-210745-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-
CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
339 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK LATE TONIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER INCLUDES THE FINGER LAKES...CENTRAL SOUTHERN TIER AND
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. THE
CHANCE IS QUITE LOW...BUT ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR
IN THESE AREAS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS WAVES OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A STALLED FRONT OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE
FRONT...HOWEVER SHOULD CONDITIONS COME TOGETHER THE MOST LIKELY
AREA AFFECTED BY ANY HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO BE NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK. EARLY NEXT WEEK
SHOWS LOW POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY...BUT COULD BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

JAB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 20, 8:22 PM EDT, 5 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
822 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

NYZ018-210045-
ONONDAGA NY-
822 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 818 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH...AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JORDAN...AND MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PLAINVILLE AND ELBRIDGE AT 830 PM EDT...
  JACKS REEF AT 835 PM EDT...
  IONIA AND MEMPHIS AT 840 PM EDT...
  VAN BUREN AND WARNERS AT 845 PM EDT...
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 9:02 PM EDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
902 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

NYZ016-017-210200-
CAYUGA NY-SENECA NY-
902 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 858 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OVID...AND
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SHELDRAKE SPGS AT 910 PM EDT...
  INTERLAKEN AT 915 PM EDT...
  SHELDRAKE AND KIDDERS AT 920 PM EDT...
  WILLETS AND COVERT AT 925 PM EDT...
  KING FERRY AND LEDYARD AT 935 PM EDT...
  GENOA AND VENICE CENTER AT 950 PM EDT...
  EAST VENICE AND EAST GENOA AT 955 PM EDT...
  MORAVIA AND SHERWOOD AT 1000 PM EDT...

TAKE SHELTER IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 11:32 PM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1132 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

NYZ022-210430-
STEUBEN NY-
1132 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 1128 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  WOODHULL...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ADDISON AT 1150 PM EDT...
  LINDLEY AND ERWINS AT 1210 AM EDT...
  CATON AND SOUTH CORNING AT 1225 AM EDT...
  EAST CORNING AT 1230 AM EDT...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...ONE HALF
INCH DIAMETER HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

JAB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 4:13 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMOneida3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2006Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.